{"ticker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.90","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.90?","description":"If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.90 on May 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.","price":11,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":36,"spread":25,"volume":1657.14,"volume24h":534.1,"openInterest":1584.48,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-31T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US freezes Russian assets, sanctions Iran, bombs Iran — each action tells the wo","thesisSlug":"dollar-weaponization-de-dollarization","thesisPrice":50,"edge":27,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-03T06:06:20.816Z","firstDetectedPrice":26}],"indicators":{"tauDays":28,"iyYes":10636.730363714949,"iyNo":162.48508698516713,"cri":8.091,"ee":14,"eeSource":"thesis","las":2.2727,"cvr":null,"overround":9.44,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":25,"bidDepthUsd":2743,"askDepthUsd":2671,"volume24h":534.1,"sfEdgeCents":27,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T09:43:13.433Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-2.90","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?: Above 2.90","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?: Above 3.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.10","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?: Above 3.10","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?: Above 3.20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.30","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30?: Above 3.30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?: Above 3.40","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.50","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?: Above 3.50","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.60?: Above 3.60","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.70","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.70?: Above 3.70","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.80","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.80?: Above 3.80","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.90","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.90?: Above 3.90","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.00?: Above 4.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.10","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.10?: Above 4.10","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.20?: Above 4.20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.30","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30?: Above 4.30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.40?: Above 4.40","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.50","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50?: Above 4.50","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60?: Above 4.60","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.70","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.70?: Above 4.70","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.80","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80?: Above 4.80","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-5.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00?: Above 5.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-5.10","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.10?: Above 5.10","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-5.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.20?: Above 5.20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-5.30","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.30?: Above 5.30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-5.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.40?: Above 5.40","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-5.50","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.50?: Above 5.50","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASM-26MAY31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASM-26MAY31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:05:40.490Z","priceCents":4,"iy":29450.327786182548,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:05:25.124Z","priceCents":25,"iy":3696.7016643597444,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:36:06.800Z","priceCents":8,"iy":14241.36527108638,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:40:57.934Z","priceCents":10,"iy":11146.550846594959,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:45:58.375Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10021.996871693145,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:50:58.593Z","priceCents":12,"iy":9084.532536881166,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:01:02.963Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10025.399117974737,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:05:59.069Z","priceCents":12,"iy":9087.925395262511,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:10:58.164Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10027.78206513351,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:16:09.474Z","priceCents":12,"iy":9102.76030153602,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:21:04.876Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10044.49446679303,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:26:01.472Z","priceCents":12,"iy":9104.927772864368,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:30:58.513Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10046.886501264948,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T19:10:59.806Z","priceCents":12,"iy":9114.538995017083,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T19:16:04.096Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10057.493506051216,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T19:36:05.557Z","priceCents":14,"iy":7639.588596350324,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T19:41:06.630Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10063.319764812302,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T02:11:09.888Z","priceCents":12,"iy":9206.076239610204,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T02:15:49.863Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10158.165307449843,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T02:45:42.950Z","priceCents":12,"iy":9213.681686229964,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T02:50:43.642Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10166.908177029705,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T04:10:23.946Z","priceCents":7,"iy":16726.28902554399,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T05:35:23.489Z","priceCents":22,"iy":4472.715961327581,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T05:40:28.640Z","priceCents":23,"iy":4223.8386510166965,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:40:35.809Z","priceCents":24,"iy":4001.084648758424,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:45:33.693Z","priceCents":23,"iy":4230.56544017148,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T07:35:36.207Z","priceCents":24,"iy":4006.354708261121,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T07:40:33.340Z","priceCents":23,"iy":4236.138534767838,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T08:50:34.036Z","priceCents":24,"iy":4013.588906637036,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T08:55:35.815Z","priceCents":28,"iy":3259.6076563569786,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T14:30:42.629Z","priceCents":23,"iy":4278.409445534576,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:35:36.512Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10371.138957618326,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:40:42.557Z","priceCents":25,"iy":3846.0187559270835,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:15:38.085Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3657.2651077139717,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:20:40.630Z","priceCents":27,"iy":3474.58577512799,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T21:30:40.981Z","priceCents":29,"iy":3161.0211873193225,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:00:36.119Z","priceCents":28,"iy":3322.4943487253654,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:10:42.843Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3678.3731812412498,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:15:38.184Z","priceCents":28,"iy":3323.7886131150526,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:25:36.433Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3679.6760904156763,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:30:41.310Z","priceCents":27,"iy":3496.003442864715,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T23:20:37.794Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3684.7662676769182,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T23:30:37.584Z","priceCents":27,"iy":3501.2128427299076,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T23:40:36.566Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3686.5969475359443,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T01:25:39.595Z","priceCents":27,"iy":3511.178580558784,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T01:35:40.468Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3696.9614015877355,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T04:40:54.787Z","priceCents":27,"iy":3528.1250289651844,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T05:45:40.902Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3719.9962538356863,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T06:55:13.263Z","priceCents":12,"iy":9601.358299256282,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:00:54.817Z","priceCents":11,"iy":10594.754316502183,"cri":8.091}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["+27c executable edge (yes)","IY 10637%","26 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 8.1","illiquid (LAS 2.27)","price drifted 58% since edge was written"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-2.90","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?: Above 2.90"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.00","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?: Above 3.00"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-3.10","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?: Above 3.10"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20average%20**gas%20prices**%20be%20above%20%244.90%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2537}