{"ticker":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T3","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at least 3 between Apr 10, 2026 and Sep 16, 2026?","description":"If the number of AIPAC-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":96,"bestBid":75,"bestAsk":88,"spread":13,"volume":7021,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2020,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-16T13:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":136,"iyYes":89.63015895233394,"iyNo":806.6714305710054,"cri":3,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1733,"cvr":null,"overround":1.33,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":13,"bidDepthUsd":609,"askDepthUsd":826,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T20:09:14.541Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T1","connectedTitle":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T5","connectedTitle":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T10","connectedTitle":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:40:31.138Z","priceCents":80,"iy":980.3263278050092,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:45:31.177Z","priceCents":81,"iy":1044.8495437861409,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:45:32.462Z","priceCents":49,"iy":255.8786803780434,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:25:31.506Z","priceCents":48,"iy":266.3814784873799,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:35:31.408Z","priceCents":49,"iy":255.93901570652986,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:20:31.207Z","priceCents":70,"iy":573.8916366805479,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:00:33.053Z","priceCents":71,"iy":602.2757960661385,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:10:31.542Z","priceCents":72,"iy":632.6012041568736,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:35:34.494Z","priceCents":64,"iy":437.4040369995881,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:45:31.913Z","priceCents":72,"iy":632.7035509403399,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:05:46.304Z","priceCents":73,"iy":665.6898052897917,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:10:46.732Z","priceCents":72,"iy":633.1346235017259,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:00:12.334Z","priceCents":76,"iy":780.5360093281652,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:10:12.267Z","priceCents":77,"iy":825.2225355487253,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:10:41.248Z","priceCents":76,"iy":781.4489539739525,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:25:34.527Z","priceCents":77,"iy":827.8445613955506,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:40:31.086Z","priceCents":76,"iy":783.5467608504562,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:55:29.471Z","priceCents":77,"iy":828.4338664825768,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:15:27.181Z","priceCents":77,"iy":829.2096588984627,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T14:35:23.289Z","priceCents":78,"iy":880.4836938873342,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:10:21.409Z","priceCents":79,"iy":935.1917167343698,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:45:19.657Z","priceCents":80,"iy":994.5436338989518,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T20:26:19.472Z","priceCents":79,"iy":935.7908268159001,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T20:30:21.249Z","priceCents":80,"iy":995.0384384711849,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:35:23.006Z","priceCents":81,"iy":1061.4274430961445,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T00:55:20.188Z","priceCents":82,"iy":1134.6611105045429,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:15:33.337Z","priceCents":83,"iy":1216.5137474686912,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T03:35:37.931Z","priceCents":84,"iy":1308.6189588412446,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T04:40:22.527Z","priceCents":85,"iy":1412.911805157071,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T05:55:21.475Z","priceCents":86,"iy":1532.1881540720374,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T06:15:29.879Z","priceCents":87,"iy":1669.3951064722373,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:05:30.870Z","priceCents":88,"iy":1829.736522498012,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:50:31.651Z","priceCents":89,"iy":2020.333316126657,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:25:31.258Z","priceCents":90,"iy":2250.925037686721,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:55:28.760Z","priceCents":87,"iy":1674.0056522401517,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:00:40.596Z","priceCents":85,"iy":1417.4822043732922,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:05:31.844Z","priceCents":82,"iy":1139.5757564681296,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T05:05:30.454Z","priceCents":83,"iy":1225.877982753946,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T16:50:57.121Z","priceCents":84,"iy":1331.8297759954405,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T03:15:35.315Z","priceCents":87,"iy":1726.931152793843,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T00:10:10.387Z","priceCents":88,"iy":1917.7126917712694,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T00:15:12.525Z","priceCents":92,"iy":3007.408362708855,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T00:20:10.821Z","priceCents":96,"iy":6276.465404208666,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T07:10:52.655Z","priceCents":69,"iy":583.2868008577569,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:15:10.592Z","priceCents":70,"iy":612.7583238002047,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:10:11.953Z","priceCents":71,"iy":643.6983631705676,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:55:36.564Z","priceCents":72,"iy":679.9074415196809,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T21:41:00.666Z","priceCents":73,"iy":716.7773239577944,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T12:15:48.576Z","priceCents":74,"iy":757.8835603523358,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T12:45:36.321Z","priceCents":75,"iy":798.9726452196628,"cri":3}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["3 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 86c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T3","marketTitle":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at least 3 between Apr 10, 2026 and Sep 16, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":86},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T1","reason":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T5","reason":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T10","reason":"Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20number%20of%20AIPAC%20PAC-endorsed%20candidates%20who%20lose%20th","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4324}