{"ticker":"0xa226daf1b12a3c4f7ff6c71c4cf6cd1e51d31833ff49a67210ed81db5a813574","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","price":5,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":6,"spread":2,"volume":84037.6440830001,"volume24h":532.385238,"openInterest":51524.10458,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":2741.3992797650335,"iyNo":7.593903822063806,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":2436244,"askDepthUsd":31481148,"volume24h":532.385238,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:51:54.806Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x6b978bfe3f8b58edd400556fa8d1f582d4b4f60d12286245af249fa8a6446bca","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Microsoft","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x39676b9161ea372b38115423a5de8f700f1888c35dd0fb2be07d96510ec28f7c","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Alphabet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x899f8c70dae5b6d09a19ebe324e248ce8bf48002f06216fa7d937b935f4c1734","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Saudi Aramco","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x684e5b72d4e407695397a79ed75ef37273c2655ca2548791a4153233d3744696","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x55a5a4b50b7947482e95af8f638fa0b8d9a46740c5cd04c6799443e83565176a","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Apple","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1f403ffb53e114cbc81c5f07a0f3971886c67b67af7c260f0117d3f63ba54af4","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Tesla","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa0bc0c7db051defd2425c4d79fbfa1a0252cec4a987572562038a090922d412e","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Amazon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:30:18.378Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3431.096070689979,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:35:17.919Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2716.3163069065326,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:45:36.692Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3431.2304643128527,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:00:18.096Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2716.507828321405,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:06:23.114Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3431.4320744887127,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:15:17.218Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2716.614240777809,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:30:19.589Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3431.647151458646,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:50:18.126Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2716.8696646908797,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:55:18.033Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3431.88914527939,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:00:19.000Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2716.944172380019,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:10:21.000Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3432.02360103901,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:20:19.183Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2717.0932000188054,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:25:26.921Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3432.1715145436306,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:30:19.450Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2717.167719969125,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:40:19.208Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3432.3059924301197,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:50:20.102Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2717.316772133299,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:55:20.312Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3432.440480855132,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:25:26.991Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2717.5723281777173,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:30:20.446Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3432.7767480318357,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T01:45:17.838Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4629.429862928081,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:21:03.193Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3450.150057896354,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:20:31.677Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2732.2619662042634,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:05:35.366Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3451.6998439642534,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:40:32.497Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2732.854147948487,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:10:48.351Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3452.3119849611617,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:15:47.526Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2733.123406334855,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:35:47.205Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3452.5569021578485,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:40:47.413Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2733.3065323464257,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:10:47.468Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3453.455229264485,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:16:01.090Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2734.017724792632,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:15:26.657Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3455.198772536692,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:25:25.495Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2735.441220555055,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:35:26.985Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3456.5212244608065,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:50:27.065Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2736.531411908153,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:10:45.627Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3456.8622266770317,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:20:28.544Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2736.7581944893877,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:50:30.016Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3457.230584650843,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:15:36.894Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2737.168658530809,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:15:27.309Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3458.609212692622,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:30:44.278Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2738.1845461365338,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:30:29.320Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3459.8932804606875,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:10:38.056Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2739.3851295035925,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:30:47.689Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3460.4673211005547,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:45:29.198Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2739.64485353665,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:50:37.470Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3460.645038952009,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:00:30.039Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2739.753086419753,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:10:35.672Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3460.836447822754,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:20:27.522Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2739.904626823804,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:30.817Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3462.1769030116197,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:40:31.299Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2740.9550459658353,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 2741%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.20)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xa226daf1b12a3c4f7ff6c71c4cf6cd1e51d31833ff49a67210ed81db5a813574","marketTitle":"Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6b978bfe3f8b58edd400556fa8d1f582d4b4f60d12286245af249fa8a6446bca","reason":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Microsoft"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x39676b9161ea372b38115423a5de8f700f1888c35dd0fb2be07d96510ec28f7c","reason":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Alphabet"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x899f8c70dae5b6d09a19ebe324e248ce8bf48002f06216fa7d937b935f4c1734","reason":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Saudi Aramco"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20SpaceX%20be%20the%20largest%20company%20in%20the%20world%20by%20market%20ca","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4883}