{"ticker":"CONTROLS-2026-D","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?","description":"If the Democratic Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":44,"bestBid":43,"bestAsk":44,"spread":1,"volume":2441352.21,"volume24h":4084.38,"openInterest":1230219.41,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":58,"edge":15,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-23T06:04:18.131Z","firstDetectedPrice":47}],"indicators":{"tauDays":235,"iyYes":205.89343102476047,"iyNo":117.17357770538072,"cri":1.326,"ee":14,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0233,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.442,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":49612,"askDepthUsd":39424,"volume24h":4084.38,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15,"sfEdgeCents":15,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-06-11T15:29:52.999Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"CONTROLS-2026-R","connectedTitle":"Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?: Republican Party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:CONTROLS-2026","groupLabel":"CONTROLS-2026"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:16:16.324Z","priceCents":46,"iy":168.17578336979562,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:31:01.413Z","priceCents":45,"iy":175.10347023241007,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T23:30:51.219Z","priceCents":46,"iy":168.2649417304739,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:30:33.240Z","priceCents":45,"iy":175.21763645155264,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T05:45:32.599Z","priceCents":46,"iy":168.43692075773544,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:00:21.659Z","priceCents":45,"iy":175.3753753753754,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:15:32.332Z","priceCents":46,"iy":168.45082671666006,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T12:30:25.823Z","priceCents":45,"iy":175.56241189084437,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T14:15:38.249Z","priceCents":46,"iy":168.67164277964704,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T07:45:26.697Z","priceCents":45,"iy":177.51992069745214,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T16:15:29.344Z","priceCents":46,"iy":170.74384369254398,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T00:30:39.844Z","priceCents":47,"iy":164.24149043145806,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T08:16:08.153Z","priceCents":46,"iy":171.19956083968566,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:01:55.473Z","priceCents":45,"iy":178.53442579504517,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T16:30:34.587Z","priceCents":44,"iy":188.12306561813523,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T13:01:20.531Z","priceCents":43,"iy":197.4185004620191,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T02:01:09.976Z","priceCents":42,"iy":206.11988134816622,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T03:15:51.490Z","priceCents":43,"iy":197.89733251897863,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T07:30:31.250Z","priceCents":42,"iy":206.31308288075044,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T16:30:57.942Z","priceCents":41,"iy":215.31948922837637,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T23:15:30.017Z","priceCents":42,"iy":207.72106152232755,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T01:00:27.052Z","priceCents":43,"iy":199.45223255641395,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T06:45:37.380Z","priceCents":44,"iy":191.68923985650696,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T12:00:24.790Z","priceCents":45,"iy":184.24826478517755,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T18:45:22.597Z","priceCents":44,"iy":192.08554911469616,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T20:30:57.183Z","priceCents":43,"iy":200.1229305961557,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:15:23.755Z","priceCents":42,"iy":208.50901966485304,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T22:00:44.037Z","priceCents":41,"iy":217.30513778568542,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T00:01:54.535Z","priceCents":42,"iy":209.47520573493046,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T01:45:50.049Z","priceCents":41,"iy":218.34942234486704,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T02:01:26.400Z","priceCents":42,"iy":209.547486311115,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T10:30:26.352Z","priceCents":41,"iy":218.68123688585334,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T17:45:29.411Z","priceCents":42,"iy":210.12052402093468,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T00:15:26.674Z","priceCents":41,"iy":219.20417940480297,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T03:45:22.940Z","priceCents":42,"iy":210.48641949973236,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T18:15:37.026Z","priceCents":41,"iy":219.89245028092324,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T01:00:35.055Z","priceCents":42,"iy":211.26719801814008,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T15:16:03.894Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.16019701434482,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T18:45:27.898Z","priceCents":42,"iy":212.8193018360767,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T20:15:36.891Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.3395413070836,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T22:45:27.807Z","priceCents":42,"iy":212.96856857557734,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T03:15:27.476Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.59184541451214,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T03:30:51.795Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.14688367576787,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T03:45:29.868Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.6100145906954,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T04:30:56.700Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.18474648537205,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T05:15:27.921Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.66367575371422,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T05:30:58.658Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.22262274905103,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T09:01:27.700Z","priceCents":43,"iy":204.79968562928335,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T16:16:13.135Z","priceCents":42,"iy":213.62747525826524,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T13:30:38.108Z","priceCents":43,"iy":205.83386906532132,"cri":1.326}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"consider_long","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"15c edge in neutral regime","positives":["+15c executable edge (yes)","IY 206%","tight LAS 0.023","1 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"small"},"nextActions":{"execute":{"description":"Buy 10 YES contracts at market","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"CONTROLS-2026-D","marketTitle":"Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"immediate"},"auth":"required"},"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 40c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"CONTROLS-2026-D","marketTitle":"Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":40},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/CONTROLS-2026-R","reason":"Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?: Republican Pa"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Democrats%20win%20the%20U.S.%20Senate%20in%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":142}