{"ticker":"0xe6d5e5da83874cd82c9b651a8a5d4fc541a800a295fb62e85124b4f5a04a4b7d","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":12,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":12,"spread":1,"volume":1664929.9210470014,"volume24h":8456.084961,"openInterest":189109.1344,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":124994,"askDepthUsd":55775,"volume24h":8456.084961,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-07-11T00:21:31.260Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":null,"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T20:31:09.294Z","priceCents":17,"iy":315.3277165204349,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T03:15:50.346Z","priceCents":16,"iy":339.2409500339905,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T11:00:45.324Z","priceCents":17,"iy":315.66508429492484,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T18:45:41.288Z","priceCents":16,"iy":339.6293631185109,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T08:00:29.510Z","priceCents":18,"iy":295.5177277066284,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T08:30:28.307Z","priceCents":16,"iy":340.5782676851875,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T16:16:00.469Z","priceCents":14,"iy":398.72935029091104,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T18:30:34.442Z","priceCents":16,"iy":340.8308714064909,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T18:45:44.670Z","priceCents":14,"iy":398.80310789459907,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":[],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 11c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xe6d5e5da83874cd82c9b651a8a5d4fc541a800a295fb62e85124b4f5a04a4b7d","marketTitle":"Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":11},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20China%20invade%20Taiwan%20by%20December%2031%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":173}