{"ticker":"0xc0336e4897d2d044c0bcc234f72248ef7db97dca69f0caf1666a67ca55034b65","venue":"polymarket","title":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No.\"","price":79,"bestBid":78,"bestAsk":80,"spread":2,"volume":444576.65246599953,"volume24h":26185.621873000004,"openInterest":47838.0823,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-07-01","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":70,"iyYes":138.76420024841772,"iyNo":1963.7808928579943,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0253,"cvr":null,"overround":0.8,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":87854,"askDepthUsd":25537,"volume24h":26185.621873000004,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T02:02:57.594Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xdb68062324c27327e9cd4b21b1dd0deadbc4b860abb8c076b9ba3ed4652ced13","connectedTitle":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30): >$6B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:28999","groupLabel":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfc6260666d020a912a87d9000eff5116d2adfb8c30aba543427a4c1f1411f1a0","connectedTitle":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30): >$2B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:28999","groupLabel":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb2abfc4e48334d87681240cd6a7e63c728e13973fbd68951b45bc86d6c4491e4","connectedTitle":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30): >$4B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:28999","groupLabel":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2307312887c6de01a9f55b7b7afc7c4a0be8718d7d868280e7d898f0ea54f740","connectedTitle":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30): >$3B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:28999","groupLabel":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)"},{"connectedTicker":"0x940f01421649348b09dbf72bfd90788b9513ee56d9a0e7532c45ecda1ecfc6b4","connectedTitle":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30): >$1B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:28999","groupLabel":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)"},{"connectedTicker":"0x32ab21f24cc416e95ca901db3e60c45dbf62cde28ce472f9b660ca87f8bf7c67","connectedTitle":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30): >$1.5B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:28999","groupLabel":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)"},{"connectedTicker":"0x742fec2bf8157b780b2cf6b188076b9bd830122e665c216bc0f1e2d77e21cd23","connectedTitle":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30): >$600M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:28999","groupLabel":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T09:05:55.790Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1430.5037851945772,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T10:15:31.277Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1359.8057843162771,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T10:40:30.288Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1431.8050497500567,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T11:05:44.363Z","priceCents":75,"iy":1509.5536132785576,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T11:10:32.517Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1432.2195850858268,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:20:54.780Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1369.3153115095972,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T07:55:27.700Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1449.4853548851036,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:06:31.034Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1377.092255102916,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:05:41.716Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1450.477030265081,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:10:28.054Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1378.7468590754606,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T13:30:33.141Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1192.1926546000905,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T13:36:41.569Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1085.807679923845,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T13:46:09.431Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1137.4280441837839,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:06:27.216Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1251.3592808704032,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:10:39.498Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1192.6601222068177,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:15:34.494Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1251.4644282765764,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:26:22.039Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1137.874106891943,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T16:36:21.133Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1139.3102524803799,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:55:37.408Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1195.9762770732984,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:00:44.949Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1089.2385687001463,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:05:33.794Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1255.014731834128,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:25:32.239Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1196.3122679364901,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:40:31.593Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1141.359026185318,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:56:37.014Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1197.3887084604532,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:10:34.264Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1256.5323682544115,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:00:33.609Z","priceCents":72,"iy":1320.388037324576,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:05:34.883Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1257.2218090507358,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:25:32.767Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1143.1899288530512,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:30:32.730Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1198.4839529800267,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:20:32.025Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1144.4782842232403,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:25:31.945Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1258.939857506371,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:30:34.878Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1199.8854121171987,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:50:33.784Z","priceCents":72,"iy":1322.583567352115,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:05:35.366Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1262.3900797524614,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:30:48.341Z","priceCents":72,"iy":1326.9966047468909,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:25:53.443Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1396.0275171196092,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:30:13.843Z","priceCents":72,"iy":1331.703668569969,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:36:49.926Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1400.3062857959699,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:05:28.076Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1474.4818023506546,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:20:50.894Z","priceCents":75,"iy":1554.4262108909204,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:30:28.935Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1735.832322488679,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:35:44.611Z","priceCents":76,"iy":1641.9953024964962,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:40:28.454Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1736.004946425053,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:45:28.587Z","priceCents":76,"iy":1642.1586038691955,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:56:11.745Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1736.2762819902962,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:05:29.904Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1840.0268862376074,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:20:27.242Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1737.7330760379564,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:28.342Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1843.486864427632,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:00:34.116Z","priceCents":80,"iy":2083.244153361015,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:10:30.842Z","priceCents":79,"iy":1959.4372368503318,"cri":3.762}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 139%","tight LAS 0.025","7 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 71c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xc0336e4897d2d044c0bcc234f72248ef7db97dca69f0caf1666a67ca55034b65","marketTitle":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":71},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xdb68062324c27327e9cd4b21b1dd0deadbc4b860abb8c076b9ba3ed4652ced13","reason":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xfc6260666d020a912a87d9000eff5116d2adfb8c30aba543427a4c1f1411f1a0","reason":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xb2abfc4e48334d87681240cd6a7e63c728e13973fbd68951b45bc86d6c4491e4","reason":"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=MegaETH%20market%20cap%20(FDV)%20%3E%24800M%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":5186}