{"ticker":"0xb336f26caa6ff99926dfb36d594f7f04658bca93dba6cae88b406c641c2b0e3d","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","price":3,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":4,"spread":3,"volume":4910.392677999999,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":8512.17226,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-09","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":48,"iyYes":24600.643417477888,"iyNo":23.531277580752576,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":8058,"askDepthUsd":26615,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:50:07.670Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x9e7946bfbc35a400efea548fe34b649fc96893f80c899ae87cb6b5a650907032","connectedTitle":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Troy Jackson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101245","groupLabel":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc5640f307142863ac4c85c5ace8fbabcc09cf1b87e064948bfea956f0ca27450","connectedTitle":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Kenneth Pinet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101245","groupLabel":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x906842f0acae58e8633c17e933010e1662ca6616fbb3de89f61ff7a3718f5cc7","connectedTitle":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Nirav Shah","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101245","groupLabel":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x05069df3b825fb89843fae06511c6af786e6f4e1ccb172778e1d7a84e2b7214e","connectedTitle":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Jason Cherry","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101245","groupLabel":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa46577023b4faca2ecab0c1ff6142880d71872c281685d4adc2069f03a9a68f1","connectedTitle":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Angus King III","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101245","groupLabel":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9eb4dd944ea38e1259b26371b2582b0e6f3cb6ff4583407675b88b511f3eb10d","connectedTitle":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Hannah Pingree","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101245","groupLabel":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T06:40:55.235Z","priceCents":4,"iy":14667.961555205788,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T07:35:53.985Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11619.724209573915,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T13:10:51.667Z","priceCents":4,"iy":14734.823636271887,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:20:47.631Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11699.31001906304,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:25:54.279Z","priceCents":4,"iy":14789.303079416533,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T03:35:38.907Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11784.197111299913,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T04:10:39.780Z","priceCents":4,"iy":14891.374562268385,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T05:20:46.768Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11798.83287680555,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T05:35:39.378Z","priceCents":4,"iy":14906.32497830415,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T13:45:42.650Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11869.512382973624,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T14:20:39.702Z","priceCents":4,"iy":14999.48631896168,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T16:35:38.894Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11893.532730796274,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T17:10:40.043Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15029.853819229977,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T03:15:13.865Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11984.999308723904,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T03:20:14.694Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15139.731425312386,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T23:15:58.562Z","priceCents":5,"iy":12160.053304343252,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T23:21:19.474Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15361.14472092167,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T04:15:44.566Z","priceCents":5,"iy":12204.77983879483,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T04:21:14.864Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15417.37798975695,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T09:55:21.312Z","priceCents":5,"iy":12255.46503613904,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T10:15:10.391Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15484.418362116205,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T14:25:52.595Z","priceCents":5,"iy":12518.276503185974,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T14:31:13.157Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15813.701597617113,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T15:00:53.162Z","priceCents":5,"iy":12523.928197348932,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T16:20:50.879Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15835.427249227208,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:05:52.481Z","priceCents":5,"iy":12543.40905802344,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:26:11.293Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15848.60601016771,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T10:35:32.452Z","priceCents":3,"iy":21631.01718628763,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:45:11.714Z","priceCents":2,"iy":33738.917185436716,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:17.851Z","priceCents":1,"iy":69310.4440395128,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:20:44.112Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34320.9687014258,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:35:15.760Z","priceCents":1,"iy":69355.67455519088,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:40:20.585Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34330.191757682784,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:45:16.123Z","priceCents":1,"iy":69364.99404921872,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T22:35:16.378Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34355.25077316122,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T22:45:16.821Z","priceCents":1,"iy":69420.96365173288,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:00:29.200Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34367.133606195115,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:15:27.967Z","priceCents":1,"iy":69448.98233745267,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:20:17.485Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34375.72076574152,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:25:16.549Z","priceCents":1,"iy":69458.32692603413,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:30:17.599Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34380.34639856981,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:35:25.426Z","priceCents":1,"iy":69467.67402964414,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:40:16.068Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34384.973276425575,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:45:17.110Z","priceCents":1,"iy":69477.02364929821,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:30:17.206Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34408.12635872179,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T01:00:17.652Z","priceCents":1,"iy":69546.55683436622,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T01:05:16.488Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34424.02078721971,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T01:15:31.613Z","priceCents":1,"iy":69559.94455994456,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T00:46:05.097Z","priceCents":2,"iy":35090.64511065767,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T01:45:56.832Z","priceCents":3,"iy":23174.148110330025,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 24601%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 1.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x9e7946bfbc35a400efea548fe34b649fc96893f80c899ae87cb6b5a650907032","reason":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Troy Jackson"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xc5640f307142863ac4c85c5ace8fbabcc09cf1b87e064948bfea956f0ca27450","reason":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Kenneth Pinet"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x906842f0acae58e8633c17e933010e1662ca6616fbb3de89f61ff7a3718f5cc7","reason":"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Nirav Shah"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Shenna%20Bellows%20win%20the%202026%20Maine%20Governor%20Democratic%20p","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2648}