{"ticker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-7.00","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will average **gas prices** be above $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $7.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":9,"spread":6,"volume":10884.88,"volume24h":68,"openInterest":5114.4,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T06:25:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US freezes Russian assets, sanctions Iran, bombs Iran — each action tells the wo","thesisSlug":"dollar-weaponization-de-dollarization","thesisPrice":18,"edge":12,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-26T06:05:17.162Z","firstDetectedPrice":9},{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":35,"edge":29,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-08T06:05:48.007Z","firstDetectedPrice":10}],"indicators":{"tauDays":216,"iyYes":5452.929688703249,"iyNo":5.215896184326628,"cri":32.333,"ee":26,"eeSource":"thesis","las":2,"cvr":null,"overround":1.82,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.442,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":2514,"askDepthUsd":1235,"volume24h":68,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15,"sfEdgeCents":12,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:37:17.319Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $4.60","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.80","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $4.80","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.40 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.40","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.60 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.60","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.80","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.80 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.80","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.00 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.20 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.40 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.40","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.60","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.80","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.80","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T16:45:47.834Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1650.7456559521029,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T18:01:43.228Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1877.941623865853,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T18:15:46.951Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2558.469720425104,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T18:31:34.344Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1651.292223788253,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T18:45:47.971Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2169.8386987487866,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T19:01:35.549Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1651.4400069607589,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T20:45:52.393Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1470.4434159049608,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:45:58.373Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1879.9518087398167,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:30:57.709Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2561.931387131652,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:30:50.094Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1654.3715704102833,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T05:46:04.012Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1472.9158353024523,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T11:31:20.555Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2566.7266641829788,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T13:45:31.309Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1657.2316971070422,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:00:31.766Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1886.372726578194,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:31:19.496Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1658.7064736244947,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T19:31:06.665Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2179.90493058597,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T19:46:14.577Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1659.094223964484,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T02:45:34.689Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2574.0634040356754,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T21:15:32.562Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1896.0439421452513,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T03:45:33.631Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3961.8110360859473,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T17:30:24.856Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5351.307559997219,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:15:25.365Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3986.983137245978,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:15:45.130Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5373.4066077496645,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:45:46.022Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3988.87123140462,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T17:46:00.810Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5375.952236702851,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T18:15:52.900Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3990.7792953267794,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T20:15:26.783Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5378.5002787614185,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T21:00:46.362Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3992.8529754959163,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:00:27.082Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5382.326873932999,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:45:40.534Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3995.69413782408,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T03:30:43.071Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5385.91311041236,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:00:58.475Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3998.1743496120494,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T07:01:06.791Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5389.504129086274,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T07:15:24.517Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4000.6393715890667,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T10:00:45.308Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5392.582438504303,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T10:15:40.648Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4002.924511058308,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T12:45:25.389Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5395.392924194768,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T13:15:22.848Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4005.212262533433,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T22:15:23.695Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5405.178467833043,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:16:06.147Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4025.1618565369827,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:30:52.011Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3187.94877216854,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:15:24.837Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4029.012569967299,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:30:30.829Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3189.7816597903525,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T22:45:37.567Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4030.9406908737847,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:15:34.506Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3191.4697788290728,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:00:35.414Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4033.4462943863273,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:30:46.173Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3193.4537651441537,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:15:43.990Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5436.301380379873,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:00:38.089Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4037.3314898029726,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:00:43.846Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5447.543258770999,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["+12c executable edge (yes)","IY 5453%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 2.00)","price shifted 44% since edge was set"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.60","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-4.80","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-5.00","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20average%20**gas%20prices**%20be%20above%20%247.00%20by%20Dec%2031%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":125}