{"ticker":"0xc4b07998e8f9bf6b95f079d6dc0529f3c6f59698d4e168817ad5f99304de6c57","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","price":63,"bestBid":62,"bestAsk":63,"spread":1,"volume":175045.15583399957,"volume24h":13655.727835,"openInterest":42990.6126,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":84.75909682262906,"iyNo":245.73327632506553,"cri":1.703,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0159,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":143155,"askDepthUsd":1643273,"volume24h":13655.727835,"observability":"low","eventType":"cultural","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T02:12:45.899Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xfd029ab3d6d27b6e1f3480dce858c97fb12e5bebd6fb50be7520102c56ba8ce1","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Wicked: For Good","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x894a61a2baa777adf1d03a263a4b2d8faa7e1ebc7bf6694a37701fae8add01d9","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Scream 7","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc9b9f89ac915385c8d77edb73872c49e5bf76e510b74b9609e74e7f8d0339df2","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6ec4fec4885df7f3ac46e5d0051beb6d8ac75de6a8481f13f245ff26dcb4b662","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: The Odyssey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x625d0091f4c647e5497bd9b03f8526bd486d6c339380b8046e4dd5b3373046b7","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9c47ba9e666983bd8d82bfab790509153bf7756c43913f6ef269e33c8955939c","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Dune: Messiah","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xec181db4470b152493b58229862af3f6335b77cc719f5a0e7ed58c9f9848b992","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: The Super Mario Galaxy Movie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x221aaa62fed17db56fbc7983f88110a9c34861c3262154ee3315425378e3ae12","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Wuthering Heights","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xde9f827cb2d568db7801439693645a941a38fe6feaeb08b86087ad367d991704","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Michael","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcd57f3ad3bbbdaa96aacabd35f50c2d6e30f777e4a33876a4ab2dcd9f0b8c170","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Toy Story 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe4f4b614a6c2b4ecd8eb700d19c0e6533d3fbd1bc28193b2255394ef74006e6f","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Avengers: Doomsday","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x242d251e7e804f79e1f237896b0f5e73caea72375dcb84e5a60d1cd0d2f80ef5","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Project Hail Mary","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcf8a237df51a51511c4f96bb4390480ad72b898ca8ec7e9a3c16c47c8e5e468a","connectedTitle":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Jumanji 3","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79831","groupLabel":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:06:13.686Z","priceCents":54,"iy":166.37541823876387,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:10:52.372Z","priceCents":53,"iy":159.82190494492033,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:30:16.281Z","priceCents":54,"iy":166.46655770469053,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:30:16.689Z","priceCents":52,"iy":153.7467549552142,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:45:18.056Z","priceCents":47,"iy":160.04376156532314,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:50:16.627Z","priceCents":46,"iy":166.6109042821623,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:20:28.385Z","priceCents":48,"iy":153.76768085282896,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:20:44.112Z","priceCents":49,"iy":147.75640061439358,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:35:15.760Z","priceCents":48,"iy":153.79818307461534,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T22:55:15.928Z","priceCents":49,"iy":147.79433919495554,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T12:10:56.292Z","priceCents":51,"iy":148.11298566180366,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T12:16:01.026Z","priceCents":52,"iy":154.1651558806291,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T14:40:54.835Z","priceCents":53,"iy":160.5362749741997,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T18:55:55.091Z","priceCents":52,"iy":154.3324317326995,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T01:01:00.699Z","priceCents":53,"iy":160.80596999540984,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T05:40:21.356Z","priceCents":52,"iy":154.602159282255,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:00:51.433Z","priceCents":53,"iy":161.19958825567048,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:20:17.397Z","priceCents":54,"iy":167.8207500693506,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:25:26.921Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.00909546822288,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:35:20.238Z","priceCents":55,"iy":174.81938958207067,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:55:19.536Z","priceCents":54,"iy":167.946388036423,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:20:18.394Z","priceCents":55,"iy":174.86941414173094,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:55:18.539Z","priceCents":54,"iy":167.97338197147062,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:15:18.513Z","priceCents":55,"iy":174.8954656553658,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:45:18.420Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.1375462828971,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T23:55:28.265Z","priceCents":55,"iy":174.94347561052663,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T00:15:24.887Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.18254691200585,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T01:25:17.217Z","priceCents":55,"iy":174.9860207307225,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:40:19.100Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.25402216080514,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T03:15:17.319Z","priceCents":55,"iy":175.03888784257927,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T04:50:17.224Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.31911339392562,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:00:41.174Z","priceCents":55,"iy":175.20318551246393,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:30:29.708Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.45803465203002,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:30:32.139Z","priceCents":57,"iy":190.34695295287543,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:50:33.502Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.76742791148337,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:55:45.780Z","priceCents":57,"iy":190.3596841886633,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:00:33.539Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.7724615194222,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:10:32.351Z","priceCents":57,"iy":190.36792295465654,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:05:34.883Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.83504522036634,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:25:31.945Z","priceCents":57,"iy":190.50059031833965,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:55:50.868Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.91999737969792,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:40:32.497Z","priceCents":57,"iy":190.664242880127,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:00:32.886Z","priceCents":56,"iy":183.07210031347964,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:05:58.620Z","priceCents":59,"iy":207.03020151003702,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:10:37.576Z","priceCents":60,"iy":215.8758447744245,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:00:38.077Z","priceCents":61,"iy":225.13237712994797,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:40:27.918Z","priceCents":62,"iy":235.10247164069943,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:35:28.926Z","priceCents":63,"iy":245.38786596220055,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:55:28.959Z","priceCents":64,"iy":256.2640994620648,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:45:29.746Z","priceCents":63,"iy":245.47509706114158,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["tight LAS 0.016","13 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 57c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xc4b07998e8f9bf6b95f079d6dc0529f3c6f59698d4e168817ad5f99304de6c57","marketTitle":"Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":57},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xfd029ab3d6d27b6e1f3480dce858c97fb12e5bebd6fb50be7520102c56ba8ce1","reason":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Wicked: For Good"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x894a61a2baa777adf1d03a263a4b2d8faa7e1ebc7bf6694a37701fae8add01d9","reason":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Scream 7"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xc9b9f89ac915385c8d77edb73872c49e5bf76e510b74b9609e74e7f8d0339df2","reason":"Highest grossing movie in 2026?: Star Wars: The Mandalorian "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Spider-Man%3A%20Brand%20New%20Day%20be%20the%20top%20grossing%20movie%20of%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3376}