{"ticker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RDES","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?","description":"If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":63,"bestBid":63,"bestAsk":66,"spread":3,"volume":17281.23,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":10496.73,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":608,"iyYes":35.263794332046814,"iyNo":102.23666888524016,"cri":1.703,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0476,"cvr":null,"overround":7.46,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":1562,"askDepthUsd":1594,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T17:49:06.476Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: J.D. Vance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-DJT","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TGAB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Tulsi Gabbard","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-VRAM","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Vivek Ramaswam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-GYOU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Glenn Youngkin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-NHAL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Nikki Haley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RFK","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Robert F. Kenn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-SHS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Sarah Huckabee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-GABB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Greg Abbott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-EMUS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-BKEM","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Brian Kemp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MGAE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Matt Gaetz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-BDON","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Byron Donalds","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-ESTE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Elise Stefanik","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JHAW","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Josh Hawley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RPAU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Rand Paul","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TCRU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Ted Cruz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-KBRI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Katie Britt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JTHU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: John Thune","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TUC","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Tucker Carlson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-STE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Steve Bannon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MTAY","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Marjorie Taylo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-EKIR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Erika Kirk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Pete Hegseth","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Jared Kushner","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Thomas Massie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T20:55:51.068Z","priceCents":60,"iy":87.35498673321067,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:01:15.213Z","priceCents":64,"iy":103.532496882945,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:26:18.434Z","priceCents":60,"iy":87.3579137494176,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:31:18.697Z","priceCents":64,"iy":103.53596598347113,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:15:26.326Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.1083116396116,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:20:14.463Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.03923738802442,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:30:20.668Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.10976564104855,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:35:22.527Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.04090580744871,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T03:35:34.526Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.12852642123562,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T03:40:29.041Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.06032445017074,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:35:34.924Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.14671284384703,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:40:31.986Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.07929562837751,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T09:35:51.125Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.16490652679722,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T09:40:30.803Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.09827438024753,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:30:37.114Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.18252493155065,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:35:31.826Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.11680494960447,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:30:33.618Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.20073291555083,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:35:38.113Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.1357986803744,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:31:12.115Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.219093924202,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:35:33.932Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.15479999831807,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T21:35:43.183Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.23775394900889,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T21:40:33.262Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.17426521513926,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T00:35:09.519Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.25583812964427,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T00:40:23.610Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.19328190344162,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T03:40:55.735Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.27465912102156,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T03:45:53.942Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.2129150954923,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T06:35:45.459Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.29246596265065,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T06:40:44.725Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.23133808740967,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:36:00.589Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.31071788515108,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:40:58.471Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.25037759219504,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T12:30:23.805Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.32839269904463,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T12:35:25.623Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.26896749151716,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T15:30:25.296Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.34665899133184,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T15:35:24.349Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.28802204719769,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T20:15:25.762Z","priceCents":63,"iy":99.4726930694894,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:25:23.128Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.32508592315965,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:30:23.549Z","priceCents":63,"iy":99.48097278763855,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:31:07.579Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.33195276826213,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T00:25:27.908Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.40106273183552,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:15:51.589Z","priceCents":62,"iy":95.6429096948353,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T00:15:59.314Z","priceCents":61,"iy":91.69363938129177,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T20:20:23.551Z","priceCents":60,"iy":88.48084450319821,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T07:21:00.082Z","priceCents":61,"iy":92.93175628581174,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T13:55:40.693Z","priceCents":62,"iy":96.98414868445695,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T08:25:21.849Z","priceCents":60,"iy":89.56703540474483,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T14:55:59.873Z","priceCents":61,"iy":93.58928331457975,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:11:05.157Z","priceCents":60,"iy":89.75527547902267,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:15:57.506Z","priceCents":61,"iy":93.59143130407858,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:40:57.934Z","priceCents":62,"iy":97.63846929802989,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T00:11:03.738Z","priceCents":63,"iy":101.94703994253548,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.048","28 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 57c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KX2028RRUN-28-RDES","marketTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":57},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-JVAN","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-DJT","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20run%20for%20the%20Republican%20presidential%20nomination%20in%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3935}