{"ticker":"0xbde10fc985687f35034b62df6cd50adbe835dcf08a36a93c4c695ed75777e32c","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":14,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":17,"spread":6,"volume":15212.948864000002,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":7706.4406,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":200,"iyYes":1120.4047877227335,"iyNo":29.69163580227904,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4286,"cvr":null,"overround":3.88,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.477,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.45},"computedAt":"2026-06-13T21:35:39.317Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x0146bc6b56b60b7451fe1aa786f0f795390ba3fd2d454b005925fac454c2f831","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Bob Menendez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x07d4883660832eb7b64be2f4dba5870eb3ff4ae764e79893d6f574eaa075f7cf","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Edward Snowden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1b53ad65dae4809d3d1097bbcd6be1f44ba5cddd47be9ce21896722c7d79681a","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Nicolas Maduro","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x25a847211096054f4e4b4a6a575ed7183da2ba692d9b97899742bdc6611a69ed","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Daniel Penny","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2c41ac56695e28bd7bca361bffde6977e6211406e19fb26ec98037661f23c35f","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Sam Bankman-Fried","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x30efbe1580dacf2bf87a89bdb1015e3f3398f8bc7e4453210e83bbdbb0f621b9","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Eric Adams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x354d0b717b2f83b620f34be00890b6dd4e93a9b7c7ad71d435db77eff868b91c","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Derek Chauvin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4a869db910b4f8e3dc8e4b562889939b2ad272c8cef5914eadeb12fb6b979ad2","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Steve Bannon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x507746b101b9b031567da9c5cb1bf714dac808299708020fc91a9fa6a6032978","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Julian Assange","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x54701be7ec2f8ae91308ef7ca1e28720f74664e3d3dc446ceef76e86a785e579","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Keonne Rodriguez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x63c7e65d0324c084b74b62f5c9109bd0b02570c6833cde0b959c911b6eb6be8b","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6bc658b5fdfded234356308d971d7b93e2e92c48eff32144bc163b4a3da7277b","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Himself","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x836ddf4f19b2ea425a7b038249d07f67e68411e1d0736b1b27cd8d1e7c3b7be8","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Donald Brodie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa351f017fc3e489eac1c02153cc22bd9d02c520e257b88177d3a1fe1d537ec93","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Antoine Massey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa5037368e1c68fe7efb9361b57e5c010e701ff0bc6ee41fd7a98bc8f8cf866b1","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Stefan Brodie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xaf3f06b4f26051357aa7086b5e58ef3d56a600a2da3122b3f8458077b80efec7","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Young Thug","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb5052bf717633331a67703cec30c3506216a77176cd5d032dcffb04034f18d48","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Roger Ver","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbb8c9abdefb768e1f5686f1274a96c4403fe801df50d3d84d1f886256705fc96","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Joe Exotic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcd4a8e578de8204cf31c57e509e507c81462b10ef0840d0495c737bd047edabb","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Hunter Biden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd6587cdab5cd947ae9a0ec948252b7ff02564a2561aff0cd49d30d80c9806deb","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Elizabeth Holmes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xdbb048848c9ee26557d7ad31ba64715e0a6ebb95a104f48a534edcb3a835b5a9","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Roger Stone","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe16cd141288e4f14414608210a92225704d5d0a90ef79fd732b83af5c47623e4","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Diddy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe243748396163f096042bb0c7ea137a864f5259b9b906ce1656ec8d4bd3c64d0","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Martin Shkreli","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe3756fe9c41dd786bac8d5092c783e02463f5d5de99285f1f5d0fd47df02f76a","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Do Kwon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Ghislaine Maxwell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfcbc8e878762a0599bda65edefb8b21ebc438cfea024b4124b1e1a4dccb59cd4","connectedTitle":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Matt Gaetz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:83804","groupLabel":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T17:01:34.350Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1097.5240500770258,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T18:45:29.270Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1196.1199833963253,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T19:01:35.947Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1097.9755136419697,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T12:45:26.193Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1016.53986540062,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:00:51.093Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1102.0175452146668,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T16:16:14.761Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1201.3910485300692,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T16:30:27.710Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1102.8089129726022,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T20:45:30.449Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1018.206283177854,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T21:01:37.968Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1103.8296100622563,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T21:15:26.309Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1018.3115557437367,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T21:31:33.957Z","priceCents":16,"iy":943.4868022628912,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T21:45:26.560Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1103.998097986074,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T03:30:42.293Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1204.1627513839053,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T03:45:31.813Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1105.358753884954,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T07:45:31.033Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1020.5071780879595,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T08:00:57.279Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1106.3241279459096,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T08:15:31.799Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1020.6129269961577,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T08:30:47.970Z","priceCents":16,"iy":945.619186261689,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T08:45:33.011Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1020.7186978228506,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T09:02:37.217Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1205.5355550417808,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T09:15:31.810Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1106.6080612113956,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T13:16:02.805Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1021.6665761079856,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T13:30:39.261Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1107.5756196460413,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T16:31:24.856Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1022.3483200864671,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T16:45:33.597Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1207.4484225031426,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T17:01:27.202Z","priceCents":16,"iy":947.2739765980691,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T17:15:37.578Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1207.5737749429295,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T17:31:49.017Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1108.490066318711,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T19:30:38.220Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1208.1351954835413,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T19:46:24.922Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1109.005449283227,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T20:00:39.716Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1208.2606905673097,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T20:16:15.252Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1109.1206535296465,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T20:30:36.958Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1208.3862117253989,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T21:00:35.922Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1109.2852725505786,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T00:46:05.909Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1209.4452129507185,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T01:15:31.238Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1110.2575203234778,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T04:17:04.565Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1210.32613439251,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T05:16:13.713Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1111.1819095762003,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T05:46:13.176Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1210.6920636857194,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T06:00:33.719Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1111.3471410869179,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T08:00:33.804Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1211.2563881330057,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T08:46:09.882Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1111.9809840270077,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T09:15:36.576Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1211.5687936811469,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T10:01:25.424Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1112.2733464013936,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T10:15:33.043Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1211.8152270851292,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T10:31:16.746Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1112.3837117824078,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T12:15:56.178Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1212.3204282577744,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T13:16:44.534Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1113.018738001984,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T03:45:36.868Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1216.2197874420854,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T04:45:43.729Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1116.5938870842208,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1120%","26 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1","illiquid (LAS 0.43)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0146bc6b56b60b7451fe1aa786f0f795390ba3fd2d454b005925fac454c2f831","reason":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Bob Menendez"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x07d4883660832eb7b64be2f4dba5870eb3ff4ae764e79893d6f574eaa075f7cf","reason":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Edward Snowden"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x1b53ad65dae4809d3d1097bbcd6be1f44ba5cddd47be9ce21896722c7d79681a","reason":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Nicolas Maduro"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Trump%20pardon%20Ryan%20Salame%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":213}