{"ticker":"0xbc691aab089e310928d55d356f5de9abe2e7ad71bddeb48070ded5ef94f82951","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.\n\nThe “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.\n\nThe resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\n\nIf two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.\n\nOnly Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.\n\nIf it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.","price":8,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":11,"spread":6,"volume":12497.245599,"volume24h":30,"openInterest":5308.0029,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-01-01","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":1651.9216995017673,"iyNo":12.49090131948406,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.625,"cvr":null,"overround":0.04,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":2811,"askDepthUsd":345063,"volume24h":30,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:50:52.480Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xcffb94c02ef7a6ffaab9ce5ae8c68c34aa3a470d87d8185d2b68ed6a0b9eec24","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: March","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9dbfdcb3a62c2498adf35068038c7db1bcab916e7a9f0551ed8a1aeb272e5895","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: May","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x032239ad00d4549e33616588129286485c9744108de196f0535a6f5ba9f08eb3","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: July","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x33954bc9d9d882b57687fc98a1c9721f369e44c09e8a1e01b859dec8583ac053","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: September","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8e476262d56f0e18111ef97ba0abee632d0d76a151d7f05fca6ab9da70bb978a","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: November","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5a4fc50ae4b1e38fa14b8a7d3b7cb01bd509f3857e9b4e5f39e0c746804a2696","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: June","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x181ddd17ea69696baea2892ae68259c5d98c913619fbf841bfbb7f0aa1718c42","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: August","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc26c4c52dbd9a662f5fb97f124da2303515c881557dd1856231fd0045625f1c0","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: October","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xda3a93dd94e86137ce4df45d56eedd1d9f50aa51f9f8efc4b7f75f784e140024","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: December","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192882","groupLabel":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:56:13.221Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.0130487288466,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:10:33.072Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1447.0837439539655,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:16:57.633Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1157.9742846652623,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:20:33.612Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.0989071745344,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:25:32.692Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1447.1404869955597,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:30:33.187Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1158.019691860175,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:35:39.407Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.1494174898144,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:40:33.292Z","priceCents":13,"iy":957.8659633166444,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:45:32.550Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.184777067566,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:50:32.760Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1447.236960379737,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:56:08.365Z","priceCents":13,"iy":957.9072825387574,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:00:34.069Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1049.6732026143793,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:05:33.456Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1158.128683658496,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:10:32.297Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.270658410231,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:15:46.576Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1447.3391226898243,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:20:32.282Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1158.174102963229,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:25:32.535Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.3262347930443,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:36:02.128Z","priceCents":14,"iy":879.3579202442816,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:40:33.242Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.3767629386757,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:50:33.784Z","priceCents":15,"iy":811.2224553696914,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:55:50.868Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1158.2876668125,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:05:33.677Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1447.5378129213725,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:10:33.738Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.482884946519,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:15:35.379Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1447.5718795815444,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:30:32.487Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.5536426646581,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:35:32.641Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1447.6513746913147,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:10:33.152Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.6951814176823,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:45:33.039Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1447.9296763464135,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:50:52.125Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.836751268239,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:10:58.557Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1448.0319364827758,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:30:48.219Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.9732945137216,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:40:33.035Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1448.1455757986384,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:45:32.553Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1289.028931538241,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:55:32.185Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1158.8558202851318,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:00:32.539Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1289.0795148195093,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:10:51.097Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1448.2649162783844,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:15:34.562Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1289.130102070849,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:20:32.368Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1158.9331322161293,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:25:32.882Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1448.3217519918514,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:30:44.509Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1289.1857526333138,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:35:42.770Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1448.3615396455998,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:05:36.631Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1647.448074477605,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:25:56.382Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1448.7993481602452,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:05:30.333Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1651.7721872651218,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:10:36.452Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1452.2999376492637,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:15:28.125Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1651.8176881242275,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:20:27.522Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1452.3399441801243,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:25:28.529Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1651.863191490199,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:30:44.750Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1452.379952915167,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:35:28.608Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1651.908697363243,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1652%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xcffb94c02ef7a6ffaab9ce5ae8c68c34aa3a470d87d8185d2b68ed6a0b9eec24","reason":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: March"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x9dbfdcb3a62c2498adf35068038c7db1bcab916e7a9f0551ed8a1aeb272e5895","reason":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: May"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x032239ad00d4549e33616588129286485c9744108de196f0535a6f5ba9f08eb3","reason":"Bitcoin best month in 2026?: July"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20April%20be%20the%20best%20month%20for%20Bitcoin%20in%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":5519}