{"ticker":"0xeb196c24738383bf2fc0aeeb8fc5e96e72dcf161e19e74ffd305883cc3951496","venue":"polymarket","title":"Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Billion's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Billions (https://x.com/billions_ntwk) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":87,"bestBid":86,"bestAsk":88,"spread":2,"volume":52872.505059,"volume24h":720.6,"openInterest":4122.142,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":609,"iyYes":8.949207616977082,"iyNo":400.8080026798789,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.023,"cvr":null,"overround":1.96,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":54847,"askDepthUsd":1463,"volume24h":720.6,"observability":"medium","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-05-01T13:37:44.524Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x72ecc8c75d781d0d8584afdac7928c85e62a1ee5c73e67c7d587da88aa941544","connectedTitle":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $500M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:265906","groupLabel":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x16022635faa34c529d86a6c54948cf28ca047ef35e0110ac9b8aaceddbb5a0bf","connectedTitle":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $700M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:265906","groupLabel":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3e2162546c32d796f7a4681ca2c4db64201a682871bfae31191eaede97c0c1f6","connectedTitle":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:265906","groupLabel":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xeb33517bbc76928baa3aebb91cd8ff3163b34fedc6041ed0cf7eb4f6d146d203","connectedTitle":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $50M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:265906","groupLabel":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcfa7530e73ac5aac46e4673e2837a49203849bff3eeacd427aec1c7a9a05c34a","connectedTitle":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $200M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:265906","groupLabel":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf662101585439f6b1a1f802fd1bc233e28ae901f746899e452c9b74ad02e1bde","connectedTitle":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $300M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:265906","groupLabel":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:30:25.966Z","priceCents":82,"iy":271.59408943022584,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:45:21.712Z","priceCents":83,"iy":291.08192060837894,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T12:51:11.987Z","priceCents":77,"iy":199.84112257453103,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:06:02.766Z","priceCents":76,"iy":189.08194241548296,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:56:37.874Z","priceCents":78,"iy":211.71152144956733,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:16:03.358Z","priceCents":75,"iy":179.15663853062108,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:20:51.939Z","priceCents":76,"iy":189.1107133468806,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:40:51.856Z","priceCents":75,"iy":179.16162178081746,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:05:52.746Z","priceCents":72,"iy":153.57137597849157,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:10:50.322Z","priceCents":75,"iy":179.1677779432194,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T21:00:13.450Z","priceCents":76,"iy":189.13206518033684,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T21:05:14.019Z","priceCents":75,"iy":179.1789187411331,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T21:50:13.039Z","priceCents":76,"iy":189.14289766373747,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T22:00:37.066Z","priceCents":81,"iy":254.63850762972427,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:30:19.004Z","priceCents":80,"iy":239.18898551104536,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:40:13.242Z","priceCents":81,"iy":254.92802648457752,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:50:12.709Z","priceCents":82,"iy":272.4159260557778,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:00:16.902Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.3638582778347,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:10:30.753Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.255013680894,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:45:28.701Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.40780276322505,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:55:12.892Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.27534607651376,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:10:14.166Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.41803791978873,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:50:13.151Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.30027247647257,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:20:32.049Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.44754244434677,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:25:13.456Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.3160170655265,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:15:19.289Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.4704267667379,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:21:17.932Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.34160466446184,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:25:14.468Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.4746426107159,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:30:12.669Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.3455415084763,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:35:12.919Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.47885855142846,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:50:11.352Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.3547277789573,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T21:15:11.704Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.4957232816911,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T21:50:29.101Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.3822891200162,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:10:29.592Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.5186136059863,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:20:12.243Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.39607121363446,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:25:13.098Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.5246378494879,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:30:24.683Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.40066545569266,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:40:10.925Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.53126474545036,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:45:12.266Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.4072288415262,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:50:18.308Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.5354819854924,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:55:10.474Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.4118233396402,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T23:00:17.685Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.5396993223171,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T23:05:12.240Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.416417943195,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T23:15:12.608Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.5457242571045,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T23:25:13.675Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.42560746664185,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T23:50:20.174Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.56018490654327,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:10:13.833Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.4459571982477,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:45:11.356Z","priceCents":86,"iy":367.6083952903965,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:15:41.347Z","priceCents":85,"iy":339.21617828830574,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:25:40.379Z","priceCents":87,"iy":400.61737086003484,"cri":6.692}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.023","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 78c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xeb196c24738383bf2fc0aeeb8fc5e96e72dcf161e19e74ffd305883cc3951496","marketTitle":"Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":78},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x72ecc8c75d781d0d8584afdac7928c85e62a1ee5c73e67c7d587da88aa941544","reason":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $500M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x16022635faa34c529d86a6c54948cf28ca047ef35e0110ac9b8aaceddbb5a0bf","reason":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $700M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x3e2162546c32d796f7a4681ca2c4db64201a682871bfae31191eaede97c0c1f6","reason":"Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Billions%20FDV%20above%20%24100M%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2135}