{"ticker":"0xba753e4c9435984f5e286c3fd3480c41f0205d040f7455ef0c7e9c4e163f3892","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).","price":1,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":1,"spread":0,"volume":37559.46979399999,"volume24h":855.685782,"openInterest":20985.00662,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-10-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.432,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"bidDepthUsd":2065056,"askDepthUsd":2111,"volume24h":855.685782,"observability":"medium","eventType":"unknown","asPrior":0.35},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:44:33.917Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x87091dc5932f015d80c40e71e47cb043c3f8b6098484eb5bc3943cf35ee9afc1","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Kylian Mbappé","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc89266786402aaabe78111eb91c6764d86857bbc4427c82b91d60a5ef69a70d0","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Erling Haaland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xaa95b8ce7b2c7f04102c173447ef24a8724bed88687442ab8742a73aa7bafeff","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Jude Bellingham","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x26f410f7518fa199678ef57f02637fc88be9b3b593346b00946d7ea451f4521b","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Ousmane Dembélé","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf6f3ab86ba22d9d362e2429701722f15115e4a10a3d790c18f88df2ddff7f4ed","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Mohamed Salah","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa34edb6c898232378a9cc08744842df2cd89d278ba45b012bed3ac10c7241c4d","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lamine Yamal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x92546439b64eb75474e85860546f9b46d5965be9f6b39d834b5d952f25137ec0","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Vinícius Júnior","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x12dc2b61723b2a54fc1947a307389b5f32038e7a29a0e936ad1fe410b969d06a","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1eac56852d62aec470b9151ac79496384afc0cb0b8a1be56aee07540765f4628","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Pedri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd5a0dc324b2c8af715850bc34fe2b1089e7627103b92a9ec7aba79cbf9117943","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Cole Palmer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x36d6b5a0d75f0759c747b41afb84d86fff70db2b2eebaeb3bea92fe444de934f","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Declan Rice","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1bc81406764e3a1f4bb86c9bfe054f7c230902f40bcd7f682f6d79a2a0f7dc38","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Vitinha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x01f2c56394e8d4fd8f29ac99cbb3247cc9864a0a131ea420156ae2f658534cf2","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Julian Alvarez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xee309062016daafd45007ca31ff581943496be9397b6fd90d62898530890607a","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Raphinha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6bf93fc8674293ec051a0b10b0ad4fc20b0087685f6c8ef080e1568e03897275","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Bruno Fernandes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc6421c3ee02a46dfff6a860fd1649ad81b168f781842ab732fd4dd6791d6c431","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lautaro Martinez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3d5321854a1571f6f9f27fd6a87fbefdde464260a19b03404d2eb9d97f3d2b06","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Michael Olise","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9f50939c394897a984d04522b61cf62da5aaa7fc50a2b3da362accaeffe38078","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd2b561106be8eaeaf88e70e719b9f155c9ffb5f3307d908c8ad3210033b436ae","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Federico Valverde","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0a954634c5503fccd320be94a8e3bdb51ebf44b6326caadc21329d0404fae994","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Desire Doue","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x690c19fce9277de872d336d74ed41d2777e1cd292aff46266660b103d26c959a","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Achraf Hakimi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x29ef2d589755bce48cd5c880ad51c2e814e56725f58232bc26d2f95e0ef7929a","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Luis Diaz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2b15aefb60135abd51882bcaa199162a773b58a901be68ad41fc86c87fa56551","connectedTitle":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Dominik Szoboszlai","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:48361","groupLabel":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T02:10:55.366Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3854.7265562034136,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T02:20:59.956Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3178.58241338803,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T02:40:56.581Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3855.1765543004526,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T02:45:54.683Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3178.88280475489,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T03:00:52.791Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3855.4766114057607,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T03:05:53.421Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3179.130228515621,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T03:35:57.555Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3855.991103697525,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T03:50:53.285Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4870.996441281139,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T03:55:52.867Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3179.748956456623,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T04:15:51.964Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3856.5915182791864,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T04:20:53.829Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3180.0495683622607,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T04:25:58.173Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3856.741651141451,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T05:00:53.423Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3180.5448177791623,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T05:20:52.015Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2697.3893847854365,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T05:30:51.656Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3180.9163560846264,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T05:45:56.542Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3857.9216733422336,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T05:56:02.462Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3181.217188772,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T06:00:50.757Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2697.8095646071542,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T06:05:55.250Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3181.3410775946795,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T06:25:50.820Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3858.5226893374575,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T08:20:48.646Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4876.093781310535,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T08:30:50.339Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3860.391327340031,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T08:40:50.026Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4876.473797303465,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T08:45:50.046Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3860.6062292982983,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T08:50:49.502Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4876.663827513069,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T09:00:54.753Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3860.842649089208,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T09:25:53.152Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4877.315472114115,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T10:50:50.416Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3862.4768864036355,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T10:55:55.385Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4878.999693670112,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T11:25:49.790Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6573.865704121269,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T13:50:50.813Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4882.317205709413,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T13:55:49.876Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6577.676215955115,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T17:05:52.496Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4885.99348534202,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T17:11:15.515Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6582.665863471736,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T20:55:51.654Z","priceCents":2,"iy":9984.480371577865,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T00:21:45.837Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6593.66241118902,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T01:36:01.172Z","priceCents":2,"iy":9995.361392252966,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T02:46:20.167Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6597.385270156453,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T04:46:37.866Z","priceCents":2,"iy":10002.740476842971,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:55:48.230Z","priceCents":1,"iy":20276.526140361704,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T03:46:06.790Z","priceCents":2,"iy":10113.490497220699,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T06:30:19.155Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4956.741677936275,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T06:40:19.207Z","priceCents":2,"iy":10120.415115265783,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T12:31:01.569Z","priceCents":1,"iy":20475.64002311903,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:30:34.091Z","priceCents":2,"iy":10199.368135314848,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:05:33.798Z","priceCents":1,"iy":20629.356656371492,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:30:33.828Z","priceCents":2,"iy":10211.539010534128,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:25:29.355Z","priceCents":1,"iy":20635.95401668694,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:30:40.752Z","priceCents":2,"iy":10213.93000730994,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:15:31.037Z","priceCents":1,"iy":20639.961616011606,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["23 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x87091dc5932f015d80c40e71e47cb043c3f8b6098484eb5bc3943cf35ee9afc1","reason":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Kylian Mbappé"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xc89266786402aaabe78111eb91c6764d86857bbc4427c82b91d60a5ef69a70d0","reason":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Erling Haaland"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xaa95b8ce7b2c7f04102c173447ef24a8724bed88687442ab8742a73aa7bafeff","reason":"Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Jude Bellingham"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Cristiano%20Ronaldo%20win%20the%202026%20Ballon%20d'Or%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":71}