{"ticker":"HOUSEMI3-26-R","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will a Republican win the House race for MI-3?","description":"If the House member sworn in for MI-3 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":14,"spread":4,"volume":1425.06,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1337.06,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":496,"iyYes":662.9466312826049,"iyNo":8.184526312130926,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T02:50:00.950Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"HOUSEMI3-26-D","connectedTitle":"Will a Democrat win the House race for MI-3?: Democratic party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:HOUSEMI3-26","groupLabel":"HOUSEMI3-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:00:58.051Z","priceCents":11,"iy":563.4950605499165,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T22:16:34.534Z","priceCents":12,"iy":522.0757419424468,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T00:30:58.449Z","priceCents":10,"iy":657.5220725255854,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 663%","1 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 9.0","illiquid (LAS 0.40)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/HOUSEMI3-26-D","reason":"Will a Democrat win the House race for MI-3?: Democratic par"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20a%20Republican%20win%20the%20House%20race%20for%20MI-3%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":143}