{"ticker":"0xd8cb370f66378e643a5103179e0e5de54e4fb3c09254563a3fca898cba2736e8","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","price":1,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":2,"spread":1,"volume":4186.768611999999,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":9322.61515,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-08-04","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":16711,"askDepthUsd":24169,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T02:12:29.362Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xf6fabbbe9b2782f60c35ace5cc0b5d6cdc1c52c71453dde1a5a81147c06d1fda","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Matt Gress","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7fcf21912df2c1f851f2c4db16266209fcc8d2b6dddaf1f63daa92eb5595fa8c","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Joseph Chaplik","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xeac6e14a4b340e731a6beede3963b4e21fe1a08682e3a1a66c846b6fe26ecc6b","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Todd Graham","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x61e6c828abcad1240db85dcf25456f085f6cba5f7c82f1e18732a353ae0a529e","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Kari Lake","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb580aaab3ba42321177746aeb97a638108bac7d4070ae069e8dd0d8f3a44136a","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Derrick Gallego","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa04457f32a2b1f94f9fc8f2b15cc663e90239940b07876cf62b77864779a5bbd","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Paul Reevs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3eb36575921368d668de054dce113f4237d222ccbff11516e21a257e19b82bce","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: John Trobough","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0d8c056eda67995c33791be4e94342fe03cd21af6ef091c707039c410341004a","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Jason Duey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9ae004352a62e705ec6b5eae2ab87fa8b82061e5c3d9ae7d89188ba77dfc9772","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Muchelle Ugenti-Rita","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x962787f6fcaab2e212351ebca9fe3fa4cb78e9ed527a949ade4e420d12b12408","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Mark Brnovich","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x50cacbab136ddc10400b43c4509e3e3553968027eded0736ab1413caa0e85f6e","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Jay Feely","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8938339494e70d0bd47b5028fb860fc4312112c9d2e80dfe8af43c0a9a3a803d","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Kaitlin Purrington","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa6eeec6fd5e649a604212338d18414a361034713094d6a9276f949c08d29b7db","connectedTitle":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Brandon Sowers","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90415","groupLabel":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T02:45:53.956Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7971.970696637393,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T02:51:04.638Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10740.407046410815,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:25:55.817Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7986.142765976845,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:01:06.523Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10765.58661120436,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T12:30:24.139Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8001.534540870851,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:40:27.131Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10905.053193127707,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:25:17.084Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16543.79457389438,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:30:17.599Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10925.344763209623,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:50:16.230Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16559.111909413277,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:20:17.129Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10928.885843226593,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:20:17.853Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16575.072055457214,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:45:16.078Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10939.117269932489,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T05:00:15.895Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16592.294347394494,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T05:45:18.749Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10951.806483543678,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T06:00:14.757Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16598.60788863109,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T06:20:20.995Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10954.2461820252,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T08:40:54.404Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16615.879150485885,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T12:20:59.776Z","priceCents":1,"iy":33618.64446201795,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:20:55.677Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16684.702502005708,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:25:55.551Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11010.044469322387,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:41:00.346Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8185.921336660032,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T00:31:11.832Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11031.863249141568,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T03:20:44.734Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8197.56506115421,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T05:55:34.478Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11055.114766485876,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T06:45:31.578Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8208.549635487921,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T07:00:31.518Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11059.776836475867,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:35:19.203Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16830.248336736713,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:15:17.710Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11121.686739418614,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T23:25:18.708Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8262.28023843658,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T00:30:18.140Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11135.853958488631,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T07:35:35.904Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16923.091480261915,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T16:36:21.133Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11206.809232600246,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:55:45.780Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17005.80013311781,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:35:39.407Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11237.86307613688,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:15:38.162Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17068.934253347456,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:40:32.497Z","priceCents":1,"iy":34491.81016379673,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:10:48.932Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17075.126738779683,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:20:47.116Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11268.013545167532,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:55:38.280Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17093.894559773675,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:00:38.077Z","priceCents":1,"iy":34551.504546628035,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:31:37.321Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17104.847887835807,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:40:57.645Z","priceCents":1,"iy":34560.757496054706,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:41:12.632Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11296.5958655193,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:15:26.180Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8386.948529411766,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:20:50.894Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11299.516168153908,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:16:06.386Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17130.405631914182,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:25:30.350Z","priceCents":1,"iy":34667.85632051577,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:30:29.759Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11322.824421865955,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:45:29.746Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17167.89694462309,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:50:30.000Z","priceCents":1,"iy":34729.16346301707,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["13 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xf6fabbbe9b2782f60c35ace5cc0b5d6cdc1c52c71453dde1a5a81147c06d1fda","reason":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Matt Gress"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x7fcf21912df2c1f851f2c4db16266209fcc8d2b6dddaf1f63daa92eb5595fa8c","reason":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Joseph Chaplik"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xeac6e14a4b340e731a6beede3963b4e21fe1a08682e3a1a66c846b6fe26ecc6b","reason":"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Todd Graham"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Gina%20Swoboda%20be%20the%20Republican%20nominee%20for%20AZ-01%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2084}