{"ticker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RPAU","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?","description":"If Rand Paul announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":46,"bestBid":42,"bestAsk":46,"spread":4,"volume":10455.95,"volume24h":6.36,"openInterest":8911.29,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":480,"iyYes":105.0112332753366,"iyNo":55.06534348920739,"cri":1.381,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":8.17,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":2440,"askDepthUsd":2016,"volume24h":6.36,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-09-08T15:20:00.417Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-BDON","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Byron Donalds","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-BKEM","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Brian Kemp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-DJT","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-EKIR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Erika Kirk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-EMUS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-ESTE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Elise Stefanik","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-GABB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Greg Abbott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-GBOV","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Gregory Bovino","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-GYOU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Glenn Youngkin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JBEZ","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Jeff Bezos","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JHAW","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Josh Hawley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Jared Kushner","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JMCE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: John McEntee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JTHU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: John Thune","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: J.D. Vance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-KBRI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Katie Britt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-LHOG","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Larry Hogan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MGAE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Matt Gaetz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MTAY","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Marjorie Taylo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-NHAL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Nikki Haley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Pete Hegseth","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RDES","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Ron DeSantis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RFK","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Robert F. Kenn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-SHS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Sarah Huckabee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-SPRA","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Spencer Pratt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-STE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Steve Bannon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TCRU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Ted Cruz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TGAB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Tulsi Gabbard","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Thomas Massie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TSCO","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Tim Scott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TUC","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Tucker Carlson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-VRAM","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Vivek Ramaswam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T11:31:25.752Z","priceCents":42,"iy":100.98220337729902,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T13:17:17.820Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.24432444261929,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T17:02:22.716Z","priceCents":42,"iy":101.0287562105006,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T17:16:01.767Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.27913122692942,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T23:02:19.064Z","priceCents":42,"iy":101.07940582307143,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T01:46:44.818Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.35409665992536,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T02:16:01.381Z","priceCents":42,"iy":101.10657492665835,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T03:47:35.888Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.37185058168836,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T09:46:16.462Z","priceCents":42,"iy":101.1700940246276,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T11:31:11.887Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.43996274960594,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T16:04:16.874Z","priceCents":42,"iy":101.22352803920418,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T17:45:58.680Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.49502444119115,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T23:16:11.874Z","priceCents":42,"iy":101.28454834124427,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T23:46:23.972Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.54823473456887,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T11:16:01.083Z","priceCents":42,"iy":101.38620856383491,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T11:30:58.301Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.65205371451478,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T15:17:06.357Z","priceCents":42,"iy":101.42048078577734,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T04:02:04.380Z","priceCents":43,"iy":97.45802945719883,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T08:17:38.599Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.83641508889647,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T09:17:07.883Z","priceCents":42,"iy":101.5737648159994,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T18:05:14.024Z","priceCents":41,"iy":105.92349672374964,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T16:31:33.865Z","priceCents":43,"iy":98.35369017561749,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T17:02:06.532Z","priceCents":41,"iy":106.77533769838783,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T17:17:29.011Z","priceCents":42,"iy":102.46848864061539,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T17:46:07.561Z","priceCents":41,"iy":106.78184991187463,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T19:16:04.520Z","priceCents":42,"iy":102.48578124760972,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T19:46:19.662Z","priceCents":41,"iy":106.80008833634429,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T21:01:38.194Z","priceCents":42,"iy":102.91958106042465,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-30T00:31:03.837Z","priceCents":41,"iy":107.2795514813072,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-30T04:16:57.419Z","priceCents":42,"iy":102.98308479725469,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-30T13:16:01.786Z","priceCents":41,"iy":107.396028077466,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-30T19:02:10.412Z","priceCents":42,"iy":103.11264791331564,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T01:16:42.523Z","priceCents":41,"iy":107.50593616478727,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T10:46:55.878Z","priceCents":41,"iy":107.59314313670163,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T20:16:06.205Z","priceCents":42,"iy":103.33503199139349,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T02:16:03.527Z","priceCents":41,"iy":107.73548808978803,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T03:16:14.590Z","priceCents":42,"iy":103.39671644849815,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T07:01:21.330Z","priceCents":41,"iy":107.77948142929759,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T11:16:20.479Z","priceCents":42,"iy":103.46760662368632,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T13:17:13.374Z","priceCents":41,"iy":107.83723572929296,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T20:02:08.904Z","priceCents":42,"iy":103.54518766770457,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T14:31:13.870Z","priceCents":41,"iy":108.07042970228069,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T16:32:10.748Z","priceCents":42,"iy":103.72716140553881,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T17:31:10.040Z","priceCents":41,"iy":108.09823160127694,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T12:01:04.046Z","priceCents":42,"iy":103.90077981044416,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T12:16:08.443Z","priceCents":41,"iy":108.27226228041751,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T06:04:08.493Z","priceCents":42,"iy":104.06208844599175,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T14:32:04.261Z","priceCents":41,"iy":108.51720747305882,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T16:16:01.866Z","priceCents":42,"iy":104.15347528709118,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T17:46:09.350Z","priceCents":41,"iy":108.5472586335647,"cri":1.439}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 105%","34 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 41c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KX2028RRUN-28-RPAU","marketTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":41},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-BDON","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-BKEM","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-DJT","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20run%20for%20the%20Republican%20presidential%20nomination%20in%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":229}