{"ticker":"0x98d54453621129d07bfda4840fb6aa59f98fd90663e7fa5ab4541b7ed21da642","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Exponent (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Exponent, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":64,"bestBid":63,"bestAsk":64,"spread":1,"volume":1943.8459329999998,"volume24h":73.25999999999999,"openInterest":1960.7284,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":582,"iyYes":35.26355022044819,"iyNo":111.45023279549055,"cri":1.778,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0156,"cvr":null,"overround":0.15,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1896,"askDepthUsd":3037,"volume24h":73.25999999999999},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T18:47:24.605Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x0569085637b507bc48d2b1f78b07156ce07fad4ed9495dd3ed15964ffce2bab0","connectedTitle":"Will Exponent launch a token by ___?: June 30, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:127108","groupLabel":"Will Exponent launch a token by ___?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x411d2f1251d86d9a4f30186c660745c597d18a19737fd8f7b4ee1483ece9ffde","connectedTitle":"Will Exponent launch a token by ___?: December 31, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:127108","groupLabel":"Will Exponent launch a token by ___?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8f556c1a64b593796ea422693ff29a3ff768cede5e5991f7a46bb0ec59a2e7c0","connectedTitle":"Will Exponent launch a token by ___?: September 30, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:127108","groupLabel":"Will Exponent launch a token by ___?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T22:01:41.800Z","priceCents":89,"iy":502.17177505548864,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T22:46:02.321Z","priceCents":88,"iy":455.1759399553213,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T22:15:43.592Z","priceCents":51,"iy":64.71062479281477,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T22:30:36.877Z","priceCents":52,"iy":67.3551799753121,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T22:45:28.786Z","priceCents":51,"iy":64.71282938882305,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T23:30:35.836Z","priceCents":52,"iy":67.3599990914563,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T23:45:28.576Z","priceCents":50,"iy":62.1795199400351,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T00:00:34.201Z","priceCents":47,"iy":70.11852549929321,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T00:15:28.544Z","priceCents":40,"iy":93.27261669298741,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T00:30:39.290Z","priceCents":37,"iy":105.87882811590983,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T00:45:28.502Z","priceCents":35,"iy":115.48451412294077,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T01:00:36.777Z","priceCents":31,"iy":138.41183778715168,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T01:15:29.411Z","priceCents":27,"iy":168.13275653922523,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T02:00:40.305Z","priceCents":28,"iy":159.91580201790862,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T12:30:34.405Z","priceCents":42,"iy":85.94470032987014,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T12:45:33.499Z","priceCents":40,"iy":93.3554771956867,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T13:00:31.096Z","priceCents":56,"iy":79.21205858654065,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T13:15:24.761Z","priceCents":55,"iy":76.07002003777168,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T13:30:33.091Z","priceCents":54,"iy":73.06467035155784,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T17:30:25.753Z","priceCents":52,"iy":67.44605594796037,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T17:45:42.036Z","priceCents":54,"iy":73.08672958577512,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T18:15:41.228Z","priceCents":56,"iy":79.24164965917562,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T18:30:25.065Z","priceCents":54,"iy":73.09059443827671,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T18:46:00.380Z","priceCents":60,"iy":93.39528980686364,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T19:00:26.436Z","priceCents":67,"iy":126.41598307437059,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T20:00:31.252Z","priceCents":66,"iy":120.87521483073154,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:30:25.937Z","priceCents":65,"iy":115.66304296425002,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:45:37.341Z","priceCents":66,"iy":120.89872771779737,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:00:28.927Z","priceCents":70,"iy":145.32544082524373,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:15:39.323Z","priceCents":65,"iy":115.66916133398115,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:15:33.658Z","priceCents":63,"iy":106.06512633996302,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:30:25.779Z","priceCents":64,"iy":110.74379820507818,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:45:39.711Z","priceCents":63,"iy":106.06892778221287,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T02:30:28.168Z","priceCents":52,"iy":67.48922448125039,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T02:45:37.724Z","priceCents":63,"iy":106.07653148424802,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T04:00:26.841Z","priceCents":53,"iy":70.2582040753681,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T04:15:38.880Z","priceCents":63,"iy":106.08793908157878,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T04:30:26.523Z","priceCents":56,"iy":79.299409118532,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T04:45:41.049Z","priceCents":63,"iy":106.09156105415933,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T05:15:40.655Z","priceCents":62,"iy":101.66364490986797,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T07:00:25.728Z","priceCents":63,"iy":106.10858763863334,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T07:30:24.956Z","priceCents":62,"iy":101.67996144518723,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T08:45:38.845Z","priceCents":63,"iy":106.12181418229554,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:45:46.143Z","priceCents":64,"iy":110.84027366159894,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T14:45:53.081Z","priceCents":66,"iy":121.03648227486286,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:00:29.300Z","priceCents":67,"iy":126.59587547479927,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T14:00:50.180Z","priceCents":66,"iy":121.23716868886305,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:30:40.848Z","priceCents":64,"iy":111.3137249632274,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:45:24.710Z","priceCents":63,"iy":106.61480536782247,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:00:25.261Z","priceCents":64,"iy":111.33358764669966,"cri":1.778}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.016","3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 58c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x98d54453621129d07bfda4840fb6aa59f98fd90663e7fa5ab4541b7ed21da642","marketTitle":"Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":58},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0569085637b507bc48d2b1f78b07156ce07fad4ed9495dd3ed15964ffce2bab0","reason":"Will Exponent launch a token by ___?: June 30, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x411d2f1251d86d9a4f30186c660745c597d18a19737fd8f7b4ee1483ece9ffde","reason":"Will Exponent launch a token by ___?: December 31, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x8f556c1a64b593796ea422693ff29a3ff768cede5e5991f7a46bb0ec59a2e7c0","reason":"Will Exponent launch a token by ___?: September 30, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Exponent%20launch%20a%20token%20by%20December%2031%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":86}