{"ticker":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-3.90","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $3.90 by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If average regular gas prices for California are strictly lower than $3.90 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA,  the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":14,"spread":6,"volume":3321,"volume24h":75,"openInterest":1858,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T14:55:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":1656.8315932818884,"iyNo":12.528027170373445,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.75,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.62,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":418,"askDepthUsd":1300,"volume24h":75,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T06:43:15.055Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.10","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.10 by Dec 31, 2026?: Below $4.1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.00","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.00 by Dec 31, 2026?: Below $4.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-3.80","connectedTitle":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $3.80 by Dec 31, 2026?: Below $3.8","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T03:07:37.247Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1379.6933562458385,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T08:07:45.096Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1570.4328371052404,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T08:23:45.906Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1380.8238631639513,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T10:08:00.744Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1570.9265378987195,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T10:22:47.520Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1381.2528044027094,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T12:22:56.046Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1571.4734974130122,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T12:37:57.977Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1381.7389152007922,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T14:52:58.227Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1572.0914902940442,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T15:23:46.392Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1382.3340907766708,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T15:37:47.265Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1572.2740382814548,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T16:23:20.929Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1382.546407814353,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T18:37:50.146Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1573.0105491952256,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T19:07:44.902Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1383.1422793884944,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T20:37:57.337Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1573.499973759381,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T20:52:46.442Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1383.515608338665,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T22:22:45.033Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1573.930683305273,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T22:37:57.129Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1383.8943282206535,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T00:52:45.076Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1574.544704315697,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T01:07:48.787Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1384.4394260338802,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T07:37:54.914Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1576.2061403508771,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T09:22:48.505Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1386.2230752825765,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T10:37:35.980Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1576.9463406204097,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T11:22:27.620Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1386.6553780436282,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T14:52:09.211Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1577.9956541680137,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T15:08:12.605Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1387.4738451885803,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T16:07:54.561Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1578.3101271296375,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T01:46:24.140Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13607.70934068417,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T17:55:33.447Z","priceCents":19,"iy":594.1967089561614,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:11:22.371Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13799.147649161398,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:15:33.621Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6829.959405944375,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:45:48.972Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13807.00380184552,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:35:18.189Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6936.283920309332,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T17:50:17.458Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14121.964373646815,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:25:55.723Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1650.2590877281268,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1657%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.75)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.10","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.10 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-4.00","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.00 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMINCA-26DEC31-3.80","reason":"Will average **gas prices** be above or below $3.80 by Dec 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20average%20**gas%20prices**%20be%20above%20or%20below%20%243.90%20by%20Dec%203","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3996}