{"ticker":"0xb43631c39df7b503d0982233abd43841510994af7104e9c9387ebf2219251084","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.\n\nIf no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","price":4,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":6,"spread":3,"volume":12347.188636000003,"volume24h":5,"openInterest":17189.00253,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-19","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":27,"iyYes":25592.29463429035,"iyNo":70.8927829204719,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.8,"cvr":null,"overround":0.02,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":23646,"askDepthUsd":27169,"volume24h":5},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:53:05.592Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x02964c50a45c809fdc3612b757c7c7b202c5b4d894e4b5c3aa2a816e497f9304","connectedTitle":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: David Burch","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106175","groupLabel":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x33812f429b8063ce69f47173a8ed6bca5ccfa97184d2721c3c895da74ded16d0","connectedTitle":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: Brent Barker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106175","groupLabel":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x274ee44c98d362acd061b9146a8b3c38e6bdfc205087882f18f71002fd65a0bd","connectedTitle":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: Tim Skelton","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106175","groupLabel":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1b0943ccb9d5eb36f9961efb6c4f0c4f244b46a26215f176706d4bae2caf19bf","connectedTitle":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: David Brock Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106175","groupLabel":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd0acf6b8bb34b4f602b537e4f030bc299730bada41de2d6f6818cbae2ab2a363","connectedTitle":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: Deborah C. Brown","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106175","groupLabel":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x85d838862de076e54d9d0002bdde579dc352474cfc9b88a4801bf7eabf9318cb","connectedTitle":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: Douglas T. Muck Jr.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106175","groupLabel":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbd5f01bc9f7d8214b9200773c72573987f0964f7bc4347fa6f1106ce9d1722c5","connectedTitle":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: Jo Rae Perkins","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106175","groupLabel":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xef059a03a17572c2080c97f353aed695286bbaf58f333bf3fa14396d58b5081d","connectedTitle":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: Joe Johnson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106175","groupLabel":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T07:23:40.949Z","priceCents":6,"iy":14052.721255611257,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T09:22:44.034Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11941.40637367508,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T02:52:49.414Z","priceCents":8,"iy":10525.3259779338,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T03:07:44.805Z","priceCents":7,"iy":12162.743201117917,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T21:50:39.934Z","priceCents":8,"iy":11317.066594769478,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T21:55:38.660Z","priceCents":7,"iy":13075.785240483508,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T22:45:43.690Z","priceCents":8,"iy":11328.673216020728,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T23:05:44.344Z","priceCents":7,"iy":13092.731017564969,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T23:35:31.311Z","priceCents":8,"iy":11339.384607072425,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T23:55:49.833Z","priceCents":7,"iy":13105.115029283337,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T21:41:24.335Z","priceCents":8,"iy":11628.712322695035,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T21:45:58.881Z","priceCents":7,"iy":13435.52964365864,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T06:15:13.297Z","priceCents":8,"iy":11744.872548196648,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T06:20:14.191Z","priceCents":7,"iy":13569.74959224791,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T22:40:51.572Z","priceCents":8,"iy":11974.040793039509,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T02:10:44.320Z","priceCents":7,"iy":13891.219210764311,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T11:00:24.256Z","priceCents":3,"iy":36267.06821138462,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T11:15:25.131Z","priceCents":4,"iy":26928.16083120716,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T11:20:27.304Z","priceCents":3,"iy":36282.67798034453,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T11:25:35.197Z","priceCents":4,"iy":26933.95646291969,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T14:10:25.506Z","priceCents":2,"iy":55185.288037273596,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T16:45:24.988Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T08:20:54.280Z","priceCents":2,"iy":58348.55800600287,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:40:12.256Z","priceCents":4,"iy":30677.639642794606,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:50:33.901Z","priceCents":3,"iy":41339.73191350241,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:55:37.408Z","priceCents":4,"iy":31051.717415192656,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:20:32.484Z","priceCents":3,"iy":41921.237093871365,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:40:47.368Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32179.854529424727,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:10:29.501Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43386.88528608017,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:50:50.602Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25521.65752769293,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:05:29.753Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32299.693964086873,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:35:27.917Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25590.405904059036,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 25592%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.80)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x02964c50a45c809fdc3612b757c7c7b202c5b4d894e4b5c3aa2a816e497f9304","reason":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: David Burch"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x33812f429b8063ce69f47173a8ed6bca5ccfa97184d2721c3c895da74ded16d0","reason":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: Brent Barker"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x274ee44c98d362acd061b9146a8b3c38e6bdfc205087882f18f71002fd65a0bd","reason":"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner: Tim Skelton"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Russell%20McAlmond%20be%20the%20Republican%20nominee%20for%20Senate%20i","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1791}