{"ticker":"GOVPARTYCT-26-D","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Connecticut","description":"If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Connecticut pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":92,"bestBid":90,"bestAsk":92,"spread":2,"volume":2377.76,"volume24h":750,"openInterest":1893.84,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":8.189699467198345,"iyNo":663.3656568430662,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0222,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1572,"askDepthUsd":6677,"volume24h":750,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T10:32:01.321Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"GOVPARTYCT-26-R","connectedTitle":"Will the Republican party win the governorship in Connecticut: Republican party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:GOVPARTYCT-26","groupLabel":"GOVPARTYCT-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T23:30:34.233Z","priceCents":89,"iy":589.8754243389665,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T01:16:09.917Z","priceCents":90,"iy":656.2492508570197,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T03:16:09.228Z","priceCents":89,"iy":590.0592856549931,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T05:00:56.729Z","priceCents":90,"iy":656.4538304130964,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:46:04.537Z","priceCents":89,"iy":590.2314648514755,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T08:15:59.341Z","priceCents":90,"iy":656.6309733929534,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T10:01:06.434Z","priceCents":89,"iy":590.3907610797545,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T11:45:59.851Z","priceCents":90,"iy":656.8226578823719,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T13:30:54.611Z","priceCents":89,"iy":590.5631338077716,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T14:45:55.770Z","priceCents":90,"iy":656.9868602627948,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T15:45:55.620Z","priceCents":89,"iy":590.6741667830378,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T17:30:56.277Z","priceCents":90,"iy":657.137998979786,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T19:31:06.626Z","priceCents":89,"iy":590.858526442306,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:16:05.107Z","priceCents":90,"iy":657.3431331154864,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T23:01:07.171Z","priceCents":89,"iy":591.0311724595666,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T00:45:56.035Z","priceCents":90,"iy":657.5352336802158,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T02:30:56.037Z","priceCents":89,"iy":591.2039193989867,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T04:15:55.690Z","priceCents":90,"iy":657.727446555891,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T05:15:55.731Z","priceCents":89,"iy":591.3388742189358,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T06:46:03.457Z","priceCents":90,"iy":657.8644338661002,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T11:01:06.626Z","priceCents":89,"iy":591.6231911191505,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T12:01:27.580Z","priceCents":90,"iy":658.1530842035246,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T12:45:56.115Z","priceCents":89,"iy":591.7097250776545,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T14:16:43.990Z","priceCents":90,"iy":658.2770574915338,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T14:30:56.365Z","priceCents":89,"iy":591.796284353697,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T16:17:41.363Z","priceCents":90,"iy":658.3878816545277,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T18:46:41.633Z","priceCents":89,"iy":592.0062661362028,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T21:46:21.088Z","priceCents":90,"iy":658.6888782839201,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T00:02:12.279Z","priceCents":89,"iy":592.2674682439074,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T02:15:58.636Z","priceCents":90,"iy":658.9359538323596,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T14:30:56.434Z","priceCents":89,"iy":592.984582583394,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:30:56.413Z","priceCents":90,"iy":659.7220130257443,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:45:58.445Z","priceCents":89,"iy":593.1453685453105,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:16:02.122Z","priceCents":90,"iy":659.8187456815518,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:46:49.786Z","priceCents":89,"iy":593.2955141306975,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:30:59.673Z","priceCents":90,"iy":660.0534070610646,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:00:58.125Z","priceCents":89,"iy":593.4564687759871,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:46:55.098Z","priceCents":90,"iy":660.1794241064971,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:45:57.291Z","priceCents":89,"iy":593.5924540575704,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T04:15:57.554Z","priceCents":90,"iy":660.3718587105764,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T04:45:56.839Z","priceCents":89,"iy":593.6926936231355,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T06:31:08.877Z","priceCents":90,"iy":660.4966693676323,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T08:31:05.198Z","priceCents":89,"iy":593.8789426633053,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T10:16:05.681Z","priceCents":90,"iy":660.7039060975832,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T12:00:56.803Z","priceCents":89,"iy":594.0533585547707,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T13:02:17.482Z","priceCents":90,"iy":660.8567600516616,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T14:01:27.063Z","priceCents":89,"iy":594.1525584774331,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T14:15:54.740Z","priceCents":90,"iy":660.9245700972376,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T00:45:57.209Z","priceCents":89,"iy":594.6885715629938,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T05:30:55.424Z","priceCents":90,"iy":661.7713715891579,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.022","1 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 83c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"GOVPARTYCT-26-D","marketTitle":"Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Connecticut","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":83},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/GOVPARTYCT-26-R","reason":"Will the Republican party win the governorship in Connecticu"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Democratic%20party%20win%20the%20governorship%20in%20Connecticu","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":127}