{"ticker":"0xd6ef920c0c8d3628dcfae25834c816e32affc4e2903d4291536f6c56584ae331","venue":"polymarket","title":"Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":6,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":7,"spread":2,"volume":27307.35095799999,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":7452.13817,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-01-01","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":244,"iyYes":2339.3415752339342,"iyNo":9.531043086059487,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":0.24,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"observability":"medium","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-05-01T13:27:17.318Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x61b69b12cedab2c1fe4cb58d73ce4ced1a4183c404705445a6b1e8edecb11e11","connectedTitle":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91131","groupLabel":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x384e2707bbb95da4bfa6f330fe7d5ccbec1c0a85e20be900cbf599987588e1a4","connectedTitle":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $200M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91131","groupLabel":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe3d6d7467d84542e4f5e2a30ab63d4175cf55fb676afab690e24cd66c0b5973f","connectedTitle":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $400M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91131","groupLabel":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe56b73034a1a9f49ecfa624e9d9ca7e2a6e770e8b1881a0062725567c7ee7bff","connectedTitle":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $150M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91131","groupLabel":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5afab68955def438268a632c648ad6a296ba749f934cc203410f5f615924b4fe","connectedTitle":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $70M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91131","groupLabel":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T12:50:17.598Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4807.881639609177,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T12:55:16.272Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3568.7805037032213,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:00:37.199Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4808.018751341031,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:05:18.076Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3568.8822798476294,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:15:20.056Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2825.445715589452,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:20:42.782Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3569.042225517838,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:35:18.858Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2825.6068841317824,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:40:18.744Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3569.2458134702356,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:45:38.976Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4808.626054454753,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:55:11.470Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3569.391247657078,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:00:11.608Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4808.821991413255,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:05:12.143Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3569.493058639925,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:30:18.045Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4809.233511005341,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:35:14.219Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3569.7985264393296,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T15:00:35.389Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4809.6451010358305,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T15:15:54.013Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3570.205898175772,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:00:15.596Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4810.468492484365,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:10:36.949Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3570.758908554332,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:20:13.845Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4810.743018953554,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:25:13.940Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3570.904466076408,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:40:15.581Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2827.092802837283,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:45:14.200Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4811.0764146507845,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:50:26.223Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3571.1664995230294,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:00:20.397Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2827.25415934543,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:05:16.108Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3571.312090277551,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:20:13.891Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4811.547169606189,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:45:27.272Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3571.7198075511706,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:30:13.490Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4812.508580415312,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:35:11.952Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3572.215017983411,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:40:23.829Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4812.645956181202,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:45:12.906Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3572.3169901190367,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:50:12.294Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2828.130416165405,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:55:14.521Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3572.418968076603,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:15:11.843Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4813.117018355234,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:20:31.011Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3572.68122384724,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:40:14.930Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4813.470375506431,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:45:12.441Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3572.928945211011,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:50:11.830Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2828.6148964200784,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:10:19.962Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3573.176700930005,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:25:10.151Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4817.341067203303,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:30:11.251Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3575.816702656146,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:50:12.074Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4817.695044870356,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:55:21.180Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2831.0513467394935,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:00:29.964Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2334.4137906634332,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:40:13.524Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2831.42122239007,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:45:11.356Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2334.709253505466,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T09:45:41.258Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2835.3223518252767,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T09:50:40.424Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2337.9260531229133,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:10:41.362Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2835.5194295433726,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:15:40.418Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2338.098119708443,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2339%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x61b69b12cedab2c1fe4cb58d73ce4ced1a4183c404705445a6b1e8edecb11e11","reason":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x384e2707bbb95da4bfa6f330fe7d5ccbec1c0a85e20be900cbf599987588e1a4","reason":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $200M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe3d6d7467d84542e4f5e2a30ab63d4175cf55fb676afab690e24cd66c0b5973f","reason":"Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $400M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Reya%20FDV%20above%20%24300M%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2512}