{"ticker":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.00","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.","price":35,"bestBid":31,"bestAsk":41,"spread":10,"volume":2335,"volume24h":100,"openInterest":1382,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T14:55:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"The United States will launch a ground invasion of Iran. After 5 weeks of airstr","thesisSlug":"us-iran-ground-invasion","thesisPrice":50,"edge":24,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-11T06:04:03.845Z","firstDetectedPrice":26},{"thesisTitle":"The Hormuz Strait is America's final battle — not because it will lose militaril","thesisSlug":"hormuz-sarhu","thesisPrice":98,"edge":1,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-01T06:02:12.108Z","firstDetectedPrice":92}],"indicators":{"tauDays":251,"iyYes":338.90031820816574,"iyNo":62.246997221907996,"cri":2.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.26,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.577,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":10,"bidDepthUsd":550,"askDepthUsd":1369,"volume24h":100,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.5,"sfEdgeCents":24,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T07:52:06.704Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.00 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.20 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.2","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.40 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.6","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.80","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $6.8","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.20 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $7.2","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.40 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $7.4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.60 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $7.6","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T15:40:39.708Z","priceCents":13,"iy":925.3744043567051,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T20:25:39.698Z","priceCents":14,"iy":850.0370994210325,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T20:35:39.333Z","priceCents":15,"iy":784.1635609745618,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T02:10:16.208Z","priceCents":16,"iy":727.1440551585962,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T02:20:12.154Z","priceCents":17,"iy":676.2415656750093,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T03:30:14.702Z","priceCents":14,"iy":850.9856143037152,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T14:35:51.156Z","priceCents":13,"iy":935.8508226380707,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T15:55:50.965Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1025.707840597593,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T04:55:32.547Z","priceCents":26,"iy":398.9179443068605,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T11:50:33.575Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1028.980604420388,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T20:45:24.115Z","priceCents":13,"iy":944.0101360319943,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:15:52.374Z","priceCents":29,"iy":345.3793401981837,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T09:00:16.559Z","priceCents":28,"iy":363.4408388015414,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:20:26.067Z","priceCents":27,"iy":382.4028937759533,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:01:04.149Z","priceCents":25,"iy":424.3577471447894,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T17:05:18.455Z","priceCents":26,"iy":402.794057557347,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T17:10:17.454Z","priceCents":21,"iy":532.4014323417207,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T17:45:16.596Z","priceCents":22,"iy":501.81513602768285,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:05:19.982Z","priceCents":21,"iy":532.4798881967668,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:05:17.236Z","priceCents":22,"iy":501.9241306504809,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:00:27.271Z","priceCents":26,"iy":403.0503495092664,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:00:18.139Z","priceCents":21,"iy":533.1621889178444,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T07:50:27.630Z","priceCents":20,"iy":567.4420412367126,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T03:00:43.836Z","priceCents":21,"iy":535.3281291307616,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:45:21.044Z","priceCents":20,"iy":570.8543656674109,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:10:27.380Z","priceCents":18,"iy":651.5637966511407,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:30:47.670Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.0121879300177,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:50:46.603Z","priceCents":19,"iy":611.809823060419,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:50:28.934Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.7963606729055,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:50:27.864Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.6716929352295,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:50:40.591Z","priceCents":22,"iy":509.7294405544826,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:10:29.930Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.8782805341593,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:15:30.628Z","priceCents":22,"iy":509.9323063519977,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T14:06:29.454Z","priceCents":21,"iy":542.6524649237803,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T14:45:26.754Z","priceCents":20,"iy":577.0591327512677,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T19:45:49.658Z","priceCents":22,"iy":511.90709938010156,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T20:00:21.883Z","priceCents":21,"iy":543.1805457914293,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:20:23.826Z","priceCents":23,"iy":483.65777095461704,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:40:32.424Z","priceCents":21,"iy":543.5095050548175,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:05:30.870Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1060.7970112737758,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:10:31.944Z","priceCents":25,"iy":434.11209210312444,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:15:58.723Z","priceCents":24,"iy":458.463898033927,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:15:34.982Z","priceCents":25,"iy":434.4048653344918,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:15:31.591Z","priceCents":24,"iy":458.61488385503674,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:35:30.524Z","priceCents":25,"iy":434.7152912592451,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:15:32.417Z","priceCents":26,"iy":412.46804937888504,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:35:43.582Z","priceCents":25,"iy":434.7877878235595,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T19:05:32.371Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1062.9032215365637,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T19:10:32.894Z","priceCents":30,"iy":338.20050855825986,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T07:40:12.776Z","priceCents":31,"iy":323.28407845489073,"cri":2.226}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"consider_long","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"24c edge in neutral regime","positives":["+24c executable edge (yes)","IY 339%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["price shifted 35% since edge was set"],"sizeHint":"small"},"nextActions":{"execute":{"description":"Buy 10 YES contracts at market","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.00","marketTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"immediate"},"auth":"required"},"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 32c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-7.00","marketTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":32},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.00","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.00 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.20","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.20 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAXCA-26DEC31-6.40","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $6.40 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20average%20**gas%20prices**%20be%20above%20or%20below%20%247.00%20by%20Dec%203","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2222}