{"ticker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?","description":"If Thomas Massie announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":25,"bestBid":24,"bestAsk":29,"spread":5,"volume":1445,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1431,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":620,"iyYes":186.5047477358566,"iyNo":18.598811408561872,"cri":3.167,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2083,"cvr":null,"overround":6.94,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":2056,"askDepthUsd":1729,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:32:44.352Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: J.D. Vance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-DJT","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TGAB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Tulsi Gabbard","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RDES","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Ron DeSantis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-VRAM","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Vivek Ramaswam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-GYOU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Glenn Youngkin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-NHAL","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Nikki Haley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RFK","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Robert F. Kenn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-SHS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Sarah Huckabee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-GABB","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Greg Abbott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-EMUS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-BKEM","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Brian Kemp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MGAE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Matt Gaetz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-BDON","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Byron Donalds","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-ESTE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Elise Stefanik","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JHAW","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Josh Hawley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-RPAU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Rand Paul","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TCRU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Ted Cruz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-KBRI","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Katie Britt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JTHU","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: John Thune","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TUC","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Tucker Carlson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-STE","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Steve Bannon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MTAY","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Marjorie Taylo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-EKIR","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Erika Kirk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Pete Hegseth","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KX2028RRUN-28-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Jared Kushner","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KX2028RRUN-28","groupLabel":"KX2028RRUN-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T09:20:29.070Z","priceCents":25,"iy":174.02055826430782,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:10:32.050Z","priceCents":26,"iy":165.8415115118323,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:15:32.060Z","priceCents":25,"iy":174.80675472457162,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:15:33.417Z","priceCents":26,"iy":165.85342609826773,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:20:32.403Z","priceCents":25,"iy":174.819313463003,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T00:35:09.519Z","priceCents":24,"iy":184.75567227887,"cri":3.167}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 187%","28 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.21)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-JVAN","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-DJT","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR","reason":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20run%20for%20the%20Republican%20presidential%20nomination%20in%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":5142}