{"ticker":"KX2028DRUN-28-SAS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","description":"If Stephen A. Smith announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":23,"bestBid":23,"bestAsk":26,"spread":3,"volume":28100.1,"volume24h":92,"openInterest":13420.65,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":572,"iyYes":213.51416665166255,"iyNo":19.05026044168148,"cri":3.348,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1304,"cvr":null,"overround":13.37,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T07:58:22.581Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-ABES","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Andy Beshear","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-AOC","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Alexandria Oca","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-ASPA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Abigail Spanbe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-BOBA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Barack Obama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-CBOOK","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Cory Booker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-CHOL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Chris Van Holl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-CMUR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Chris Murphy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-DPHI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Dean Phillips","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-ESLO","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Elissa Slotkin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-GNEW","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Gavin Newsom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-GWHI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Gretchen Whitm","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-HBID","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Hunter Biden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-HCLI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Hillary Clinto","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JFET","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: John Fetterman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JOSS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Jon Ossoff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JPOL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Jared Polis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JPRI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: J.B. Pritzker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JSHA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Josh Shapiro","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-JSTE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Jon Stewart","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-KHAR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Kamala Harris","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MCUB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mark Cuban","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MKEL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mark Kelly","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MLAN","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mitch Landrieu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MOBA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Michelle Obama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-MSHE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Mikie Sherrill","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-PBUT","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Pete Buttigieg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-PMUR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Phil Murphy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RCOO","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Roy Cooper","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-REMA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Rahm Emanuel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RGAL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Ruben Gallego","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RKHA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Ro Khanna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-RWAR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Raphael Warnoc","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-TWAL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Tim Walz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028DRUN-28-WMOO","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?: Wes Moore","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028DRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028DRUN-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T17:45:31.854Z","priceCents":21,"iy":236.787507539467,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T18:15:28.510Z","priceCents":22,"iy":223.17145211479055,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T21:01:23.147Z","priceCents":23,"iy":210.77337291468038,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T22:30:31.666Z","priceCents":21,"iy":236.86838554172135,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T00:31:39.234Z","priceCents":22,"iy":223.27194805598128,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T06:15:28.942Z","priceCents":21,"iy":237.00044153506917,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T12:15:27.587Z","priceCents":22,"iy":223.46047740011622,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T16:45:28.121Z","priceCents":23,"iy":211.07264331066443,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T00:15:31.849Z","priceCents":21,"iy":237.30764172578577,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T17:15:27.674Z","priceCents":22,"iy":223.92757803014837,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:02:26.828Z","priceCents":21,"iy":237.61193862582925,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:15:27.512Z","priceCents":22,"iy":223.94385341376326,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T19:45:30.739Z","priceCents":21,"iy":237.64113625346366,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T20:00:49.715Z","priceCents":22,"iy":223.97214721082693,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T21:15:27.645Z","priceCents":21,"iy":237.66705001657118,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:15:35.413Z","priceCents":20,"iy":252.9829461770118,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:30:26.796Z","priceCents":21,"iy":237.9285602066938,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:45:36.195Z","priceCents":20,"iy":252.99215204481774,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T15:31:28.987Z","priceCents":21,"iy":237.9805188577794,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T16:00:52.037Z","priceCents":22,"iy":224.29551355400378,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T16:15:25.340Z","priceCents":21,"iy":237.99289331018363,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T16:45:25.178Z","priceCents":22,"iy":224.3075656176447,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T18:15:25.539Z","priceCents":21,"iy":238.02754862415375,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T18:30:51.865Z","priceCents":22,"iy":224.33595140033856,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T19:31:34.277Z","priceCents":23,"iy":211.84695190263886,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T23:45:35.259Z","priceCents":21,"iy":238.12207689357012,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T00:30:27.918Z","priceCents":22,"iy":224.43321744055004,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T03:45:25.441Z","priceCents":23,"iy":211.9730014049575,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T06:15:28.225Z","priceCents":24,"iy":200.53877989141125,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T07:45:27.360Z","priceCents":23,"iy":212.03405883358556,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T12:30:26.845Z","priceCents":24,"iy":200.6292845273307,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:15:23.755Z","priceCents":23,"iy":212.24140135358738,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T22:00:44.037Z","priceCents":24,"iy":200.767287120091,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T22:15:23.400Z","priceCents":23,"iy":212.25651673952842,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T22:30:43.655Z","priceCents":24,"iy":200.77461074044288,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T03:00:54.478Z","priceCents":25,"iy":190.26966163277433,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T08:30:23.162Z","priceCents":26,"iy":180.58378639739422,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T17:45:43.291Z","priceCents":25,"iy":190.47287718413247,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T18:00:24.191Z","priceCents":26,"iy":180.70818070818066,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T19:15:41.725Z","priceCents":25,"iy":190.49375284870794,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T19:45:26.423Z","priceCents":26,"iy":180.7311306930306,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T10:30:26.352Z","priceCents":25,"iy":190.70442207852145,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T18:01:21.819Z","priceCents":26,"iy":181.0233873369683,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T22:15:25.498Z","priceCents":25,"iy":190.86697182141128,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T04:00:31.126Z","priceCents":26,"iy":181.154705984772,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T06:15:25.791Z","priceCents":25,"iy":190.97815698230093,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T06:30:34.079Z","priceCents":26,"iy":181.1875654213895,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T07:15:24.949Z","priceCents":23,"iy":213.13579286704532,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T07:30:46.056Z","priceCents":24,"iy":201.60633884051498,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T11:15:28.962Z","priceCents":23,"iy":213.1978940705725,"cri":3.348}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 214%","34 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 21c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KX2028DRUN-28-SAS","marketTitle":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":21},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028DRUN-28-ABES","reason":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028DRUN-28-AOC","reason":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028DRUN-28-ASPA","reason":"Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20run%20for%20the%20Democratic%20presidential%20nomination%20in%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":146}