{"ticker":"0xb14c073b5ff01c3f9a42b15c867475ae38612ecbe3a8945375ba56969c270247","venue":"polymarket","title":"Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNaim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":2,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"volume":277389.69843799877,"volume24h":883.254364,"openInterest":33814.42115,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-30","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":14542,"askDepthUsd":1351,"volume24h":883.254364,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T14:28:11.913Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":null,"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T21:16:02.176Z","priceCents":7,"iy":28335.197582597364,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T22:15:35.842Z","priceCents":8,"iy":24585.602998887127,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T22:31:37.333Z","priceCents":7,"iy":28423.220879700562,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T01:47:01.028Z","priceCents":8,"iy":24799.12560557722,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T02:00:35.230Z","priceCents":7,"iy":28666.85808870722,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T02:15:58.578Z","priceCents":8,"iy":24828.463267479,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T02:30:38.437Z","priceCents":7,"iy":28702.49017038007,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T16:45:34.912Z","priceCents":6,"iy":35077.49560381139,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T17:30:41.273Z","priceCents":5,"iy":42624.46220036876,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T11:00:45.324Z","priceCents":7,"iy":31203.176850175107,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T11:30:33.623Z","priceCents":6,"iy":36844.93127147766,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T12:30:36.404Z","priceCents":7,"iy":31328.158888078775,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T14:45:39.407Z","priceCents":5,"iy":45076.37309067272,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T15:15:40.107Z","priceCents":4,"iy":57016.40197865139,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T16:00:33.202Z","priceCents":5,"iy":45229.24411400247,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T18:01:10.827Z","priceCents":4,"iy":57446.389927208336,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T18:15:41.382Z","priceCents":5,"iy":45508.23544852024,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T19:15:40.830Z","priceCents":6,"iy":37628.0406220526,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T19:45:41.215Z","priceCents":9,"iy":24316.765866479254,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T20:01:39.104Z","priceCents":10,"iy":21660.292760121323,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T20:15:36.231Z","priceCents":13,"iy":16116.99859918387,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T20:30:42.597Z","priceCents":15,"iy":13656.872455155719,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T20:45:34.146Z","priceCents":20,"iy":9646.514701024116,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T21:00:44.255Z","priceCents":17,"iy":11782.986138120945,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T21:15:35.820Z","priceCents":12,"iy":17709.849587578843,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T21:30:55.837Z","priceCents":13,"iy":16172.486147327249,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T21:45:35.395Z","priceCents":9,"iy":24452.100679490864,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T22:16:08.549Z","priceCents":8,"iy":27849.65498938429,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T22:45:37.635Z","priceCents":6,"iy":37990.5217468332,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T23:00:39.056Z","priceCents":5,"iy":46107.30669503356,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T23:45:44.249Z","priceCents":4,"iy":58361.09260493005,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T00:00:33.855Z","priceCents":5,"iy":46233.33333333332,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T00:45:46.982Z","priceCents":4,"iy":58524.853019775524,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T02:30:41.935Z","priceCents":3,"iy":79232.40461004812,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T03:15:39.970Z","priceCents":4,"iy":58934.33799784715,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T05:15:31.768Z","priceCents":5,"iy":46918.34111359176,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T07:01:32.627Z","priceCents":4,"iy":59563.47317603862,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T16:31:20.485Z","priceCents":5,"iy":48455.841252096136,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T19:45:51.116Z","priceCents":8,"iy":29607.815475770614,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T20:00:32.817Z","priceCents":7,"iy":34231.86301204089,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T21:30:29.699Z","priceCents":3,"iy":83676.02571374552,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T22:15:34.946Z","priceCents":4,"iy":62246.85568109145,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T22:45:28.253Z","priceCents":3,"iy":83985.67226492078,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T23:30:45.975Z","priceCents":4,"iy":62482.16833095578,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T00:30:44.246Z","priceCents":3,"iy":84424.2554307652,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T05:31:11.360Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T07:46:16.842Z","priceCents":3,"iy":93102.45082570738,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T10:30:46.232Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T11:00:44.587Z","priceCents":3,"iy":94104.6700156819,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T16:46:34.222Z","priceCents":4,"iy":71213.72246158849,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":[],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 2c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xb14c073b5ff01c3f9a42b15c867475ae38612ecbe3a8945375ba56969c270247","marketTitle":"Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":2},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Naim%20Qassem%20out%20as%20Hezbollah%E2%80%99s%20secretary-general%20by%20June%2030%2C","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":151}