{"ticker":"KX2028DRUN-28-CHOL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","description":"If Chris Van Hollen announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":29,"bestBid":25,"bestAsk":28,"spread":3,"volume":2487.48,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2257.48,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":572,"iyYes":191.34491887499672,"iyNo":21.260546541666304,"cri":3,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.12,"cvr":null,"overround":13.37,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":2640,"askDepthUsd":2514,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T08:44:56.433Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-ABES","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Andy Beshear","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-AOC","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Alexandria Oca","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-ASPA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Abigail Spanbe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-BOBA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Barack Obama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-CBOOK","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Cory Booker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-CMUR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Chris Murphy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-DPHI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Dean Phillips","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-ESLO","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Elissa Slotkin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-GNEW","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Gavin Newsom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-GWHI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Gretchen Whitm","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-HBID","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Hunter Biden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-HCLI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Hillary Clinto","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JFET","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: John Fetterman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JOSS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Jon Ossoff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JPOL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Jared Polis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JPRI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: J.B. Pritzker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JSHA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Josh Shapiro","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JSTE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Jon Stewart","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-KHAR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Kamala Harris","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MCUB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mark Cuban","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MKEL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mark Kelly","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MLAN","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mitch Landrieu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MOBA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Michelle Obama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MSHE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mikie Sherrill","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-PBUT","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Pete Buttigieg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-PMUR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Phil Murphy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RCOO","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Roy Cooper","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-REMA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Rahm Emanuel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RGAL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Ruben Gallego","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RKHA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Ro Khanna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RWAR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Raphael Warnoc","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-SAS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Stephen A. Smi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-TWAL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Tim Walz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-WMOO","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Wes Moore","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T17:55:22.188Z","priceCents":25,"iy":182.2333318909995,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T18:10:27.669Z","priceCents":23,"iy":203.36521860693696,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T18:15:19.758Z","priceCents":25,"iy":182.23757788784152,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T20:50:28.682Z","priceCents":23,"iy":203.40279376505484,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T20:55:25.585Z","priceCents":25,"iy":182.27124958177487,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T06:00:26.461Z","priceCents":23,"iy":203.53221265694447,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T06:05:50.109Z","priceCents":25,"iy":182.38722389988857,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T22:15:24.486Z","priceCents":23,"iy":203.76198048670005,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T22:20:37.122Z","priceCents":25,"iy":182.59312249247114,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T01:20:27.648Z","priceCents":23,"iy":203.80582080446626,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T01:25:18.974Z","priceCents":25,"iy":182.63210388847932,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T16:41:03.173Z","priceCents":23,"iy":204.0232617733509,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T16:45:55.438Z","priceCents":25,"iy":182.8272607968263,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T20:15:53.847Z","priceCents":23,"iy":204.07403069555156,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T20:21:01.216Z","priceCents":25,"iy":182.87275563356638,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T03:15:52.416Z","priceCents":23,"iy":204.17359746614062,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T03:20:52.913Z","priceCents":25,"iy":182.9616732889324,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T07:46:05.894Z","priceCents":23,"iy":204.23775352859684,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T08:10:56.160Z","priceCents":24,"iy":193.19141633962022,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T11:51:54.521Z","priceCents":23,"iy":204.29580171218853,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T17:30:41.168Z","priceCents":24,"iy":193.31710974892474,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T17:36:25.349Z","priceCents":23,"iy":204.3778082859803,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T23:10:43.296Z","priceCents":25,"iy":183.21484324673435,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T23:30:41.416Z","priceCents":23,"iy":204.46193337836513,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T23:40:41.778Z","priceCents":25,"iy":183.22128110996957,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T07:15:58.399Z","priceCents":22,"iy":216.64879396555108,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T09:10:57.092Z","priceCents":23,"iy":204.59989782016845,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T09:25:58.084Z","priceCents":25,"iy":183.34583545422888,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T10:40:53.720Z","priceCents":23,"iy":204.62113964619215,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T15:01:50.738Z","priceCents":24,"iy":193.6072478066686,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T22:16:11.788Z","priceCents":23,"iy":206.16883867121487,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T05:31:14.245Z","priceCents":24,"iy":195.11193263503804,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:45:54.246Z","priceCents":25,"iy":185.49858462038858,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T09:00:52.694Z","priceCents":22,"iy":219.24491343329834,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T09:16:08.427Z","priceCents":23,"iy":207.02741122479713,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T19:01:35.549Z","priceCents":24,"iy":195.95975351173442,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:30:33.855Z","priceCents":23,"iy":207.72035319481367,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T13:15:46.235Z","priceCents":24,"iy":196.5462278995316,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:45:24.274Z","priceCents":23,"iy":209.53441609307814,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:27.960Z","priceCents":22,"iy":221.92760062198968,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:15:26.107Z","priceCents":23,"iy":209.63183115959185,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:30:24.725Z","priceCents":22,"iy":222.02659827176427,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:30:24.212Z","priceCents":23,"iy":209.66564204908792,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T13:45:24.767Z","priceCents":22,"iy":222.33252511646882,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T17:00:24.578Z","priceCents":23,"iy":209.98847286191312,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T10:00:40.367Z","priceCents":22,"iy":222.65538483484556,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T10:45:28.588Z","priceCents":23,"iy":210.25548528918557,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T15:45:24.301Z","priceCents":22,"iy":222.74736458650204,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T17:15:28.228Z","priceCents":23,"iy":210.35357213372396,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T22:30:24.952Z","priceCents":25,"iy":188.56974583553617,"cri":3}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 191%","34 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 26c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KX2028DRUN-28-CHOL","marketTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":26},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028DRUN-28-ABES","reason":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028DRUN-28-AOC","reason":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028DRUN-28-ASPA","reason":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20run%20for%20the%20Democratic%20presidential%20nomination%20in%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":192}