{"ticker":"0xc60022fe066abd6f96c375adb09f38d92c4931f09c10b805354581b4e5465e93","venue":"polymarket","title":"Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":23,"bestBid":22,"bestAsk":23,"spread":1,"volume":152961.68046300023,"volume24h":418.103477,"openInterest":38412.2809,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-17","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":9,"iyYes":14177.474437163597,"iyNo":1264.9492287501337,"cri":3.348,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0435,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.48,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"observability":"high","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T09:29:35.447Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x02507350fc2b81c3af36c659a805adbda9b0a81e63a27b29cb273cdd7dbc072e","connectedTitle":"Fed rate cut by...?: July Meeting","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106884","groupLabel":"Fed rate cut by...?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4092815fea8f91e60586882d45fa2f61bfca8a36d595f47fdea9eec5d2893025","connectedTitle":"Fed rate cut by...?: October Meeting","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106884","groupLabel":"Fed rate cut by...?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4d162a40c3e3f458b0e0017485d7f9e6ead0cdd0573e38b26e0d5420525ccfa4","connectedTitle":"Fed rate cut by...?: June Meeting","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106884","groupLabel":"Fed rate cut by...?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb4022c0b2718eca7ad27195f2d48f06527fa000269d188e1d3001ff8bbc16956","connectedTitle":"Fed rate cut by...?: September Meeting","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:106884","groupLabel":"Fed rate cut by...?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":-295.0000000000001,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T19:00:28.617Z","priceCents":23,"iy":5047.738440759792,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T21:45:30.838Z","priceCents":27,"iy":4096.010674684978,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T03:15:34.759Z","priceCents":28,"iy":3933.00129304152,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T17:46:02.206Z","priceCents":29,"iy":4014.468506986399,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T01:15:49.233Z","priceCents":30,"iy":3880.560744824654,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:01:00.056Z","priceCents":31,"iy":3721.061488749644,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:15:26.632Z","priceCents":30,"iy":3902.610395759825,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:30:46.720Z","priceCents":34,"iy":3248.346835524967,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T05:45:40.524Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3115.1523109243703,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T06:45:27.328Z","priceCents":33,"iy":3412.195441848263,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T10:00:47.094Z","priceCents":32,"iy":3593.684844553583,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T12:30:55.382Z","priceCents":31,"iy":3782.389100231434,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T14:15:25.310Z","priceCents":33,"iy":3461.9293939110803,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T19:15:48.024Z","priceCents":32,"iy":3659.126291456338,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T07:30:41.039Z","priceCents":33,"iy":3582.2526517165647,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:15:26.485Z","priceCents":34,"iy":3666.767126039982,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T22:46:38.082Z","priceCents":33,"iy":3889.877728521369,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T16:30:25.096Z","priceCents":34,"iy":3869.208233752215,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:15:28.261Z","priceCents":33,"iy":4063.0550252788303,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T17:15:30.416Z","priceCents":31,"iy":4701.228834203517,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T21:46:32.229Z","priceCents":28,"iy":5832.1719292327625,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T02:00:33.147Z","priceCents":29,"iy":5614.605991801787,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T03:15:29.668Z","priceCents":28,"iy":5916.360492759887,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T03:31:02.757Z","priceCents":29,"iy":5636.918499054896,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T03:46:05.025Z","priceCents":28,"iy":5924.202667243757,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T04:00:29.910Z","priceCents":29,"iy":5644.038967063554,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T04:45:54.233Z","priceCents":28,"iy":5939.949551113401,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T05:00:31.795Z","priceCents":29,"iy":5659.050659585666,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T06:01:39.898Z","priceCents":28,"iy":5959.562058361981,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T08:01:55.044Z","priceCents":29,"iy":5704.568717875344,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T08:45:28.260Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6003.015213120745,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T16:15:31.387Z","priceCents":30,"iy":5558.093497791991,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T23:15:32.508Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6244.23809840615,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T17:15:49.282Z","priceCents":29,"iy":7276.4489020044975,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T22:30:44.513Z","priceCents":30,"iy":7060.741723318411,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T03:30:43.785Z","priceCents":29,"iy":7538.55820529081,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T13:15:38.654Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8199.278663155661,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T01:45:52.069Z","priceCents":27,"iy":9031.315565588466,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T02:15:25.778Z","priceCents":28,"iy":8606.009798014198,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T15:01:37.645Z","priceCents":24,"iy":11141.636141636143,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T18:15:25.297Z","priceCents":23,"iy":11934.334619973926,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T18:30:29.016Z","priceCents":22,"iy":12651.19668678179,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T20:15:38.255Z","priceCents":25,"iy":10781.803859787316,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T04:15:24.950Z","priceCents":23,"iy":12439.74877063148,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T09:15:30.395Z","priceCents":22,"iy":13460.483764207498,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T09:45:32.586Z","priceCents":23,"iy":12738.001894497345,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T10:00:24.236Z","priceCents":22,"iy":13504.027017540531,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T14:30:38.489Z","priceCents":23,"iy":13006.455792859293,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T17:00:24.214Z","priceCents":24,"iy":12440.354464894343,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T02:15:36.302Z","priceCents":23,"iy":13720.598717034924,"cri":3.348}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 14177%","tight LAS 0.043","4 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 21c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xc60022fe066abd6f96c375adb09f38d92c4931f09c10b805354581b4e5465e93","marketTitle":"Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":21},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x02507350fc2b81c3af36c659a805adbda9b0a81e63a27b29cb273cdd7dbc072e","reason":"Fed rate cut by...?: July Meeting"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x4092815fea8f91e60586882d45fa2f61bfca8a36d595f47fdea9eec5d2893025","reason":"Fed rate cut by...?: October Meeting"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x4d162a40c3e3f458b0e0017485d7f9e6ead0cdd0573e38b26e0d5420525ccfa4","reason":"Fed rate cut by...?: June Meeting"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Fed%20rate%20cut%20by%20December%202026%20meeting%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":107}