{"ticker":"KX2028DRUN-28-KHAR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","description":"If Kamala Harris announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":61,"bestBid":61,"bestAsk":66,"spread":5,"volume":92168.97,"volume24h":36.88,"openInterest":24925.87,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":572,"iyYes":40.77543272014931,"iyNo":99.753704899195,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.082,"cvr":null,"overround":13.37,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":1639,"askDepthUsd":1883,"volume24h":36.88,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T07:58:23.115Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-ABES","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Andy Beshear","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-AOC","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Alexandria Oca","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-ASPA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Abigail Spanbe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-BOBA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Barack Obama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-CBOOK","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Cory Booker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-CHOL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Chris Van Holl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-CMUR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Chris Murphy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-DPHI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Dean Phillips","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-ESLO","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Elissa Slotkin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-GNEW","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Gavin Newsom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-GWHI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Gretchen Whitm","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-HBID","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Hunter Biden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-HCLI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Hillary Clinto","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JFET","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: John Fetterman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JOSS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Jon Ossoff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JPOL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Jared Polis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JPRI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: J.B. Pritzker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JSHA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Josh Shapiro","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JSTE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Jon Stewart","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MCUB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mark Cuban","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MKEL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mark Kelly","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MLAN","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mitch Landrieu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MOBA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Michelle Obama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MSHE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mikie Sherrill","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-PBUT","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Pete Buttigieg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-PMUR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Phil Murphy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RCOO","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Roy Cooper","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-REMA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Rahm Emanuel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RGAL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Ruben Gallego","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RKHA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Ro Khanna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RWAR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Raphael Warnoc","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-SAS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Stephen A. Smi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-TWAL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Tim Walz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-WMOO","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Wes Moore","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T20:30:27.112Z","priceCents":62,"iy":100.46481959972293,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T21:01:04.192Z","priceCents":61,"iy":96.31352155759619,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T21:16:22.821Z","priceCents":62,"iy":100.47024335997354,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T22:01:08.051Z","priceCents":61,"iy":96.3201839518677,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T00:15:47.632Z","priceCents":60,"iy":92.38728750923872,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T18:16:55.536Z","priceCents":62,"iy":100.61894657876462,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T00:16:05.778Z","priceCents":63,"iy":105.04932041609672,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T16:15:39.891Z","priceCents":62,"iy":100.77491142005522,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:46:20.744Z","priceCents":58,"iy":85.50295568814369,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:00:53.477Z","priceCents":59,"iy":89.10624716926809,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:30:50.094Z","priceCents":58,"iy":85.51339991341212,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T15:45:37.439Z","priceCents":59,"iy":89.18038033289149,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T16:00:45.083Z","priceCents":58,"iy":85.58294802814784,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T16:30:39.257Z","priceCents":59,"iy":89.18507453921629,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T17:45:22.523Z","priceCents":58,"iy":85.59355715421839,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:16:21.269Z","priceCents":59,"iy":89.19613059025924,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T19:01:17.103Z","priceCents":58,"iy":85.60126131861362,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:16:16.324Z","priceCents":59,"iy":89.2088560139652,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:31:01.413Z","priceCents":58,"iy":85.61027549766784,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T23:30:51.219Z","priceCents":59,"iy":89.2293151965997,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T03:15:21.977Z","priceCents":60,"iy":93.03487405881842,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:15:29.490Z","priceCents":59,"iy":89.28452600696339,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:30:33.855Z","priceCents":60,"iy":93.06950889897495,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T11:45:51.158Z","priceCents":59,"iy":89.30669020531413,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T00:00:26.372Z","priceCents":60,"iy":93.33049222245897,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T00:45:47.036Z","priceCents":61,"iy":97.32428377042275,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T17:45:24.358Z","priceCents":62,"iy":101.81938599715734,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T01:45:41.059Z","priceCents":63,"iy":106.3184261599458,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:45:34.492Z","priceCents":62,"iy":102.06666274576732,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:01:34.013Z","priceCents":63,"iy":106.57878709956827,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T14:30:55.066Z","priceCents":62,"iy":102.32059307059443,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T14:31:08.127Z","priceCents":63,"iy":107.51989316744861,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T17:15:27.674Z","priceCents":64,"iy":112.2827741689633,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:02:26.828Z","priceCents":63,"iy":107.54724420183786,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:15:27.512Z","priceCents":64,"iy":112.2909350450779,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T19:45:30.739Z","priceCents":63,"iy":107.56045954954922,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T20:00:49.715Z","priceCents":64,"iy":112.30512224816394,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T21:15:27.645Z","priceCents":63,"iy":107.5721885637782,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T03:00:30.717Z","priceCents":61,"iy":98.85669885669887,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:30:26.796Z","priceCents":65,"iy":117.45840314001342,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T16:45:25.178Z","priceCents":61,"iy":98.95488266235346,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T19:31:34.277Z","priceCents":62,"iy":103.24461839137493,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:15:26.268Z","priceCents":59,"iy":91.06470262353031,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T21:30:25.638Z","priceCents":60,"iy":94.93193510296862,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T01:30:25.628Z","priceCents":59,"iy":91.0992924332551,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T02:30:25.947Z","priceCents":60,"iy":94.96618509993564,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T02:45:40.783Z","priceCents":59,"iy":91.10750939949425,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T03:30:41.425Z","priceCents":60,"iy":94.97310396389112,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T03:45:25.441Z","priceCents":59,"iy":91.11414726212458,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T19:00:40.738Z","priceCents":61,"iy":99.1428827277068,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["34 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 55c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KX2028DRUN-28-KHAR","marketTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":55},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028DRUN-28-ABES","reason":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028DRUN-28-AOC","reason":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028DRUN-28-ASPA","reason":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20run%20for%20the%20Democratic%20presidential%20nomination%20in%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":150}