{"ticker":"0xd1fccf29139e6be18e434fef88096472e89d134657b1e8e54423cf41b4d60856","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?","description":"This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season.\n\nIf the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":33,"bestBid":49,"bestAsk":94,"spread":45,"volume":11270.794833999998,"volume24h":45.5,"openInterest":1448.0245,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-28","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":19,"iyYes":3971.1730671486303,"iyNo":963.3788082256315,"cri":2.03,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.2727,"cvr":null,"overround":0.37,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":45,"bidDepthUsd":446,"askDepthUsd":123,"volume24h":45.5,"observability":"direct","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:15:39.792Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-STP","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will St. Pauli be Relegated from Bundesliga in 2025-26 Season?: St. Pauli","confidenceScore":0.88,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x7b2e9c05a6b257ccd8cbdcd976b020bbbef0cd72cdc857e6951b45a05355604d","connectedTitle":"Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated?: FC Heidenheim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:37969","groupLabel":"Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0e925ab355d912ed3010f386ee2b62e071823f8fd15660e4eeae92b11e2963f0","connectedTitle":"Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated?: FC Koln","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:37969","groupLabel":"Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T16:37:55.920Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1232.7950727419911,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T17:23:27.730Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1344.1509868231776,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T18:07:47.190Z","priceCents":35,"iy":1405.03086922405,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T04:25:20.614Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1546.4671987181457,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T04:30:15.204Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1617.6124291901815,"cri":2.03}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 3971%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","illiquid (LAS 1.27)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBUNDESLIGARELEGATION-26-STP","reason":"Same market on kalshi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x7b2e9c05a6b257ccd8cbdcd976b020bbbef0cd72cdc857e6951b45a05355604d","reason":"Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated?: FC Heidenheim"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0e925ab355d912ed3010f386ee2b62e071823f8fd15660e4eeae92b11e2963f0","reason":"Bundesliga - Which Clubs Get Relegated?: FC Koln"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20St.%20Pauli%20be%20relegated%20from%20the%20Bundesliga%20after%20the%2020","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":54}