{"ticker":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-3.80","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $3.80 by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If average regular gas prices for California are strictly lower than $3.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":11,"spread":3,"volume":3284.81,"volume24h":56.34,"openInterest":2344.81,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T14:55:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":236,"iyYes":1776.0054158116316,"iyNo":13.42915248250761,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.375,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.79,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":232,"askDepthUsd":952,"volume24h":56.34,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:41:03.088Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.10","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.10 by Dec 31, 2026?: Below $4.1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.00 by Dec 31, 2026?: Below $4.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-3.90","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $3.90 by Dec 31, 2026?: Below $3.9","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T07:37:54.914Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2147.2953216374267,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T09:22:48.505Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1821.4579497825998,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T10:37:35.980Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2148.3037104104133,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T11:22:27.620Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1822.0259833948453,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T14:52:09.211Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2149.7332100259896,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T15:08:12.605Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1823.1014260955121,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T16:07:54.561Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2150.1616224664626,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T17:20:45.798Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1837.553652831467,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T23:30:37.072Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1592.1211339619638,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T02:10:16.208Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1840.1196497891,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T02:15:16.919Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1592.8098721957435,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T03:35:13.394Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1840.5317127762014,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T06:01:02.189Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1599.8338230978272,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T06:05:28.841Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1848.2763577439755,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T13:15:33.771Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1601.6774208319184,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T13:20:33.481Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1850.4062771537374,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:50:54.938Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1603.1027055103195,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:55:36.100Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1852.0529170447244,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:45:38.794Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1641.4758617992686,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T23:20:30.387Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1496.2783370520685,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T17:55:49.277Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1742.6123201341782,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1776%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.38)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.10","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.10 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.00","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.00 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-3.90","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $3.90 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20average%20**gas%20prices**%20be%20above%20or%20below%20%243.80%20by%20Dec%203","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":96}