{"ticker":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.00","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.","price":25,"bestBid":20,"bestAsk":30,"spread":10,"volume":2374.21,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2121.06,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T14:55:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"The United States will launch a ground invasion of Iran. After 5 weeks of airstr","thesisSlug":"us-iran-ground-invasion","thesisPrice":75,"edge":54,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-11T06:04:03.845Z","firstDetectedPrice":51}],"indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":575.9096216352677,"iyNo":35.994351352204234,"cri":4,"ee":54,"eeSource":"regime","las":0.5,"cvr":null,"overround":1.7,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.442,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":10,"bidDepthUsd":358,"askDepthUsd":1324,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.15,"sfEdgeCents":54,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T02:45:10.446Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.20 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $4.2","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.40 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $4.4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $4.6","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.80","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $4.8","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.20","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.20 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.2","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.40","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.40 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-5.60","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.60 by Dec 31, 2026?: Above $5.6","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T23:15:58.276Z","priceCents":18,"iy":633.0725742723369,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T23:30:58.339Z","priceCents":20,"iy":555.8897662978503,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T03:30:51.512Z","priceCents":21,"iy":523.1337224860417,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T04:15:44.406Z","priceCents":23,"iy":465.6065757796446,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T06:10:36.942Z","priceCents":25,"iy":417.35908889939174,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T07:50:29.529Z","priceCents":27,"iy":376.2373860927016,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T09:20:36.846Z","priceCents":29,"iy":340.7748442810841,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T15:11:22.043Z","priceCents":19,"iy":593.9381544946343,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T15:45:49.094Z","priceCents":20,"iy":557.3263603916554,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:25:35.274Z","priceCents":21,"iy":524.3743605578827,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:00:37.879Z","priceCents":20,"iy":557.7926692289471,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:05:47.675Z","priceCents":15,"iy":790.215338455406,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T07:10:24.373Z","priceCents":17,"iy":681.937228460339,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T13:31:36.689Z","priceCents":15,"iy":792.2888144907773,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T15:26:08.538Z","priceCents":17,"iy":682.8387157267707,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:26:10.910Z","priceCents":15,"iy":792.783814689179,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:25:33.057Z","priceCents":17,"iy":684.3675276135915,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:35:34.562Z","priceCents":16,"iy":736.8633558285748,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:55:33.552Z","priceCents":15,"iy":795.3873940391451,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T16:45:32.919Z","priceCents":16,"iy":737.2375665100819,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T17:40:32.794Z","priceCents":17,"iy":685.710534863271,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T17:45:33.772Z","priceCents":16,"iy":737.3538759898723,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T00:10:09.544Z","priceCents":17,"iy":686.4263188924373,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T00:25:09.665Z","priceCents":16,"iy":738.1434800696445,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T05:45:12.984Z","priceCents":18,"iy":641.0536497435359,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:05:48.417Z","priceCents":16,"iy":738.9347770759583,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T15:20:23.586Z","priceCents":18,"iy":642.04376280119,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T17:20:54.546Z","priceCents":16,"iy":740.1534961510087,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:10:22.972Z","priceCents":17,"iy":688.7476659991001,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:15:52.374Z","priceCents":26,"iy":401.5081603820705,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T03:11:00.959Z","priceCents":27,"iy":381.77711695733734,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T05:10:23.593Z","priceCents":26,"iy":402.02091044563736,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T05:15:42.345Z","priceCents":27,"iy":381.9056554716495,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T06:25:52.959Z","priceCents":21,"iy":531.4782190696635,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T09:00:16.559Z","priceCents":19,"iy":602.5466538025556,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:00:16.381Z","priceCents":18,"iy":644.2877316249916,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:01:04.149Z","priceCents":16,"iy":742.6260575033814,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T17:05:18.455Z","priceCents":17,"iy":690.9615073201549,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:05:19.982Z","priceCents":16,"iy":743.1127553632091,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:05:17.236Z","priceCents":17,"iy":691.1866233542821,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T01:16:00.092Z","priceCents":16,"iy":746.8751096196345,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T02:30:43.384Z","priceCents":17,"iy":694.7137318499015,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T04:25:52.372Z","priceCents":16,"iy":750.1849771176454,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:10:27.380Z","priceCents":15,"iy":810.4817958343457,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:25:31.742Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.8208578724938,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:30:47.670Z","priceCents":18,"iy":653.736102920298,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:50:46.603Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.6710900263477,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:50:28.934Z","priceCents":18,"iy":654.6291885441424,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:50:27.864Z","priceCents":19,"iy":612.7132243056798,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:10:37.427Z","priceCents":20,"iy":575.2991752731685,"cri":4}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["+54c executable edge (yes)","IY 576%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.50)","price drifted 51% since edge was written"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.20","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.20 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.40","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.40 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAXNY-26DEC31-4.60","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.60 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20average%20**gas%20prices**%20be%20above%20or%20below%20%245.00%20by%20Dec%203","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":5987}