{"ticker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.80","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":62,"bestBid":60,"bestAsk":64,"spread":4,"volume":15359.13,"volume24h":1169.85,"openInterest":8255.76,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T06:25:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US freezes Russian assets, sanctions Iran, bombs Iran — each action tells the wo","thesisSlug":"dollar-weaponization-de-dollarization","thesisPrice":92,"edge":30,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-13T06:05:21.998Z","firstDetectedPrice":80},{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":92,"edge":30,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-10T06:05:33.605Z","firstDetectedPrice":72}],"indicators":{"tauDays":216,"iyYes":107.82368997435864,"iyNo":263.7816899372705,"cri":1.564,"ee":29,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0492,"cvr":null,"overround":1.82,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.442,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":2520,"askDepthUsd":1144,"volume24h":1169.85,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15,"sfEdgeCents":30,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:37:18.598Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $4.60","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.40 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.40","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.60 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.60","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.80","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.80 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.80","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.00 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.20 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.40 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.40","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.60","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.80","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.80","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-7.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $7.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":-1,"volumeDelta":20,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T18:30:26.965Z","priceCents":61,"iy":260.09468778357507,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T18:45:58.555Z","priceCents":60,"iy":249.44757044900555,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T19:30:26.398Z","priceCents":61,"iy":260.14328035243483,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T19:46:07.625Z","priceCents":58,"iy":229.69305109623366,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T20:30:44.032Z","priceCents":55,"iy":203.32027323408877,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T23:30:27.747Z","priceCents":56,"iy":211.84262456014676,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:00:27.082Z","priceCents":59,"iy":239.54534993365365,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:30:28.148Z","priceCents":61,"iy":260.3912663845342,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:45:40.534Z","priceCents":62,"iy":271.6371014748826,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T01:30:25.790Z","priceCents":63,"iy":283.51838985720514,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T01:45:40.874Z","priceCents":64,"iy":296.0340560822326,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:30:27.169Z","priceCents":63,"iy":283.57272280744763,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:45:58.256Z","priceCents":64,"iy":296.0907903596084,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T03:01:09.863Z","priceCents":63,"iy":283.5998970925183,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T03:30:43.071Z","priceCents":60,"iy":249.86194842119193,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:00:58.475Z","priceCents":61,"iy":260.5647813315545,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:15:25.287Z","priceCents":67,"iy":338.2448336576777,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T05:00:26.728Z","priceCents":61,"iy":260.6135497274414,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T06:15:50.346Z","priceCents":62,"iy":271.92237463333134,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T08:45:27.066Z","priceCents":63,"iy":283.9108306395038,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T09:30:45.856Z","priceCents":60,"iy":250.14734706745062,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T15:30:48.881Z","priceCents":62,"iy":272.4012404066735,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T15:45:23.056Z","priceCents":63,"iy":284.2887533044936,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T16:00:54.763Z","priceCents":64,"iy":296.8384670123005,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T18:30:24.572Z","priceCents":57,"iy":221.43984754976086,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T18:45:33.299Z","priceCents":61,"iy":261.29703317257673,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T21:30:23.307Z","priceCents":62,"iy":272.7130964228188,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T02:15:44.781Z","priceCents":63,"iy":284.8594860438672,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T04:30:42.430Z","priceCents":57,"iy":221.86327399810412,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T04:45:55.099Z","priceCents":58,"iy":231.1413447338315,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T08:30:47.596Z","priceCents":57,"iy":222.03228320583236,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:45:41.551Z","priceCents":56,"iy":213.35261718110678,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:45:23.254Z","priceCents":53,"iy":189.1794073056599,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:15:22.992Z","priceCents":54,"iy":197.03320574325303,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:00:52.940Z","priceCents":55,"iy":205.17175916770282,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T22:45:37.567Z","priceCents":56,"iy":213.76200633421587,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:15:26.464Z","priceCents":54,"iy":197.2981267789114,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:15:37.081Z","priceCents":55,"iy":205.45617924171066,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:45:24.528Z","priceCents":56,"iy":214.0900585961558,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T08:45:30.969Z","priceCents":55,"iy":205.67404224539715,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T09:30:38.773Z","priceCents":56,"iy":214.203583948732,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:15:27.700Z","priceCents":60,"iy":252.539230066698,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:24.371Z","priceCents":54,"iy":197.77258500709215,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:45:24.293Z","priceCents":53,"iy":190.05293679190055,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:45:37.754Z","priceCents":57,"iy":223.4535227949981,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:30:24.725Z","priceCents":56,"iy":214.57461317782065,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:45:29.880Z","priceCents":60,"iy":252.90319004462182,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:15:49.334Z","priceCents":61,"iy":263.7366021746868,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:15:26.001Z","priceCents":62,"iy":275.16775748856344,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:30:42.719Z","priceCents":61,"iy":263.7999731519991,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"consider_long","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"30c edge in neutral regime","positives":["+30c executable edge (yes)","IY 108%","tight LAS 0.049","12 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"small"},"nextActions":{"execute":{"description":"Buy 10 YES contracts at market","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.80","marketTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"immediate"},"auth":"required"},"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 56c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.80","marketTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":56},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.60","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.00","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.20","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20average%20**gas%20prices**%20be%20above%20%244.80%20by%20Dec%2031%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":126}