{"ticker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P56","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be above 12%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":2,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":6,"spread":5,"volume":4018,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1399,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":50,"askDepthUsd":12597,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T04:54:34.286Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-MPEL-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-MPEL-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-MPEL-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-MPEL-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-MPEL-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:31:25.803Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1895.7825331044357,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T03:45:26.382Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2417.0384656772258,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T04:15:23.940Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3256.4766219838157,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T05:45:21.905Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2417.5987945123816,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T23:00:44.199Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4945.744751454549,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T15:45:29.053Z","priceCents":1,"iy":10039.535794758382,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 2c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P56","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be above 12%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":2},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alas"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alas"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P4","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alas"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Dan%20Sullivan%20in%20the%202026%20Alas","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":140}