{"ticker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-OMAN","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Israel and Oman normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Israel and Oman normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":6,"spread":1,"volume":13107.04,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":6232,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":2922.2516718144925,"iyNo":8.094879977325466,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":0.44,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":13309,"askDepthUsd":310,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:29:47.216Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Saudi Arab","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MAUR","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Mauritania normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Mauritania","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-INDO","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Indonesia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Indonesia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MALD","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Maldives normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Maldives","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-DJIB","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Djibouti normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Djibouti","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-COMO","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Comoros normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Comoros","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-COLO","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Colombia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Colombia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-BELI","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Belize normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Belize","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-SYR","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Syria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-LEB","connectedTitle":"Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?: Lebanon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXABRAHAMSA-27","groupLabel":"KXABRAHAMSA-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T11:37:34.159Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1571.2676077427273,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T04:30:44.972Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1422.524757669706,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T05:55:32.812Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1618.2945353885063,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T06:21:00.419Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1422.9470834190145,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T07:10:53.170Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1618.6190354997184,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T08:21:03.978Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1423.402598593611,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:45:18.111Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1621.6331071997033,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:55:17.911Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1426.2851273436659,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:30:17.180Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1622.8745080148155,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:50:15.997Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1426.9524094294425,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:10:16.718Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1623.0502130555492,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:20:16.726Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1427.0682823064587,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:45:15.822Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1623.7282890410431,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T16:00:30.837Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1894.563058894707,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:36:01.887Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1641.411672695278,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:56:11.773Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1896.7046119340682,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:20:36.853Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2240.7789106849427,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:35:29.217Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2723.8805970149247,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:00:31.191Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2246.8893254747873,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:45:33.057Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1909.408159408159,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T06:35:28.134Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2737.319913163607,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T06:45:28.880Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3457.762795893315,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:40:30.376Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2738.703588155847,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T00:55:29.575Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1919.8553024655812,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T18:15:54.041Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3606.9569800382114,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T01:25:55.951Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2859.027477171067,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T20:50:50.490Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3623.488145071891,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T22:20:49.814Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2869.3306412240267,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 2922%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.20)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 4c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-OMAN","marketTitle":"Will Israel and Oman normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":4},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01","reason":"Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MAUR","reason":"Will Israel and Mauritania normalize relations before Jan 1,"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-INDO","reason":"Will Israel and Indonesia normalize relations before Jan 1, "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Israel%20and%20Oman%20normalize%20relations%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":99}