{"ticker":"0xaf3f06b4f26051357aa7086b5e58ef3d56a600a2da3122b3f8458077b80efec7","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":22,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":39,"spread":31,"volume":4210.8878159999995,"volume24h":25,"openInterest":51.6162,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":245,"iyYes":471.258978383925,"iyNo":46.99535518510054,"cri":3.167,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":5.55,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.477,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":31,"bidDepthUsd":568,"askDepthUsd":3768,"volume24h":25,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.45},"computedAt":"2026-04-29T17:47:44.259Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xb5052bf717633331a67703cec30c3506216a77176cd5d032dcffb04034f18d48","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Roger Ver","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x63c7e65d0324c084b74b62f5c9109bd0b02570c6833cde0b959c911b6eb6be8b","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfcbc8e878762a0599bda65edefb8b21ebc438cfea024b4124b1e1a4dccb59cd4","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Matt Gaetz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbb8c9abdefb768e1f5686f1274a96c4403fe801df50d3d84d1f886256705fc96","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Joe Exotic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Ghislaine Maxwell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x30efbe1580dacf2bf87a89bdb1015e3f3398f8bc7e4453210e83bbdbb0f621b9","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Eric Adams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6bc658b5fdfded234356308d971d7b93e2e92c48eff32144bc163b4a3da7277b","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Himself","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xdbb048848c9ee26557d7ad31ba64715e0a6ebb95a104f48a534edcb3a835b5a9","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Roger Stone","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa351f017fc3e489eac1c02153cc22bd9d02c520e257b88177d3a1fe1d537ec93","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Antoine Massey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2c41ac56695e28bd7bca361bffde6977e6211406e19fb26ec98037661f23c35f","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Sam Bankman-Fried","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x507746b101b9b031567da9c5cb1bf714dac808299708020fc91a9fa6a6032978","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Julian Assange","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcd4a8e578de8204cf31c57e509e507c81462b10ef0840d0495c737bd047edabb","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Hunter Biden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x25a847211096054f4e4b4a6a575ed7183da2ba692d9b97899742bdc6611a69ed","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Daniel Penny","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x354d0b717b2f83b620f34be00890b6dd4e93a9b7c7ad71d435db77eff868b91c","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Derek Chauvin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe3756fe9c41dd786bac8d5092c783e02463f5d5de99285f1f5d0fd47df02f76a","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Do Kwon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4a869db910b4f8e3dc8e4b562889939b2ad272c8cef5914eadeb12fb6b979ad2","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Steve Bannon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe16cd141288e4f14414608210a92225704d5d0a90ef79fd732b83af5c47623e4","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Diddy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x07d4883660832eb7b64be2f4dba5870eb3ff4ae764e79893d6f574eaa075f7cf","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Edward Snowden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0146bc6b56b60b7451fe1aa786f0f795390ba3fd2d454b005925fac454c2f831","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Bob Menendez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd6587cdab5cd947ae9a0ec948252b7ff02564a2561aff0cd49d30d80c9806deb","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Elizabeth Holmes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbde10fc985687f35034b62df6cd50adbe835dcf08a36a93c4c695ed75777e32c","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Ryan Salame","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x836ddf4f19b2ea425a7b038249d07f67e68411e1d0736b1b27cd8d1e7c3b7be8","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Donald Brodie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa5037368e1c68fe7efb9361b57e5c010e701ff0bc6ee41fd7a98bc8f8cf866b1","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Stefan Brodie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x54701be7ec2f8ae91308ef7ca1e28720f74664e3d3dc446ceef76e86a785e579","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Keonne Rodriguez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe243748396163f096042bb0c7ea137a864f5259b9b906ce1656ec8d4bd3c64d0","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Martin Shkreli","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1b53ad65dae4809d3d1097bbcd6be1f44ba5cddd47be9ce21896722c7d79681a","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Nicolas