{"ticker":"0xcc6b2547a182b3d42db7b4c59c9879db11b9632ef0ac87a720770f5d263af9d7","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Iran Play in the World Cup?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market \"No\". \n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":96,"bestBid":95,"bestAsk":97,"spread":2,"volume":422638.30564399954,"volume24h":68529.38636599999,"openInterest":15034.68191,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-08-02","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":55,"iyYes":27.73826025631675,"iyNo":15977.23790763842,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0313,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":3328,"askDepthUsd":3551,"volume24h":68529.38636599999},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T04:34:49.843Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXWCIRAN-26","venue":"kalshi","title":"Iran to compete in FIFA World Cup in 2026: Yes","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":-132.29999999998836,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T01:15:57.206Z","priceCents":96,"iy":15117.262325918497,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T03:00:56.359Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20392.001013696405,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T07:15:24.249Z","priceCents":96,"iy":15182.501993136662,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T07:45:25.815Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20461.65138038847,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T11:45:26.730Z","priceCents":96,"iy":15232.133541992684,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T12:02:25.240Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20525.351606432672,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T14:30:27.756Z","priceCents":96,"iy":15262.387622830845,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T15:00:52.790Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20569.712180894927,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T21:00:56.337Z","priceCents":98,"iy":31309.081997059002,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T21:15:30.983Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20663.351659254575,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T21:30:55.528Z","priceCents":98,"iy":31320.047632389997,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T21:45:27.733Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20670.952072349774,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T22:00:40.449Z","priceCents":98,"iy":31331.569819385782,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T22:15:30.018Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20678.19576098445,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T22:30:37.982Z","priceCents":98,"iy":31343.100487189342,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T00:30:42.847Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20712.309213335895,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T01:45:53.398Z","priceCents":99,"iy":63476.030705991834,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T08:30:35.961Z","priceCents":98,"iy":31573.83705534466,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T09:00:44.399Z","priceCents":99,"iy":63814.56953642379,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T09:30:29.675Z","priceCents":98,"iy":31596.70694650552,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T12:45:25.652Z","priceCents":99,"iy":63991.99546645882,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T13:45:35.991Z","priceCents":98,"iy":31695.819377248456,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T14:30:29.726Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20926.425041965136,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T14:45:25.916Z","priceCents":96,"iy":15536.046820963009,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T15:01:38.816Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20934.591596598886,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T16:15:25.622Z","priceCents":96,"iy":15553.148802443038,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T16:30:38.642Z","priceCents":97,"iy":20957.64076336599,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T17:30:25.571Z","priceCents":98,"iy":31783.689644754817,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T17:45:32.601Z","priceCents":99,"iy":64228.581585495864,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T07:00:30.422Z","priceCents":98,"iy":32104.904143031497,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T07:45:42.626Z","priceCents":97,"iy":21196.664092294228,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T09:15:31.425Z","priceCents":98,"iy":32159.16855468045,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T10:00:25.551Z","priceCents":97,"iy":21232.511139497074,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T10:15:29.525Z","priceCents":98,"iy":32182.894571104647,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T12:00:26.284Z","priceCents":99,"iy":65108.108108108056,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T15:30:26.446Z","priceCents":98,"iy":32310.22148354226,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T16:00:26.464Z","priceCents":99,"iy":65304.610268736506,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T17:00:25.444Z","priceCents":98,"iy":32347.03658823314,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T17:15:28.711Z","priceCents":99,"iy":65366.03896456282,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T18:15:39.671Z","priceCents":97,"iy":21364.736267250777,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T18:45:35.964Z","priceCents":98,"iy":32389.80042739683,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T19:15:27.334Z","priceCents":97,"iy":21380.605577496754,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T19:45:25.867Z","priceCents":95,"iy":12568.642731572927,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T20:00:33.075Z","priceCents":97,"iy":21393.007770486638,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T21:45:27.630Z","priceCents":98,"iy":32463.28934710396,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T22:15:43.393Z","priceCents":97,"iy":21429.522564400522,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T22:30:25.651Z","priceCents":98,"iy":32481.566234426617,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T01:45:25.856Z","priceCents":95,"iy":12625.84885393339,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T02:45:31.286Z","priceCents":94,"iy":10418.754365187808,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T03:01:35.300Z","priceCents":96,"iy":15963.844443634494,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.031"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 86c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xcc6b2547a182b3d42db7b4c59c9879db11b9632ef0ac87a720770f5d263af9d7","marketTitle":"Will Iran Play in the World Cup?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":86},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCIRAN-26","reason":"Same market on kalshi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Iran%20Play%20in%20the%20World%20Cup%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":150}