{"ticker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RPAU","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?","description":"If Rand Paul announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":37,"bestBid":37,"bestAsk":42,"spread":5,"volume":5929,"volume24h":14,"openInterest":5645,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":620,"iyYes":100.30139270850094,"iyNo":34.59627276843986,"cri":1.703,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1351,"cvr":null,"overround":6.96,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":1634,"askDepthUsd":1515,"volume24h":14},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:15:53.555Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: J.D. Vance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-DJT","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TGAB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Tulsi Gabbard","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RDES","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Ron DeSantis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-VRAM","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Vivek Ramaswam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-GYOU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Glenn Youngkin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-NHAL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Nikki Haley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RFK","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Robert F. Kenn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-SHS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Sarah Huckabee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-GABB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Greg Abbott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-EMUS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-BKEM","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Brian Kemp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MGAE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Matt Gaetz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-BDON","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Byron Donalds","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-ESTE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Elise Stefanik","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JHAW","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Josh Hawley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TCRU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Ted Cruz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-KBRI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Katie Britt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JTHU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: John Thune","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TUC","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Tucker Carlson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-STE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Steve Bannon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MTAY","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Marjorie Taylo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-EKIR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Erika Kirk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Pete Hegseth","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Jared Kushner","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Thomas Massie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T16:20:31.779Z","priceCents":36,"iy":103.66564563106108,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T16:25:34.627Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.28834929913306,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T12:20:16.587Z","priceCents":36,"iy":103.97010930569866,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T12:25:15.695Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.58011791030809,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:55:17.911Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.02978244415482,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:20:43.842Z","priceCents":35,"iy":108.67693108256424,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:25:16.710Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.03328495073028,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:20:17.117Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.65260914105865,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:30:17.180Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.0476310100424,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:10:16.718Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.65820205422013,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:20:16.726Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.0534706554068,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:15:42.617Z","priceCents":35,"iy":108.71266109578241,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:20:17.601Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.06732157800273,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T03:25:27.041Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.67994047726904,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T06:15:21.886Z","priceCents":35,"iy":108.74178535448678,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T06:25:21.107Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.09586944381614,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T09:11:10.706Z","priceCents":35,"iy":108.76307162500972,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T09:15:54.739Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.11557827557148,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T11:20:57.811Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.73272756670707,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T11:35:56.227Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.13178519324471,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T12:05:57.152Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.73768922672906,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T17:51:06.161Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.17541856131251,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T17:55:54.971Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.77659934794397,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:51:19.101Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.21724727629831,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:55:59.305Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.8166620335877,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T05:50:20.875Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.25894207880191,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T05:55:34.197Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.85675690440317,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T11:35:48.181Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.29916142759834,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T11:46:05.299Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.89576000168555,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:30:21.719Z","priceCents":35,"iy":108.9765687745499,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:35:22.477Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.32012129714924,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:35:18.597Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.9347935793492,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:25:16.987Z","priceCents":34,"iy":114.02165303849954,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:30:24.453Z","priceCents":35,"iy":109.08617739044718,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:25:35.949Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.4309292224742,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:36:04.113Z","priceCents":35,"iy":109.09425329639379,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:25:50.722Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.44488082374104,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:45:50.414Z","priceCents":35,"iy":109.11005744086904,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:50:55.028Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.44790696409999,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T11:20:36.517Z","priceCents":37,"iy":100.05384937768638,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:15:33.957Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.48574851962123,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:15:32.892Z","priceCents":35,"iy":109.17226486088762,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:20:45.763Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.50745671440724,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:00:48.072Z","priceCents":35,"iy":109.17789162650439,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:05:34.302Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.51267475673514,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:20:31.854Z","priceCents":37,"iy":100.1142900730031,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:25:32.286Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.58510783279777,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:30:43.808Z","priceCents":37,"iy":100.16915278851621,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:50:30.445Z","priceCents":36,"iy":104.70762994100333,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:55:27.558Z","priceCents":37,"iy":100.2865023351992,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 100%","28 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 33c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KX2028RRUN-28-RPAU","marketTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":33},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-JVAN","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-DJT","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20run%20for%20the%20Republican%20presidential%20nomination%20in%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2174}