Maduro","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:00:31.289Z","priceCents":41,"iy":213.65882629224902,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:05:29.881Z","priceCents":42,"iy":205.0390998037746,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:10:39.565Z","priceCents":31,"iy":330.485528316252,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:15:29.893Z","priceCents":27,"iy":401.44813620037655,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:40:30.398Z","priceCents":26,"iy":422.63019623122136,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T05:20:34.336Z","priceCents":25,"iy":445.52582218840666,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T05:35:39.324Z","priceCents":26,"iy":422.6955424634527,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:05:35.334Z","priceCents":25,"iy":445.5820237155437,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:30:30.875Z","priceCents":36,"iy":264.0668740315099,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:35:19.809Z","priceCents":35,"iy":275.86006424138486,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:40:20.822Z","priceCents":31,"iy":330.62540384609827,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:45:19.730Z","priceCents":32,"iy":315.65528103239876,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:50:34.443Z","priceCents":33,"iy":301.5935559736304,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:55:18.917Z","priceCents":32,"iy":315.6642736211499,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:00:20.075Z","priceCents":31,"iy":330.64424228706827,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:10:38.377Z","priceCents":30,"iy":346.62726918761695,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:15:37.214Z","priceCents":26,"iy":422.8159700143484,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:20:18.758Z","priceCents":23,"iy":497.3489469580578,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:30:30.553Z","priceCents":22,"iy":526.7233956582598,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:46:01.775Z","priceCents":20,"iy":594.2786434165324,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:55:20.180Z","priceCents":19,"iy":633.3913915329294,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:15:48.987Z","priceCents":18,"iy":676.8724467457656,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:20:48.908Z","priceCents":16,"iy":780.0669239411851,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:30:49.535Z","priceCents":14,"iy":912.7573763532157,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:06:29.756Z","priceCents":23,"iy":497.4987874518078,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:10:50.722Z","priceCents":17,"iy":725.543762658697,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:20:58.586Z","priceCents":16,"iy":780.200317576646,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:25:51.468Z","priceCents":14,"iy":912.8985970036916,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:30:51.230Z","priceCents":16,"iy":780.2193775345677,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:40:54.653Z","priceCents":23,"iy":497.5453778910697,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:20:52.747Z","priceCents":22,"iy":526.9764950343525,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:55:53.913Z","priceCents":18,"iy":677.1784307470232,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:00:50.408Z","priceCents":45,"iy":181.68497770682336,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:05:51.134Z","priceCents":42,"iy":205.2829374873214,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:15:51.053Z","priceCents":46,"iy":174.51086048994432,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:20:52.663Z","priceCents":51,"iy":154.7275693441754,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:26:43.372Z","priceCents":44,"iy":189.20649167102658,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:30:52.269Z","priceCents":37,"iy":253.13069667908374,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:40:51.467Z","priceCents":34,"iy":288.59140321070805,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T12:45:52.699Z","priceCents":31,"iy":330.9675211590552,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:45:52.380Z","priceCents":29,"iy":364.11003302631855,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:50:49.858Z","priceCents":28,"iy":382.4301017310637,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:30:57.804Z","priceCents":27,"iy":402.14831265993666,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:36:29.539Z","priceCents":26,"iy":423.3432170887089,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:50:49.317Z","priceCents":25,"iy":446.2448192810364,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:56:11.708Z","priceCents":24,"iy":471.1225964935164,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T16:00:57.286Z","priceCents":23,"iy":498.0807807099454,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T16:50:58.597Z","priceCents":22,"iy":527.5586874295384,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:01:15.207Z","priceCents":24,"iy":471.20902655757175,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:41:06.836Z","priceCents":23,"iy":498.2229369041112,"cri":3.348}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 471%","26 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 1.17)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xb5052bf717633331a67703cec30c3506216a77176cd5d032dcffb04034f18d48","reason":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Roger Ver"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x63c7e65d0324c084b74b62f5c9109bd0b02570c6833cde0b959c911b6eb6be8b","reason":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Elon Musk"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xfcbc8e878762a0599bda65edefb8b21ebc438cfea024b4124b1e1a4dccb59cd4","reason":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Matt Gaetz"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Trump%20pardon%20Young%20Thug%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2344}