{"ticker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-INDO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Israel and Indonesia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Israel and Indonesia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":12,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":13,"spread":3,"volume":16215.59,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":5882.29,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":189,"iyYes":1735.6616384434524,"iyNo":21.427921462264845,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3,"cvr":null,"overround":0.71,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":700,"askDepthUsd":542,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T08:45:12.542Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Saudi Arab","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-OMAN","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Oman normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Oman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MAUR","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Mauritania normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Mauritania","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MALD","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Maldives normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Maldives","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-DJIB","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Djibouti normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Djibouti","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-COMO","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Comoros normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Comoros","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-COLO","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Colombia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Colombia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-BELI","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Belize normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Belize","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-SYR","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Syria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-LEB","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Lebanon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-IRAN","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Iran normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T12:45:33.846Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1649.9826714148664,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T15:15:33.391Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1484.0929992018748,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T19:30:32.570Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1652.3147496126994,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T06:15:44.452Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1488.769039836774,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T07:30:44.700Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1656.4806970833836,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T08:46:00.971Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1489.549994039049,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T14:45:47.554Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1659.0071208524823,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T15:31:43.155Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1491.6717100798162,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T15:45:55.290Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1659.3590883375093,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T16:00:45.698Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1491.8224159578388,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T16:46:33.456Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1659.711205197902,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T17:45:57.913Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1492.3727509320154,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T19:45:45.768Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1660.751660751661,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T23:30:51.080Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1494.1849367207967,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T02:16:05.067Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1663.0385257935504,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T05:45:39.209Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1496.1531110174628,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T12:00:32.733Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1357.852462481505,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T18:45:40.783Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1668.8426817311256,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T06:15:34.604Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1511.6305041777493,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T18:00:34.847Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1685.6959589480437,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T01:16:09.917Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1517.7835547672937,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:16:07.900Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1690.1278014447118,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:30:54.981Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1519.4859988381088,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T07:46:12.483Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1377.5876946936285,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T20:16:02.374Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1523.9790372543328,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T22:01:55.232Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4522.293980083322,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T23:01:07.171Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6093.824763596433,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T00:45:56.035Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1696.8588740295363,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T02:00:56.286Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1525.8688433881289,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T04:45:53.712Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1698.3239068170774,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T05:01:03.290Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1526.854974863413,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T07:30:55.243Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1699.325442807482,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T08:00:56.206Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1527.8423817879873,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T15:46:44.420Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1702.3547945773394,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T17:17:35.793Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1530.907507455428,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T19:00:55.990Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1703.5465921289408,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T19:31:32.363Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1531.6459217481463,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T20:01:26.398Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1703.9177140011723,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T22:46:05.333Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1532.71908186895,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T01:00:56.068Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1705.758036794525,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T07:15:59.660Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1535.5403012561321,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T08:16:38.890Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1392.0671243325708,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T10:02:53.433Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1536.4670292195972,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T11:45:56.218Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1709.735342337419,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:46:49.786Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1540.0486121547458,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T23:46:23.305Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1714.2052036694952,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:01:37.323Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1541.4714420884104,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:15:58.834Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1397.8174551366744,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T04:15:57.554Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1542.5584199187338,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T06:01:57.590Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1716.5341164421498,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1736%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0","illiquid (LAS 0.30)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01","reason":"Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-OMAN","reason":"Will Israel and Oman normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MAUR","reason":"Will Israel and Mauritania normalize relations before Jan 1,"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Israel%20and%20Indonesia%20normalize%20relations%20before%20Jan%201%2C%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":107}