{"ticker":"0x9dbfdcb3a62c2498adf35068038c7db1bcab916e7a9f0551ed8a1aeb272e5895","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will May be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.","price":8,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":10,"spread":4,"volume":5935.690019999998,"volume24h":20.0616,"openInterest":6833.63158,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-01-01","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":1653.0731999322625,"iyNo":12.499608317068146,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5,"cvr":null,"overround":0.04,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T02:08:12.918Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xcffb94c02ef7a6ffaab9ce5ae8c68c34aa3a470d87d8185d2b68ed6a0b9eec24","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: March","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x032239ad00d4549e33616588129286485c9744108de196f0535a6f5ba9f08eb3","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: July","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x33954bc9d9d882b57687fc98a1c9721f369e44c09e8a1e01b859dec8583ac053","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: September","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8e476262d56f0e18111ef97ba0abee632d0d76a151d7f05fca6ab9da70bb978a","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: November","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbc691aab089e310928d55d356f5de9abe2e7ad71bddeb48070ded5ef94f82951","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: April","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5a4fc50ae4b1e38fa14b8a7d3b7cb01bd509f3857e9b4e5f39e0c746804a2696","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: June","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x181ddd17ea69696baea2892ae68259c5d98c913619fbf841bfbb7f0aa1718c42","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: August","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc26c4c52dbd9a662f5fb97f124da2303515c881557dd1856231fd0045625f1c0","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: October","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xda3a93dd94e86137ce4df45d56eedd1d9f50aa51f9f8efc4b7f75f784e140024","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: December","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T17:08:52.265Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1229.0205996572959,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T17:22:45.364Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1380.8031980258445,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T22:37:57.484Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1571.7618336160444,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T02:52:49.414Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1382.85205169198,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T03:07:44.805Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1572.86319181624,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T05:22:48.068Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1383.3911429647178,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T05:52:49.520Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1573.5412644561488,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T06:52:45.624Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1818.1662364735548,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T07:22:43.656Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1573.9070766761783,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T07:37:55.713Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1383.878760304616,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T07:52:29.321Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1574.0310193796124,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1653%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.50)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xcffb94c02ef7a6ffaab9ce5ae8c68c34aa3a470d87d8185d2b68ed6a0b9eec24","reason":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: March"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x032239ad00d4549e33616588129286485c9744108de196f0535a6f5ba9f08eb3","reason":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: July"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x33954bc9d9d882b57687fc98a1c9721f369e44c09e8a1e01b859dec8583ac053","reason":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: September"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20May%20be%20the%20best%20month%20for%20Bitcoin%20in%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2062}