{"ticker":"0xc552c2d96a844be039ad665435bef6d2b256e304ebc596a0c2fca40e3340c20b","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.","price":41,"bestBid":18,"bestAsk":64,"spread":46,"volume":499.8270709999999,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":464.6711,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":236,"iyYes":222.792264189105,"iyNo":107.58799083650827,"cri":1.439,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.1707,"cvr":null,"overround":0.41,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.432,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":46,"bidDepthUsd":574,"askDepthUsd":2461,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"unknown","asPrior":0.35},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:57:30.313Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x83c948109c75656cc3a996b589052be0d06f68ebb016a14f82b0ded1faaa05ad","connectedTitle":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?: $40 trillion","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73226","groupLabel":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1f9a27523f446ac64949dbbf8dfb385e9e7cc3516aec0a3c3a7cae9ca4df63b5","connectedTitle":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?: $42 trillion","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73226","groupLabel":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:41:23.952Z","priceCents":41,"iy":222.00033070678478,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:46:03.234Z","priceCents":40,"iy":231.4100586238815,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:51:06.844Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.04688239047258,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:11:59.073Z","priceCents":41,"iy":222.02003696038233,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:21:42.879Z","priceCents":40,"iy":231.43451354367448,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:31:25.740Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.5287109942956,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:46:32.187Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.08200728283504,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:56:02.043Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.54427476593176,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:20:41.174Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.10362835854644,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:06:07.467Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.58578973949906,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:10:36.154Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.13426572778863,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:16:04.027Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.59184541451214,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:41:08.792Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.15409460255975,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:45:55.480Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.6100145906954,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:50:39.135Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.15950311784792,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:15:59.101Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.62818699426327,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:36:16.180Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.1883531688128,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:51:11.495Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.64895940848632,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:06:17.189Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.2072902592166,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:10:54.517Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.66107859782227,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:46:08.566Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.23164289088524,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:51:07.153Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.6853212831512,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:10:56.725Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.24788106953133,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:16:00.909Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.7000428586103,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:40:55.879Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.26592639111945,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:55:55.725Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.7242947762193,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:10:45.096Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.28487726598814,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:31:17.180Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.7450867083879,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:36:00.488Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.30112355384463,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:16:40.741Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.77281585505574,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:36:06.886Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.33813822819909,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:40:29.241Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.7866832451519,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:05:34.053Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.3571019393425,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:25:32.354Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.81442366077655,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:40:30.671Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.378778880722,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:55:46.575Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.83263239321013,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:10:30.785Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.3977498180021,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:50:31.811Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.8655897593398,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:10:33.803Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.43570181429422,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:55:31.409Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.90463193790046,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:55:34.624Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.5387824557263,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:00:31.015Z","priceCents":43,"iy":205.05225900470663,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:10:43.286Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.6238537016665,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:20:26.587Z","priceCents":43,"iy":205.06442600885194,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:41:12.215Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.64286824380923,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:15:40.775Z","priceCents":43,"iy":205.0974580139232,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:20:41.140Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.7053684363329,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:10:47.708Z","priceCents":43,"iy":205.16703387341755,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:05:45.586Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.77153165030413,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:20:44.409Z","priceCents":41,"iy":222.77147577542533,"cri":1.439}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 223%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 1.17)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x83c948109c75656cc3a996b589052be0d06f68ebb016a14f82b0ded1faaa05ad","reason":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?: $40 trillion"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x1f9a27523f446ac64949dbbf8dfb385e9e7cc3516aec0a3c3a7cae9ca4df63b5","reason":"Peak US National Debt before 2027?: $42 trillion"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20U.S.%20national%20debt%20hit%20%2441%20trillion%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":57}