{"ticker":"0x9ed2a24391123c685db5c48ea043ee9bd714a144be4a9a0c48d146d521cf9f93","venue":"polymarket","title":"Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":6,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":6,"spread":1,"volume":65262.71250499993,"volume24h":18.786665,"openInterest":38620.284,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":2260.452037700993,"iyNo":9.20962803952419,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":21666,"askDepthUsd":79536,"volume24h":18.786665,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:50:30.024Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T11:11:36.777Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1833.1427016132948,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T15:31:20.173Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2196.3769702416844,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:06:43.717Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1899.2302927931075,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:50:30.338Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2243.521838863997,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T03:10:26.472Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2721.016369257811,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T11:15:14.724Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2246.6156709136935,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:20:36.872Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2725.100791399134,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T13:15:31.720Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2247.3485086671276,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:26:22.039Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2726.043443737765,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:20:46.109Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2248.8598392042272,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:20:34.668Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2729.5734623271624,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:15:27.786Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2257.3289173637345,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 2260%"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x9ed2a24391123c685db5c48ea043ee9bd714a144be4a9a0c48d146d521cf9f93","marketTitle":"Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Kim%20Jong%20Un%20out%20as%20Supreme%20Leader%20of%20North%20Korea%20by%20December","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3579}