{"ticker":"0xd95a7d857f0c05108465c639a2e0643f94b52ed81c9bd08f1b6d20816a91d850","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.\n\nAn announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\" Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":21,"bestBid":20,"bestAsk":21,"spread":1,"volume":72129.68423700001,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":7792.9842,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":196,"iyYes":699.2423641691092,"iyNo":49.40969117105867,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0476,"cvr":null,"overround":0.43,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":697,"askDepthUsd":309,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-17T15:34:02.913Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x0acc45f7c62722af4ad639a0e1b08dd324d83a1d728d20f3cdeefd39375aa7f3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: United States","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x21ce0ae1b82299b300f53d22a9971dfef63346a0b8962232a7248eadb48bd39c","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Austria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x528fbd8194e1aa1f094589a02f18477b0edd7c4fb413140774a781d847972869","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x632131499208f242ade89e799edcf76965fea513e3c26c6f36e1b575f9007d68","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: New Zealand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: The Netherlands","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc29194f3f96257d0e230310dc9ecd4258da318223174499451f8f3c29cecf9b3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd904f952c9b101184dda166e40c76268e5bbb68286d6514999f661eb5dd6e2f5","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Italy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xec00994dcf039406b7a19e344a47ccadfe523d92feb1ac1661b71c065e87866b","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Finland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xecf32b871ad1ab9ca961ce1a12d5758c59b07bdcb99f649a1dbe3f07e7cb4bde","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Greece","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T17:31:49.017Z","priceCents":19,"iy":769.2948195871595,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T17:46:28.933Z","priceCents":20,"iy":721.8467410597304,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T18:16:33.253Z","priceCents":19,"iy":769.4127401633451,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T19:00:35.638Z","priceCents":21,"iy":679.0508971431586,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T19:16:48.668Z","priceCents":19,"iy":769.5725612046408,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T19:46:24.183Z","priceCents":20,"iy":722.1430832541945,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T20:00:39.716Z","priceCents":19,"iy":769.6905669494116,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T20:46:17.984Z","priceCents":22,"iy":640.2111999856082,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T21:00:35.922Z","priceCents":20,"iy":722.3252937538651,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T21:31:17.388Z","priceCents":23,"iy":604.6206744774348,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T21:46:19.972Z","priceCents":19,"iy":769.9685944485695,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T22:02:07.089Z","priceCents":20,"iy":722.4789936758345,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T22:46:28.251Z","priceCents":21,"iy":679.578541108551,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T23:16:15.702Z","priceCents":18,"iy":823.0350827984845,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T02:02:30.516Z","priceCents":21,"iy":680.0362717456545,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T02:31:32.757Z","priceCents":20,"iy":723.1481710790262,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T03:01:44.314Z","priceCents":19,"iy":770.803883401997,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T04:02:18.313Z","priceCents":20,"iy":723.3738951206944,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T04:17:04.565Z","priceCents":19,"iy":771.0063033970437,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T04:46:14.271Z","priceCents":20,"iy":723.4850174181496,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T05:00:37.088Z","priceCents":19,"iy":771.1209278803057,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T05:16:13.713Z","priceCents":20,"iy":723.5603132124096,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T06:00:33.719Z","priceCents":19,"iy":771.2776364703581,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T07:15:44.673Z","priceCents":20,"iy":723.8580643242091,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T07:46:00.500Z","priceCents":19,"iy":771.5606376460003,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T08:00:33.804Z","priceCents":20,"iy":723.9693354358196,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T08:16:25.293Z","priceCents":19,"iy":771.6409866251506,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T10:15:32.209Z","priceCents":20,"iy":724.3033541198474,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T11:15:36.471Z","priceCents":18,"iy":825.0729554151858,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T11:31:08.721Z","priceCents":19,"iy":772.1579156306806,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T12:01:01.383Z","priceCents":20,"iy":724.5693527015023,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T12:15:56.178Z","priceCents":19,"iy":772.2767156415226,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T12:30:36.388Z","priceCents":20,"iy":724.6412777510311,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T14:31:40.405Z","priceCents":19,"iy":772.6371715181348,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T16:15:47.193Z","priceCents":20,"iy":725.2063857899285,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T17:15:44.580Z","priceCents":19,"iy":773.0747718756104,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T17:31:24.907Z","priceCents":20,"iy":725.3937496894717,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:01:37.615Z","priceCents":19,"iy":773.1976961768494,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:30:37.481Z","priceCents":20,"iy":725.541547192502,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:46:01.677Z","priceCents":19,"iy":773.3168163777335,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T20:16:05.827Z","priceCents":20,"iy":725.8084561656434,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T20:30:36.950Z","priceCents":19,"iy":773.5974702721655,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T03:00:48.023Z","priceCents":20,"iy":726.8237800810459,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T03:15:59.141Z","priceCents":19,"iy":774.6796994876869,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T04:45:43.033Z","priceCents":20,"iy":727.0843915897252,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T05:02:37.447Z","priceCents":19,"iy":774.9652032366889,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T08:15:34.508Z","priceCents":18,"iy":828.67084850579,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T08:30:46.267Z","priceCents":19,"iy":775.5252468683234,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T10:00:45.888Z","priceCents":20,"iy":727.878234945135,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T14:01:37.141Z","priceCents":21,"iy":685.1225641142614,"cri":3.762}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 699%","tight LAS 0.048","9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 19c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xd95a7d857f0c05108465c639a2e0643f94b52ed81c9bd08f1b6d20816a91d850","marketTitle":"Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":19},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0acc45f7c62722af4ad639a0e1b08dd324d83a1d728d20f3cdeefd39375aa7f3","reason":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Unite"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x21ce0ae1b82299b300f53d22a9971dfef63346a0b8962232a7248eadb48bd39c","reason":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Austr"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x528fbd8194e1aa1f094589a02f18477b0edd7c4fb413140774a781d847972869","reason":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Japan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Belgium%20recognize%20Palestine%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":138}