{"ticker":"GOVPARTYTX-26-D","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas","description":"If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Texas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":17,"bestBid":14,"bestAsk":17,"spread":3,"volume":82457.66,"volume24h":6015.37,"openInterest":47605.53,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":524,"iyYes":428.04751695621803,"iyNo":11.343606452598532,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2143,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":6602,"askDepthUsd":6912,"volume24h":6015.37,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T19:58:08.604Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"GOVPARTYTX-26-R","connectedTitle":"Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas: Greg Abbott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:GOVPARTYTX-26","groupLabel":"GOVPARTYTX-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T00:30:14.444Z","priceCents":12,"iy":484.37337888735277,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T04:50:09.435Z","priceCents":13,"iy":442.1770791443361,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T07:50:54.527Z","priceCents":12,"iy":484.64174533796375,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T09:20:54.433Z","priceCents":13,"iy":442.3284123049621,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:20:12.658Z","priceCents":12,"iy":484.9886060895967,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:10:11.953Z","priceCents":13,"iy":442.6225669349024,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:35:15.935Z","priceCents":9,"iy":669.1134684694758,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:40:12.761Z","priceCents":11,"iy":535.4283467980199,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T02:05:17.637Z","priceCents":13,"iy":442.887399905774,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:00:59.794Z","priceCents":12,"iy":485.89453607661034,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T20:21:05.224Z","priceCents":13,"iy":443.4993305262034,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T11:05:21.421Z","priceCents":12,"iy":493.7014637049498,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T13:00:20.142Z","priceCents":13,"iy":450.61223238734794,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T08:50:42.495Z","priceCents":14,"iy":415.7844988545064,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T08:55:46.776Z","priceCents":13,"iy":452.97704559683626,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T14:25:46.546Z","priceCents":12,"iy":496.57652844152886,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T15:45:38.608Z","priceCents":13,"iy":453.2165745818504,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T16:36:03.216Z","priceCents":12,"iy":496.66037645990633,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T19:05:42.736Z","priceCents":13,"iy":453.3334894172934,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T06:31:07.374Z","priceCents":12,"iy":497.19545849408604,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T06:35:58.909Z","priceCents":13,"iy":453.73684548942276,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T07:51:08.761Z","priceCents":12,"iy":497.24625888758027,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T19:15:47.818Z","priceCents":13,"iy":454.1822959440684,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T09:20:44.830Z","priceCents":12,"iy":498.22920777212755,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T09:25:44.588Z","priceCents":13,"iy":454.68108893221324,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T10:40:42.611Z","priceCents":12,"iy":498.2811472256352,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T01:00:47.059Z","priceCents":11,"iy":551.3957347753418,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T11:16:10.293Z","priceCents":12,"iy":500.1666183940479,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T22:45:46.710Z","priceCents":11,"iy":552.3300643532111,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T23:15:45.779Z","priceCents":10,"iy":614.4137538903519,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T11:00:42.468Z","priceCents":12,"iy":501.09266907041376,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T22:30:37.654Z","priceCents":13,"iy":458.560525729426,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T01:01:50.489Z","priceCents":12,"iy":502.58301382072005,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T15:31:07.574Z","priceCents":13,"iy":460.0364436365174,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T22:01:58.573Z","priceCents":12,"iy":504.35865113267147,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T20:45:46.290Z","priceCents":14,"iy":426.45748195809057,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:00:22.302Z","priceCents":10,"iy":626.1126125954416,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:02:20.452Z","priceCents":11,"iy":562.9150491270527,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:45:37.561Z","priceCents":13,"iy":465.8204006011437,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:00:38.089Z","priceCents":14,"iy":427.6181085575115,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:15:27.700Z","priceCents":15,"iy":394.60262466390424,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:45:26.210Z","priceCents":14,"iy":427.77964782791776,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:01:34.013Z","priceCents":15,"iy":394.62671683291234,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:27.960Z","priceCents":14,"iy":427.7967879398102,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:30:34.750Z","priceCents":15,"iy":394.64177593251213,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:45:22.894Z","priceCents":14,"iy":427.81392942528475,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:15:26.069Z","priceCents":15,"iy":394.6967514008395,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:15:25.566Z","priceCents":14,"iy":427.89884084262394,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:00:42.217Z","priceCents":15,"iy":394.7517421879871,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:45:24.293Z","priceCents":14,"iy":427.94947714907926,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 428%","1 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 6.1","illiquid (LAS 0.21)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/GOVPARTYTX-26-R","reason":"Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas: Gre"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Democratic%20party%20win%20the%20governorship%20in%20Texas","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":184}