{"ticker":"0xf59fe744e8f73124ccd8b351b101c51cd29bb449dab73b83ed74d05603b0dfb2","venue":"polymarket","title":"Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"invoke\" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","price":23,"bestBid":22,"bestAsk":23,"spread":1,"volume":132551.68168699992,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":16455.0711,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":236,"iyYes":518.5230147284151,"iyNo":46.26390197188929,"cri":3.348,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0435,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1624,"askDepthUsd":1859,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:16:55.173Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xf2982d808c8b0c88ed7d1fd22fb55993b0d1a0f738d202b0a8c2d6805b7125d3","connectedTitle":"Insurrection Act invoked by...?: June 30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:145985","groupLabel":"Insurrection Act invoked by...?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T14:35:58.634Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.0528701597136,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:01:00.028Z","priceCents":22,"iy":531.7293174664957,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:06:00.794Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.0961913042763,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:15:59.098Z","priceCents":22,"iy":531.7511666026647,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:31:03.391Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.1333296647793,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:45:59.930Z","priceCents":22,"iy":531.79705563378,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:40:58.961Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.2323921576335,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T21:56:01.484Z","priceCents":22,"iy":532.3592922220568,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T22:06:01.715Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.6993371451793,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T22:16:04.298Z","priceCents":21,"iy":564.8923932395496,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T22:20:58.916Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.7200184882195,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T22:26:00.747Z","priceCents":22,"iy":532.4052862777072,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T22:31:06.614Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.7344964408794,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T22:46:02.035Z","priceCents":22,"iy":532.4359533969863,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:01:01.521Z","priceCents":21,"iy":564.9644455442655,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:06:00.288Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.78414146723156,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:11:03.760Z","priceCents":22,"iy":532.4731967917695,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:16:00.431Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.79862311356584,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:26:03.487Z","priceCents":22,"iy":532.4951071050223,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:31:13.263Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.8213816719325,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:40:59.175Z","priceCents":22,"iy":532.5192105323209,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:56:00.582Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.8565580421355,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T00:31:05.555Z","priceCents":22,"iy":532.5959177748229,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T00:56:01.134Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.94348547261916,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T01:11:06.475Z","priceCents":22,"iy":532.6551070343029,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T01:16:09.686Z","priceCents":23,"iy":502.97246796179024,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T01:21:00.711Z","priceCents":22,"iy":532.6704545454546,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T01:46:06.013Z","priceCents":23,"iy":503.01594795910296,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T01:55:55.428Z","priceCents":22,"iy":532.7230812987441,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T02:05:56.741Z","priceCents":23,"iy":503.04286791531547,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:50:47.939Z","priceCents":22,"iy":533.1730256024181,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:55:38.191Z","priceCents":23,"iy":503.46153315635894,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T21:50:42.825Z","priceCents":24,"iy":477.43951973783857,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:35:39.779Z","priceCents":23,"iy":504.81763608836286,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T19:02:14.425Z","priceCents":22,"iy":538.7398823060564,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:00:58.799Z","priceCents":23,"iy":511.19118550337816,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T02:00:20.861Z","priceCents":22,"iy":541.6510024824244,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T02:25:18.896Z","priceCents":23,"iy":511.4950341940027,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:25:18.716Z","priceCents":22,"iy":541.9731248339053,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:45:31.668Z","priceCents":23,"iy":511.7928135948778,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T17:25:45.220Z","priceCents":22,"iy":543.110414518961,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T19:00:48.783Z","priceCents":23,"iy":515.1413619014243,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:15:25.498Z","priceCents":22,"iy":545.6707437681986,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:25:22.759Z","priceCents":23,"iy":515.2695232698137,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T21:55:32.694Z","priceCents":22,"iy":545.8318538804101,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T22:25:42.552Z","priceCents":23,"iy":515.4521003687303,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:26:11.774Z","priceCents":22,"iy":547.6126818403018,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:30:33.779Z","priceCents":23,"iy":517.2762538634673,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:35:32.293Z","priceCents":22,"iy":548.1113549728543,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:05:33.477Z","priceCents":23,"iy":517.6049211234928,"cri":3.348}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 519%","tight LAS 0.043","1 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 21c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0xf59fe744e8f73124ccd8b351b101c51cd29bb449dab73b83ed74d05603b0dfb2","marketTitle":"Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":21},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xf2982d808c8b0c88ed7d1fd22fb55993b0d1a0f738d202b0a8c2d6805b7125d3","reason":"Insurrection Act invoked by...?: June 30"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Insurrection%20Act%20invoked%20by%20December%2031%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":194}