{"ticker":"0xd482f14b4a09d5d554589e8049d4c8eb367bd5caf01c9cb6d45e058b73cf1835","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","price":8,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":11,"spread":5,"volume":2127.1125949999996,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":15281.55504,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-08-04","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":104,"iyYes":4050.8980013318023,"iyNo":30.630608705722512,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.625,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.07,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":4728,"askDepthUsd":26124,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T09:23:30.617Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXGOVKSNOMR-26-PS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Philip Sarnecki be the Republican nominee for Governor in Kansas?: Philip Sarnecki","confidenceScore":0.88,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x02685b4bba2ebaeb29185cb05b34b70dd43c76d2d36b73eb580b926551cbebcd","connectedTitle":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Joy Eakins","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101235","groupLabel":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcca3ac50c29fedb63022f03e456b2322e98629712def780c5f5467c59d8aac51","connectedTitle":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Charlotte O’Hara","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101235","groupLabel":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x45c0fbb37227cc6bc74b537aa1ed20c81990155f447cbaaa47514b6e90611288","connectedTitle":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Scott Schwab","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101235","groupLabel":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xaa25aa5ffdb235f693e38b8eee295604bd431d87fda4f79c5dc5f152ea875b17","connectedTitle":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Jeff Colyer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101235","groupLabel":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x709f7a236b27180f120a23913387e11d8bbaf2e59418dd2d9efd513276742bdf","connectedTitle":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Ty Masterson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101235","groupLabel":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9b6e858181395f22b4042acb2084dbd39d77660370bbbb19012e8279c3292d08","connectedTitle":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Stacy Rogers","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101235","groupLabel":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2885eec07b19eb19a7270fe529673097092e2f7e9a4b28676f41a3a1b8b708de","connectedTitle":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Vicki Schmidt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101235","groupLabel":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:45:32.423Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5456.32080812707,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:56:03.498Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4627.445955193726,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:05:35.366Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5457.049789416091,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:20:47.116Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4630.008511195494,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:25:56.382Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5459.967663496671,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:30:48.341Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4630.317977146457,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:35:47.205Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5460.332617171959,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:40:47.413Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4630.627484469083,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:35:46.533Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5462.523364188391,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:41:12.632Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4641.752940323835,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:55:26.740Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5474.079888699558,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:05:28.076Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4642.463945513105,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:25:25.629Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4019.0155207246194,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:35:26.985Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4643.3974704461325,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:40:57.915Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5475.757285582048,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:50:27.065Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4643.886609545515,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:55:27.112Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5476.281682947072,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:35:26.955Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4024.10146775446,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:05:28.778Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4649.898084425547,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:11:05.884Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4025.066165471213,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:15:27.309Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4650.21021498232,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:20:28.050Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5483.791567971205,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:30:29.759Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4027.1901294265513,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:35:29.553Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4652.7087688037545,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:40:47.368Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4027.4606129224153,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:55:29.583Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4653.333826837583,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:25:29.310Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5488.317928931801,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:45:29.746Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4029.200303329909,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:25:28.529Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5492.746245049164,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:25:32.402Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4033.497972440566,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:45:37.268Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5495.64961109189,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:55:30.624Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4666.364236225668,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:00:32.151Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4039.320220177836,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:15:34.378Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5503.371637184891,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:36:07.839Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4040.25334000693,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:40:28.739Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4667.756657861481,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:45:30.757Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4040.5255811714874,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:50:28.923Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4668.071190664132,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:56:16.931Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4040.797859026936,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:15:55.247Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4668.880183976848,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:20:33.858Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5505.756090672468,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:40:29.905Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4669.644490727429,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:45:32.031Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5506.710450712453,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:55:52.118Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4670.1391755130335,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:00:29.966Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4042.5490932555163,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:05:30.748Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4670.409047756634,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:10:31.755Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4042.8216439042244,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:15:37.322Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5507.824289007467,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:20:29.997Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4670.903894552744,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:45:31.096Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4045.393215111796,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 4051%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVKSNOMR-26-PS","reason":"Same market on kalshi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x02685b4bba2ebaeb29185cb05b34b70dd43c76d2d36b73eb580b926551cbebcd","reason":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Joy Eakins"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xcca3ac50c29fedb63022f03e456b2322e98629712def780c5f5467c59d8aac51","reason":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Charlotte O’Hara"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x45c0fbb37227cc6bc74b537aa1ed20c81990155f447cbaaa47514b6e90611288","reason":"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Scott Schwab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Philip%20Sarnecki%20win%20the%202026%20Kansas%20Governor%20Republican","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1816}