{"ticker":"0x93db8555ac2f4c86908d4dc460ad113aaa01a001f82be5c219dfa10d0e361161","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31?","description":"This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.","price":3,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":5,"spread":4,"volume":799.304933,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":455.1535,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":236,"iyYes":5007.899765623785,"iyNo":4.790211275439905,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":2.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":0.88,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":32274,"askDepthUsd":148,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:16:59.329Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xb188fc35bbd00ad03717cceb0c289cb89a2cf71aedb68a05e028610289e73c28","connectedTitle":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:194023","groupLabel":"3rd richest person on December 31?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3e4b89b1628a68af23bc53f37959f0bf557fc1fe5d5fab6cc051a6c7272ca400","connectedTitle":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Mark Zuckerberg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:194023","groupLabel":"3rd richest person on December 31?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6f87a9ce2b5e45a22317fd7809894d287925abd2f8d843e7cb75641435c7feba","connectedTitle":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Jeff Bezos","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:194023","groupLabel":"3rd richest person on December 31?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd10117db923a0ab1448d4670d691e9924151e1ba80baa2f132da94cf8f23f238","connectedTitle":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Larry Page","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:194023","groupLabel":"3rd richest person on December 31?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb44d403e1adad512cfab065fd2930b077fc38143fa27e0f13ba46bae67cc050c","connectedTitle":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Larry Ellison","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:194023","groupLabel":"3rd richest person on December 31?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcc1e4603342d8ada7e7fca9fcc198b0fcd2a5e33d59896968a300e5ccf7e59b1","connectedTitle":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Bernard Arnault","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:194023","groupLabel":"3rd richest person on December 31?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7205ceb58e78f67cc32759e0beeb354410663e709520c9c1216a696904cab840","connectedTitle":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Jensen Huang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:194023","groupLabel":"3rd richest person on December 31?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd1d31ef29447eba7a988f46515c94f2193a0e60189ccb2abed90cdfcb332a328","connectedTitle":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Steve Ballmer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:194023","groupLabel":"3rd richest person on December 31?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x88cfcef8cd6ccfe509f6211e4c34f0b0e963833025e8bb14ae87bca2d3fcb23f","connectedTitle":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Sergey Brin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:194023","groupLabel":"3rd richest person on December 31?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:15:30.426Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2937.1405338099385,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:35:32.293Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3710.2922490470137,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:40:30.571Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4998.651684124181,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:45:31.989Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1777.9010813535344,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:50:36.785Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2422.0989170796447,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:55:33.325Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2054.033578562775,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:00:29.922Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2422.170733739123,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:05:33.477Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2054.094482900094,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:10:31.967Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2937.613310967654,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:15:31.818Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3710.7166003736133,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:25:33.386Z","priceCents":14,"iy":949.7949120766467,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:30:42.599Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1251.0195703594047,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:35:32.670Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1563.40387596133,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:40:29.602Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2422.4580429702114,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:45:31.024Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1563.450237894852,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:50:41.956Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2937.9617704873576,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:55:35.174Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2422.560669928757,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:10:34.721Z","priceCents":16,"iy":811.8533770558479,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:15:30.206Z","priceCents":14,"iy":949.9357529912837,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:20:31.859Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1391.7899223393936,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:25:31.199Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1778.4208385587906,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:30:28.989Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2938.2978633257208,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:35:33.299Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3711.5970459755017,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:40:32.169Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5000.409580222642,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:45:33.792Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3711.707131053769,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:50:33.683Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5000.5578930568445,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:25:37.690Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3712.1475366765267,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:35:32.225Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5001.236006639122,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:40:31.886Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3712.3048497279333,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:50:31.464Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5001.447954852062,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:05:49.205Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3712.588046822685,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:10:44.091Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5001.744712532122,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:15:58.624Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3712.6981906953674,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:30:18.597Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5002.041505430123,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:25:41.871Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3713.4536390573926,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:45:43.356Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5003.144187492493,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:15:44.482Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3714.004680663433,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:20:42.095Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5003.653281664484,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:40:43.035Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3714.2723884552274,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:50:48.962Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5004.098824061512,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:25:44.803Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3714.7764137141403,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:20:45.607Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5005.435927451223,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:30:41.350Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3715.485430716376,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:10:25.555Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5006.157835722234,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:15:18.047Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3715.974022117681,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:20:16.538Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5006.3064897455915,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:25:18.558Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3716.084366993026,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:05:18.451Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5006.964920840315,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:10:22.656Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3716.573115939262,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:05:28.994Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5007.857265105964,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 5008%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 2.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xb188fc35bbd00ad03717cceb0c289cb89a2cf71aedb68a05e028610289e73c28","reason":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Elon Musk"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x3e4b89b1628a68af23bc53f37959f0bf557fc1fe5d5fab6cc051a6c7272ca400","reason":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Mark Zuckerberg"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6f87a9ce2b5e45a22317fd7809894d287925abd2f8d843e7cb75641435c7feba","reason":"3rd richest person on December 31?: Jeff Bezos"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Warren%20Buffett%20be%203rd%20richest%20person%20on%20December%2031%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":279}