{"ticker":"0xd8fa83f0fdbaf97e107765fa612dcbdc6a7c239f581acfc8dd04fe8499547e84","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Leinster win?","description":"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9 2026\nIf Leinster wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.","price":86,"bestBid":79,"bestAsk":92,"spread":13,"volume":85.332492,"volume24h":10,"openInterest":826.8592,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-16","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":7,"iyYes":887.9050306509682,"iyNo":33504.82452395184,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1512,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":13,"bidDepthUsd":252,"askDepthUsd":6597,"volume24h":10},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:29:30.471Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x5cf005c014419cb2fb884c7ba15f456104c3323ebbef1c1e088f93991dfcfd48","connectedTitle":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions: Draw","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:370294","groupLabel":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions"},{"connectedTicker":"0x520d6225eddf85aaffd00c781968f26c37fbe160c18c36f6ec30f606609dc005","connectedTitle":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions: Lions","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:370294","groupLabel":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:41:32.022Z","priceCents":75,"iy":14257.8125,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:46:21.871Z","priceCents":76,"iy":15057.755775577558,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:01:45.691Z","priceCents":75,"iy":14285.714285714286,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:26:55.525Z","priceCents":76,"iy":15112.883542538355,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:46:39.852Z","priceCents":75,"iy":14343.725438826303,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:50:58.359Z","priceCents":76,"iy":15146.551347573495,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:35:57.221Z","priceCents":77,"iy":16078.375286041191,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:51:07.926Z","priceCents":76,"iy":15228.370663153273,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:55:53.490Z","priceCents":78,"iy":17058.936318097934,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:01:08.087Z","priceCents":77,"iy":16114.42070076659,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:06:08.604Z","priceCents":78,"iy":17074.692031810388,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:26:25.153Z","priceCents":77,"iy":16152.763010431334,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:31:26.674Z","priceCents":63,"iy":8218.54650206938,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:50:58.615Z","priceCents":62,"iy":7889.855800072519,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:56:02.858Z","priceCents":78,"iy":17153.90918731322,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:01:07.907Z","priceCents":79,"iy":18208.39726952975,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:05:53.067Z","priceCents":78,"iy":17167.56313466316,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:15:41.314Z","priceCents":77,"iy":16225.68744840168,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:20:42.459Z","priceCents":79,"iy":18242.264356253996,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:06:07.467Z","priceCents":80,"iy":19477.05442902882,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:10:37.182Z","priceCents":79,"iy":18325.03987848977,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:30:49.897Z","priceCents":63,"iy":8309.753797118417,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:36:19.080Z","priceCents":79,"iy":18369.167064819245,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:50:39.135Z","priceCents":80,"iy":19557.937039517758,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:20:54.506Z","priceCents":79,"iy":18445.664133466395,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:25:53.427Z","priceCents":81,"iy":20914.68590831919,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:45:54.167Z","priceCents":80,"iy":19660.651764072183,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:56:14.980Z","priceCents":81,"iy":20973.886394109017,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:10:55.965Z","priceCents":80,"iy":19705.763260898915,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:16:03.941Z","priceCents":82,"iy":22451.765835508744,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:21:11.650Z","priceCents":81,"iy":21022.056627653983,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:35:38.583Z","priceCents":65,"iy":9170.145330859617,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:40:30.773Z","priceCents":82,"iy":22503.421001187944,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:05:32.703Z","priceCents":83,"iy":24176.622215837895,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:25:40.482Z","priceCents":82,"iy":22601.30185915152,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:50:51.003Z","priceCents":76,"iy":15747.048138056314,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:55:57.001Z","priceCents":85,"iy":28194.292984369316,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:46:19.617Z","priceCents":87,"iy":33456.95531697449,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:00:59.421Z","priceCents":86,"iy":30752.199384760068,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:16:42.950Z","priceCents":80,"iy":20054.94505494506,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:20:32.988Z","priceCents":87,"iy":33757.4945783901,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:00:43.541Z","priceCents":86,"iy":31106.310448707784,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:05:40.831Z","priceCents":87,"iy":33907.44458206979,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:15:29.414Z","priceCents":86,"iy":31149.525661890202,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:20:49.176Z","priceCents":87,"iy":34153.975219411455,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:05:35.441Z","priceCents":86,"iy":31486.348225570244,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:10:48.711Z","priceCents":87,"iy":34317.11587092311,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:15:30.426Z","priceCents":86,"iy":31517.33001325354,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:15:59.893Z","priceCents":85,"iy":29773.04351998464,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:20:27.502Z","priceCents":86,"iy":32288.92363396971,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 888%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1","illiquid (LAS 0.15)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 77c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xd8fa83f0fdbaf97e107765fa612dcbdc6a7c239f581acfc8dd04fe8499547e84","marketTitle":"Will Leinster win?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":77},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x5cf005c014419cb2fb884c7ba15f456104c3323ebbef1c1e088f93991dfcfd48","reason":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions: Draw"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x520d6225eddf85aaffd00c781968f26c37fbe160c18c36f6ec30f606609dc005","reason":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions: Lions"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Leinster%20win%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":46}