{"ticker":"0xdbdcd65ce03b31e1c8444c5813f709dd258b7d90d4d81ae644a0351cd26de2d7","venue":"polymarket","title":"Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":30,"bestBid":25,"bestAsk":34,"spread":9,"volume":276.92602800000003,"volume24h":69.354664,"openInterest":1185.3019,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-15","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":17,"iyYes":4968.883702839362,"iyNo":912.652108684781,"cri":2.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3,"cvr":null,"overround":0.55,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:43:23.215Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXKNESSET-27-JUN15","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved before Jun 15, 2026?: Before Jun 15, 2026","confidenceScore":0.872,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x3f0bc2757babb8bb9971c9f782fe81f9db734c12d84822f1120a90681c991ff8","connectedTitle":"Israeli parliament dissolved by...?: June 30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:41359","groupLabel":"Israeli parliament dissolved by...?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x232ae0932dad1b4ca049881715f094c1e424604d2fd3e1b0ad01f0893cb3059f","connectedTitle":"Israeli parliament dissolved by...?: May 31","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:41359","groupLabel":"Israeli parliament dissolved by...?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xac1721c071b72e556df41a0c0d3c4d3c0baa599d352bbe92bc8450e06e596021","connectedTitle":"Israeli parliament dissolved by...?: July 31","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:41359","groupLabel":"Israeli parliament dissolved by...?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:30:25.907Z","priceCents":37,"iy":3386.1092213494962,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:45:55.750Z","priceCents":40,"iy":2984.7898380853726,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:15:42.773Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3541.583281786317,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:30:47.348Z","priceCents":39,"iy":3117.6137827513967,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:45:24.575Z","priceCents":40,"iy":2991.476341383455,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:00:48.026Z","priceCents":37,"iy":3397.7720544884723,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:15:24.426Z","priceCents":40,"iy":2994.9127509436025,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:30:52.755Z","priceCents":34,"iy":3878.1029653240603,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:45:22.570Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3553.6083728854815,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:01:56.874Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3714.4892479431364,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:45:24.928Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3561.8009050877645,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:00:37.398Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3722.853376851621,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:34.928Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3578.102502833686,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:00:38.774Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3739.9014778325127,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:53.898Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3584.229390681004,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:45:24.675Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3746.5160164546674,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:30:22.872Z","priceCents":39,"iy":3167.9564724345814,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:30:40.034Z","priceCents":41,"iy":2921.430015234577,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:45:27.355Z","priceCents":39,"iy":3177.3009566865308,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:00:43.565Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3774.680603948898,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:15:24.710Z","priceCents":37,"iy":3462.7060758106,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:45:24.710Z","priceCents":38,"iy":3321.9518926171345,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:15:41.998Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3812.255457269799,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:45:38.366Z","priceCents":31,"iy":4574.433304272014,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:01:34.868Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3819.128643062387,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:45:25.370Z","priceCents":33,"iy":4182.529665089773,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:00:39.505Z","priceCents":31,"iy":4587.866245983227,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:30:24.754Z","priceCents":33,"iy":4189.860383675049,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:46:26.748Z","priceCents":34,"iy":4008.426181063056,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:00:45.556Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3855.1847970036,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:15:26.456Z","priceCents":33,"iy":4217.0409495282875,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:30:41.123Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3859.794686579791,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:45:25.116Z","priceCents":34,"iy":4036.744597565552,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:30:37.736Z","priceCents":33,"iy":4229.797979797979,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:45:27.041Z","priceCents":34,"iy":4046.4272516545157,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:29.996Z","priceCents":32,"iy":4434.930527760305,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:30:36.309Z","priceCents":34,"iy":4053.603820382778,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:45:23.619Z","priceCents":31,"iy":4650.900817716451,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:00:59.469Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4878.37476610532,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:45:26.723Z","priceCents":32,"iy":4450.708670453892,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:49.710Z","priceCents":29,"iy":5131.032898800944,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:15:27.976Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4892.948791604428,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:30:43.574Z","priceCents":31,"iy":4670.418826321987,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:25.779Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4898.8591697823795,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:00:45.268Z","priceCents":32,"iy":4464.285714285713,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:15:26.856Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4904.783843968363,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:30:49.078Z","priceCents":28,"iy":5408.386703765291,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:45:23.943Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4910.72286609391,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:15:28.121Z","priceCents":28,"iy":5431.233311564311,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:30:43.713Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4931.480409187416,"cri":2.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 4969%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.30)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXKNESSET-27-JUN15","reason":"Same market on kalshi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x3f0bc2757babb8bb9971c9f782fe81f9db734c12d84822f1120a90681c991ff8","reason":"Israeli parliament dissolved by...?: June 30"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x232ae0932dad1b4ca049881715f094c1e424604d2fd3e1b0ad01f0893cb3059f","reason":"Israeli parliament dissolved by...?: May 31"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xac1721c071b72e556df41a0c0d3c4d3c0baa599d352bbe92bc8450e06e596021","reason":"Israeli parliament dissolved by...?: July 31"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Israeli%20parliament%20dissolved%20by%20June%2015%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":139}