{"ticker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-LEB","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Israel and Lebanon normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":14,"bestBid":14,"bestAsk":15,"spread":1,"volume":52228.52,"volume24h":17,"openInterest":23096.38,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":189,"iyYes":1183.8760531933349,"iyNo":31.373675828271185,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0714,"cvr":null,"overround":0.71,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2363,"askDepthUsd":712,"volume24h":17,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:48:47.694Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Saudi Arab","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-OMAN","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Oman normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Oman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MAUR","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Mauritania normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Mauritania","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-INDO","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Indonesia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Indonesia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MALD","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Maldives normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Maldives","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-DJIB","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Djibouti normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Djibouti","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-COMO","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Comoros normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Comoros","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-COLO","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Colombia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Colombia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-BELI","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Belize normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Belize","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-SYR","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Syria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-IRAN","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Iran normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:02:26.828Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1387.2975051706032,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:15:27.512Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1257.4538985768693,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T19:45:30.739Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1387.760367939126,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T23:31:00.736Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1258.7489321012329,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T23:45:33.065Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1388.8502919001191,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T00:45:52.586Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1259.056820622818,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:00:28.425Z","priceCents":15,"iy":975.0540168925555,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:15:35.413Z","priceCents":16,"iy":903.405715794337,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T16:45:25.178Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1057.9788592972377,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T00:00:26.459Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1154.2550774683082,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T00:16:10.557Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1059.543724490278,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T02:00:25.929Z","priceCents":15,"iy":977.7458428074622,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T02:45:40.783Z","priceCents":16,"iy":905.9855325989316,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T03:45:25.441Z","priceCents":19,"iy":735.8336162345829,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T04:30:33.050Z","priceCents":21,"iy":649.4110482532566,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T05:15:25.781Z","priceCents":20,"iy":690.6142682799921,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T14:00:23.917Z","priceCents":19,"iy":737.322430986845,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T14:16:21.746Z","priceCents":20,"iy":691.8447614083306,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T15:15:43.250Z","priceCents":19,"iy":737.5041502537797,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T16:16:00.750Z","priceCents":20,"iy":692.1169772502097,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T17:15:48.401Z","priceCents":19,"iy":737.7943878215638,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T17:45:23.251Z","priceCents":20,"iy":692.3204590179482,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T20:15:25.878Z","priceCents":22,"iy":613.9504552549371,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:00:51.836Z","priceCents":21,"iy":651.5310810942108,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:15:23.755Z","priceCents":22,"iy":614.0728147570735,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T22:00:44.037Z","priceCents":21,"iy":651.6578573643327,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T22:45:22.805Z","priceCents":23,"iy":580.0142026605326,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T01:30:23.319Z","priceCents":22,"iy":614.5890089811594,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T02:00:24.519Z","priceCents":20,"iy":693.4516317486856,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T02:15:40.276Z","priceCents":21,"iy":652.2057265178231,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T02:30:24.098Z","priceCents":23,"iy":580.444004037189,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T02:46:11.326Z","priceCents":22,"iy":614.7408242320598,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T03:00:54.478Z","priceCents":23,"iy":580.5046683067997,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T03:15:23.979Z","priceCents":22,"iy":614.8021555002442,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T03:45:26.382Z","priceCents":23,"iy":580.590171303538,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T04:15:23.940Z","priceCents":22,"iy":614.9219327771749,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T05:15:24.360Z","priceCents":21,"iy":652.5931951062414,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T07:30:36.289Z","priceCents":20,"iy":694.2067024230666,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T16:30:24.418Z","priceCents":19,"iy":748.3288840268675,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T16:31:12.281Z","priceCents":16,"iy":926.0064657359486,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T21:30:33.188Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1020.2454179388905,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T09:15:34.717Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1108.6599800942731,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T05:15:33.862Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1026.9472276562433,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T15:30:33.573Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1115.6105151000138,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T22:31:02.975Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1041.0008371626395,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T08:00:42.730Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1130.7335467282212,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T09:00:46.532Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1043.3007648630426,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T11:45:54.288Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1131.6238206994508,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T22:01:55.232Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1261.0242829078493,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T00:45:56.035Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1158.1735171947628,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1184%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 13c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-LEB","marketTitle":"Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":13},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01","reason":"Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-OMAN","reason":"Will Israel and Oman normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MAUR","reason":"Will Israel and Mauritania normalize relations before Jan 1,"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Israel%20and%20Lebanon%20normalize%20relations%20before%20Jan%201%2C%2020","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":223}