{"ticker":"0x8f81d4e8c2eeac12c5d638838f60b21acf680a2b002d81ceaad8734d2dd1dec7","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nOnly official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.\n\nIf the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).","price":5,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":9,"spread":9,"volume":1333.4187729999999,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":699.21597,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":2741.9629054131524,"iyNo":7.595465111947792,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.6,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.01,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":2846,"askDepthUsd":2375,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T02:07:36.950Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXUFCLIGHTWEIGHTTITLE-26-BSAI","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?: Benoit Saint-Denis","confidenceScore":0.916,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x4c2a219c18fc5acb51f6ef1bba7ae85a10fc8c1e3976fc3bfd013f0e9bf644af","connectedTitle":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Ilia Topuria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:139483","groupLabel":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf42d4830ad24f39a6522dbef1c094517f8d37e283f390a02b3162dac40002d45","connectedTitle":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Justin Gaethje","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:139483","groupLabel":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x48044aa03834162fec6f65e74c50a6607a659cebd603f1129df384400773eb24","connectedTitle":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Dan Hooker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:139483","groupLabel":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xdf43389b1686b4acbadadeab24d79c21b16f5564bb4af394641e16d2619c1aa1","connectedTitle":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Mateusz Gamrot","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:139483","groupLabel":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa267ac751ec25021cf6fedbae2aa38c59a732c1bdca1b55587b0bb2ebccaffdd","connectedTitle":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Charles Oliveira","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:139483","groupLabel":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x028fe6fcde67f39bc54d606681523ef84bbdc2a212a76856e04765b4af8fa4db","connectedTitle":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Max Holloway","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:139483","groupLabel":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3c37a6ecb4080c44d3da28c5d89d6979d1dd3112a6ee66face98f63a7db27b77","connectedTitle":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Paddy Pimblett","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:139483","groupLabel":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8548f0a0a0b09c499b8cd20bae2c3b95148a4810880aef17cc9cbbde8b2e6706","connectedTitle":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Renato Moicano","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:139483","groupLabel":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcc83b8eb1b82bf58ecb0291e563814293372e8c083c591137d82a7b0c4943a28","connectedTitle":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Rafael Fiziev","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:139483","groupLabel":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb95e2eed6d79fed611ef7d25fbda14a8eb54c951787dba969c6e1021efdde0e4","connectedTitle":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Arman Tsarukyan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:139483","groupLabel":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:20:32.625Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:25:33.212Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13912.41741487379,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:30:39.359Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T07:35:31.642Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13914.9889866145,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T07:40:32.252Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T07:55:34.668Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13915.739207455616,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:00:35.011Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:15:33.698Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13916.489509196785,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:25:38.645Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:30:32.636Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13917.079088755801,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:35:38.078Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:40:32.301Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13917.400698662374,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:50:31.189Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T09:25:32.564Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13919.116202567724,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T09:30:33.044Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T09:35:51.359Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13919.491525423726,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T09:40:30.803Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T10:25:36.113Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13921.3148101061,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T10:30:36.407Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T11:00:32.388Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13922.655765370402,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T11:05:39.438Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:40:32.672Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13926.35814268977,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:45:36.092Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:15:33.865Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13927.646387715458,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:20:31.472Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:30:46.115Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13928.23691300778,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:35:34.791Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:55:33.808Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13929.149641507978,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T14:05:44.168Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T14:30:32.684Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13930.49210663274,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T14:35:43.929Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T14:40:33.989Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13930.81433676833,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T14:45:35.444Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:00:34.132Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13931.56626506024,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:10:32.659Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:30:33.858Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13932.69430970797,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:35:38.299Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:40:33.707Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1618.4879717135732,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:45:33.447Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1423.0403579643776,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:55:51.127Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1618.5566215257427,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T16:00:35.232Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1423.0952310564237,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T16:55:32.732Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1618.8125494128308,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T17:00:34.712Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1423.3257442624526,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T17:10:49.146Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1618.8812267629316,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:55:35.060Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1423.9902595036292,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:55:44.895Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2681.022151776394,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:00:44.949Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3445.996978851964,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:16:05.547Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2728.1989952674494,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:30:32.139Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3446.281674515219,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:25:33.302Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2729.6056930089026,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2742%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 1.60)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUFCLIGHTWEIGHTTITLE-26-BSAI","reason":"Same market on kalshi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x4c2a219c18fc5acb51f6ef1bba7ae85a10fc8c1e3976fc3bfd013f0e9bf644af","reason":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Il"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xf42d4830ad24f39a6522dbef1c094517f8d37e283f390a02b3162dac40002d45","reason":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Ju"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x48044aa03834162fec6f65e74c50a6607a659cebd603f1129df384400773eb24","reason":"Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?: Da"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Beno%C3%AEt%20Saint%20Denis%20be%20the%20UFC%20Lightweight%20Champion%20on%20D","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3267}